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Guaros de Lara vs Heroes de Falcon Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 May 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 81-71
27-16 18-19 19-18 17-18
Position#3
Record17-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#10
Record11-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game80.0
VenezuelaSuperliga· Domo Bolivariano de Barquisimeto (Barquisimeto)
Other2023
Meetings · Guaros de Lara v Heroes de Falcon
11 May 2023
GUAR81
HERO71
16 Apr 2023
GUAR86
HERO77
11 Sep 2022
GUAR89
HERO96
10 Sep 2022
GUAR81
HERO77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guaros de Lara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Heroes de Falcon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Guaros de LaraVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLara
Date
Competition
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
84avg 77
H16/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
90-98
90
98
-8
84avg 77
A19/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
81-89
81
89
-8
73avg 77
A20/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
77avg 77
A22/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
80-73
80
73
+7
73avg 77
H24/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
80-66
80
66
+14
74avg 77
H27/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
81avg 77
H03/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
96-72
96
72
+24
97avg 77
A06/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
91-67
91
67
+24
86avg 77
H08/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
97-80
97
80
+17
95avg 77
H09/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
22-13
22-21
19-25
31-28
14-27
24-18
21-25
18-21
25-25
25-17
13-26
24-17
23-18
21-18
18-24
32-21
13-17
21-18
14-17
27-18
14-15
23-18
16-15
21-14
17-27
26-13
19-23
18-13
21-17
36-24
21-18
24-23
18-16
24-12
25-16
21-17
27-17
19-25
30-21
164.6Avg total
87.0Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.277.0161.1+7.277%
Season at home (12)83.572.6156.1+10.992%
Season away (10)85.082.2167.2+2.860%
Last 10 (10)87.077.6164.6+9.480%
Last 5 (5)89.472.4161.8+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.782.7155.3-10.067%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.283.1163.3-2.850%
vs Weaker (15)87.573.8161.3+13.793%
This opponent (Heroes de Falcon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Heroes de FalconVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFalcon
Date
Competition
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
77-86
77
86
-9
67avg 74
A16/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
97-83
97
83
+14
97avg 74
H19/04
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
77-86
77
86
-9
70avg 74
H22/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
no box
A23/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
85-86
85
86
-1
74avg 74
A25/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
61-73
61
73
-12
43avg 74
A26/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
85-71
85
71
+14
85avg 74
H01/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
L
79-85
79
85
-6
73avg 74
H02/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
78-67
78
67
+11
68avg 74
A04/05
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
65-62
65
62
+3
65avg 74
A10/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
13-22
21-22
25-19
24-17
25-20
21-32
27-14
17-24
18-23
18-21
24-18
24-17
18-33
29-9
19-31
15-31
16-23
29-18
25-14
19-20
14-18
17-21
11-14
25-15
21-11
16-15
23-30
16-20
22-24
24-21
17-20
21-23
18-22
21-11
18-11
12-11
22-24
15-13
16-14
160.8Avg total
80.5Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.980.0161.8+1.950%
Season at home (10)83.280.3163.5+2.960%
Season away (12)80.879.7160.4+1.142%
Last 10 (10)80.580.3160.8+0.240%
Last 5 (5)73.671.6145.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.394.3178.7-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)80.580.0160.5+0.547%
vs Weaker (10)87.781.2168.9+6.560%
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
Guaros de LaraHeroes de Falcon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H16/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A19/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A20/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A22/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H24/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H27/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A06/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H09/05
Superliga
81.5Avg total
43.3Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.781.5+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.437.479.8+4.971%-
Last 30 away (13)41.142.683.7-1.554%-
Last 10 (10)43.338.281.5+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.477.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.342.781.0-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.840.281.0+0.550%-
vs Weaker (15)43.338.681.9+4.780%-
This opponent (Heroes de Falcon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Heroes de FalconLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A16/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H19/04
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H22/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A23/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A25/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A26/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H01/05
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H02/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A04/05
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A10/05
Superliga
79.9Avg total
37.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.480.9+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.638.483.0+6.277%-
Last 30 away (17)37.541.979.4-4.429%-
Last 10 (10)37.842.179.9-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.675.6+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.044.387.3-1.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.940.480.3-0.441%-
vs Weaker (10)40.939.280.1+1.760%-
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guaros de Laratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guaros de Lara: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.424.3
53.5%
50.8%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.4
32.6%
31.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.512.4
70.9%
65.6%12.4
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Heroes de Falcontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Heroes de Falcon: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.823.2
49.6%
50.8%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.95.9
29.6%
31.3%17.7
🏀 Free throws19.913.5
67.8%
65.6%13.5
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guaros de Lara
WWWWWWWLLW
Heroes de Falcon
WWLWLLLLWL
#3
League position
#10
+12.4
Net rating
+1.7
109.2
Offensive rating
101.4
96.8
Defensive rating
99.7
51.8%
Effective FG%
48.1%
44.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
17.7%
Turnover %
20.2%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.6%
3-point %
29.6%
61.5%
Assist %
60.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 101.4Defence96.8 · 99.7Shooting51.8% · 48.1%3-point %32.6% · 29.6%Ball care17.7% · 20.2%Off. rebounds32.8% · 35.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Guaros de Lara   ■ Heroes de Falcon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Guaros de Lara wins
3
Heroes de Falcon wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/23HGaiteros del Zulia97-80
08/05/23HToros de Aragua91-67
06/05/23ALlaneros96-72
03/05/23HBrillantes83-77
27/04/23HGaiteros del Zulia80-66
24/04/23HBroncos80-73
22/04/23AHeroes de Falcon86-77
20/04/23ABrillantes81-89
19/04/23AGaiteros del Zulia90-98
16/04/23HHeroes de Falcon86-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/23ACentauros65-62
04/05/23AGaiteros del Zulia78-67
02/05/23HToros de Aragua79-85
01/05/23HGaiteros del Zulia85-71
26/04/23ATrotamundos61-73
25/04/23ALlaneros85-86
23/04/23AGaiteros del Zulia101-104 OT
22/04/23HGuaros de Lara77-86
19/04/23HFrontinos97-83
16/04/23AGuaros de Lara77-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guaros de Lara
Superliga 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %77%92%60%
Points / game84.283.585.0
Allowed / game77.072.682.2
Point differential+7.2+10.9+2.8
Avg total161.1156.1167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%58%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Heroes de Falcon
Superliga 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %50%60%42%
Points / game81.983.280.8
Allowed / game80.080.379.7
Point differential+1.9+2.9+1.1
Avg total161.8163.5160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%30%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)50% (2)17% (6)
Overtime %5%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores2220291%84.673.8+10.8
2 Guaros de Lara2217577%84.277.0+7.2
3 Trotamundos2217577%83.678.9+4.8
4 Cocodrilos2216673%77.070.4+6.6
5 Broncos2316770%88.978.4+10.5
6 Piratas de La Guaira2114767%81.677.5+4.0
7 Brillantes2013765%83.877.0+6.8
8 Guaiqueries2213959%81.478.1+3.3
9 Spartans22121055%79.377.4+1.9
10 Panteras21111052%77.175.9+1.2
11 Heroes de Falcon22111150%81.980.0+1.9
12 Centauros22101245%77.778.6-0.9
13 Gaiteros del Zulia2291341%78.183.1-5.0
14 Gigantes2081240%78.383.6-5.3
15 Llaneros2171433%79.985.4-5.5
16 Marinos2051525%80.287.6-7.4
17 Frontinos2051525%80.691.5-10.9
18 Diablos2141719%75.885.1-9.3
19 Cangrejeros2131814%78.185.6-7.5
20 Toros de Aragua2231914%74.684.5-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guaros de Lara2718191781
Heroes de Falcon1619181871
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