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Guangzhou vs Shenzhen Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 05 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 109-96
33-28 34-17 16-28 26-23
Position#9
Record19-19
FormWLWLW
Points / game101.5
Allowed / game99.1
Guangzhou 🏆
China
vs
Shenzhen
China
Position#8
Record25-13
FormLWWWW
Points / game106.4
Allowed / game102.4
ChinaCBARound 39· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Guangzhou v Shenzhen
10 Mar 2027
GUAN v SHEN
upcoming
24 Apr 2026
GUAN86
SHEN99
08 Mar 2025
GUAN86
SHEN104
05 Feb 2024
GUAN109
SHEN96
03 Dec 2023
GUAN108
SHEN115
01 Jan 2023
GUAN109
SHEN105
21 Mar 2022
GUAN104
SHEN119
20 Dec 2020
GUAN96
SHEN98
21 Jan 2020
GUAN97
SHEN120
20 Nov 2019
GUAN116
SHEN88
25 Dec 2018
GUAN113
SHEN121
14 Dec 2018
GUAN98
SHEN104
06 Mar 2018
GUAN112
SHEN116
22 Dec 2017
GUAN117
SHEN128
23 Dec 2016
GUAN105
SHEN103
20 Dec 2015
GUAN118
SHEN126
11 Nov 2014
GUAN94
SHEN113
30 Dec 2013
GUAN93
SHEN108
12 Dec 2012
GUAN86
SHEN97
15 Jan 2012
GUAN109
SHEN111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shenzhen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
116-105
116
105
+11
119avg 96
H12/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
92-77
92
77
+15
95avg 96
H14/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
123-113
123
113
+10
123avg 96
H18/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
97-113
97
113
-16
93avg 96
A20/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
105-112
105
112
-7
97avg 96
A22/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
108-98
108
98
+10
96avg 96
H25/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
98-99 OT
98
99
-1
no box
H27/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
96-79
96
79
+17
99avg 96
A29/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
92-100
92
100
-8
62avg 96
A01/02
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
125-98
125
98
+27
126avg 96
H03/02
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-28
26-26
26-23
30-28
20-22
30-19
21-22
21-14
33-32
30-28
29-27
31-26
22-28
15-34
25-26
35-25
34-25
23-40
21-20
27-27
29-27
22-34
35-20
22-17
20-20
25-32
27-18
16-18
28-22
22-11
24-18
22-28
29-33
21-26
18-24
24-17
24-31
35-21
29-21
37-25
204.6Avg total
105.2Scored
99.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)101.599.1200.6+2.450%
Season at home (19)104.498.6203.1+5.858%
Season away (19)98.699.5198.1-0.942%
Last 10 (10)105.299.4204.6+5.860%
Last 5 (5)103.894.8198.6+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)98.2103.8202.0-5.525%
vs Similar ◀ (13)98.9101.8200.7-2.823%
vs Weaker (13)104.396.7201.0+7.677%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
113-103
113
103
+10
110avg 100
H13/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
111-91
111
91
+20
112avg 100
A15/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
101-98
101
98
+3
96avg 100
A17/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
118-106
118
106
+12
115avg 100
A19/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
95-109
95
109
-14
88avg 100
H21/01
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
119-123 OT
119
123
-4
no box
H24/01
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
118-116
118
116
+2
112avg 100
A26/01
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
122-118
122
118
+4
121avg 100
H29/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
109-97
109
97
+12
no box
H31/01
CBA
Guangdong
#4
W
97-90
97
90
+7
84avg 100
H03/02
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-26
26-28
23-23
30-26
33-10
32-20
31-32
15-29
21-32
27-19
31-25
22-22
25-29
31-28
29-27
33-22
16-34
33-22
23-27
23-26
36-38
22-22
30-29
24-23
23-32
32-22
37-26
26-36
30-27
27-23
33-29
32-39
30-16
24-27
30-24
25-30
23-25
24-22
26-18
24-25
215.4Avg total
110.3Scored
105.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)106.4102.4208.8+4.066%
Season at home (20)109.5102.2211.6+7.375%
Season away (18)103.0102.7205.7+0.356%
Last 10 (10)110.3105.1215.4+5.280%
Last 5 (5)113.0108.8221.8+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)103.0105.4208.4-2.450%
vs Similar ◀ (13)106.9102.7209.6+4.262%
vs Weaker (9)115.8104.9220.7+10.9100%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -2.4-2.4
GuangzhouShenzhen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H12/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H14/01
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H18/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A20/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A22/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H25/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H27/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A29/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A01/02
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H03/02
CBA
106.1Avg total
52.2Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.051.8102.8-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.251.9105.1+1.464%-
Last 30 away (16)49.151.8100.9-2.631%-
Last 10 (10)52.253.9106.1-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)51.051.4102.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)50.257.2107.5-7.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)50.852.3103.1-1.546%-
vs Weaker (13)51.549.6101.2+1.954%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H13/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
65-30
65
30
+35
A15/01
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A17/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A19/01
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H21/01
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H24/01
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A26/01
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H29/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H31/01
CBA
Guangdong
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H03/02
CBA
105.1Avg total
54.9Scored
50.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.651.7105.3+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.750.3107.0+6.475%-
Last 30 away (14)50.153.3103.4-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)54.950.2105.1+4.750%-
Last 5 (5)54.250.8105.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)50.153.9104.0-3.812%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)52.449.6102.0+2.846%-
vs Weaker (9)58.452.8111.2+5.7100%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 94.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.628.1
54.5%
52.7%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.77.9
38.2%
34.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.014.9
74.5%
76.0%14.9
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 100.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.129.0
60.3%
52.7%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.2
38.0%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.415.2
71.0%
76.0%15.2
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
WLWLWLLWWW
Shenzhen
WWWWLLWWWW
#9
League position
#8
+3.8
Net rating
+6.2
115.3
Offensive rating
115.6
111.5
Defensive rating
109.4
55.3%
Effective FG%
59.2%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
14.4%
Turnover %
15.7%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.2%
3-point %
38.0%
59.2%
Assist %
64.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 115.6Defence111.5 · 109.4Shooting55.3% · 59.2%3-point %38.2% · 38.0%Ball care14.4% · 15.7%Off. rebounds32.7% · 26.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Shenzhen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Guangzhou wins
6
Shenzhen wins
DateGameScore
03/12/23Guangzhou v Shenzhen108-115
04/11/23Shenzhen v Guangzhou105-108
17/01/23Shenzhen v Guangzhou89-114
01/01/23Guangzhou v Shenzhen109-105
21/03/22Guangzhou v Shenzhen104-119
17/03/22Shenzhen v Guangzhou114-120
07/01/21Shenzhen v Guangzhou112-103
20/12/20Guangzhou v Shenzhen96-98
21/01/20Guangzhou v Shenzhen97-120
05/01/20Shenzhen v Guangzhou96-90
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HSichuan125-98
01/02/24AShanghai92-100
29/01/24ANingbo Rockets96-79
27/01/24HBeijing98-99 OT
25/01/24HQingdao108-98
22/01/24AShandong105-112
20/01/24ABeijing Royal Fighters97-113
18/01/24HZhejiang Chouzhou123-113
14/01/24HNingbo Rockets92-77
12/01/24HShanxi Zhongyu116-105
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HGuangdong97-90
31/01/24HShanxi Zhongyu109-97
29/01/24HFujian122-118
26/01/24AJilin118-116
24/01/24HLiaoning119-123 OT
21/01/24HZhejiang Guangsha95-109
19/01/24AShandong118-106
17/01/24AXinjiang101-98
15/01/24ABeijing Royal Fighters111-91
13/01/24HJiangsu Dragons113-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWWWLW58%
AwayWLLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %50%58%42%
Points / game101.5104.498.6
Allowed / game99.198.699.5
Point differential+2.4+5.8-0.9
Avg total200.6203.1198.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%47%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)0% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Shenzhen
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW66%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayLWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382018
Win %66%75%56%
Points / game106.4109.5103.0
Allowed / game102.4102.2102.7
Point differential+4.0+7.3+0.3
Avg total208.8211.6205.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)40% (5)57% (7)
Overtime %8%5%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xinjiang3831782%106.195.5+10.6
2 Liaoning3730781%103.293.6+9.5
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou38281074%107.999.1+8.7
4 Zhejiang Guangsha39261367%103.996.5+7.4
5 Guangdong38251366%108.0103.9+4.1
6 Shenzhen38251366%106.4102.4+4.0
7 Qingdao38231561%102.199.9+2.3
8 Beijing Royal Fighters39231659%106.0103.2+2.8
9 Shanghai38221658%105.9103.7+2.3
10 Guangzhou38191950%101.599.1+2.4
11 Beijing38182047%100.9101.4-0.6
12 Shanxi Zhongyu38182047%109.0111.6-2.6
13 Tianjin38172145%106.9109.2-2.3
14 Nanjing Tongxi39172244%102.0104.6-2.5
15 Shandong38162242%101.5103.1-1.7
16 Jilin38142437%103.8107.4-3.6
17 Fujian38142437%102.7106.6-3.9
18 Ningbo Rockets3863216%92.5105.6-13.1
19 Jiangsu Dragons3643211%93.6103.9-10.3
20 Sichuan3843411%98.9112.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou33341626109
Shenzhen2817282396
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