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Heroes de Falcon vs Guaros de Lara Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 77-86
17-24 18-23 18-21 24-18
Position#10
Record8-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#3
Record10-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game78.7
VenezuelaSuperliga· Gimnasio Fenelón Díaz (Punto Fijo)
Other2023
Meetings · Heroes de Falcon v Guaros de Lara
19 May 2023
HERO74
GUAR75
22 Apr 2023
HERO77
GUAR86
01 Sep 2022
HERO106
GUAR79
15 Aug 2022
HERO92
GUAR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Heroes de Falcon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guaros de Lara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Heroes de FalconVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFalcon
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 77
H27/03
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
80-92
80
92
-12
77avg 77
H29/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
76-78
76
78
-2
67avg 77
A02/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
81-71
81
71
+10
84avg 77
H06/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
75-70
75
70
+5
67avg 77
H08/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
97-90
97
90
+7
99avg 77
H09/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
70-74
70
74
-4
52avg 77
A12/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
80-72
80
72
+8
68avg 77
A15/04
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
77-86
77
86
-9
67avg 77
A16/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
97-83
97
83
+14
97avg 77
H19/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
17-13
20-22
22-24
29-20
17-24
20-22
14-26
10-23
22-20
20-13
24-22
31-10
23-23
13-19
14-19
23-19
16-18
20-17
16-16
28-27
28-16
19-16
22-31
12-21
25-22
15-15
18-16
22-23
18-13
22-17
18-19
18-23
13-22
21-22
25-19
24-17
25-20
21-32
27-14
159.8Avg total
81.1Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.680.4163.9+3.257%
Season at home (7)84.480.1164.6+4.371%
Season away (7)82.780.6163.3+2.143%
Last 10 (10)81.178.7159.8+2.460%
Last 5 (5)84.281.0165.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.894.2178.0-10.50%
vs Similar ◀ (19)83.582.8166.4+0.742%
vs Weaker (7)90.080.9170.9+9.186%
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guaros de LaraVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLara
Date
Competition
Brillantes
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
47avg 74
H29/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
80-65
80
65
+15
82avg 74
A02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
82-68
82
68
+14
80avg 74
H05/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
80-59
80
59
+21
76avg 74
H08/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
92-100
92
100
-8
85avg 74
A10/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
83-65
83
65
+18
58avg 74
A12/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
101-90
101
90
+11
94avg 74
H14/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
84avg 74
H16/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
90-98
90
98
-8
84avg 74
A19/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
81-89
81
89
-8
73avg 74
A20/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
14-23
19-26
9-9
22-14
14-23
28-15
16-13
21-20
17-17
14-23
30-8
11-18
29-14
14-14
26-13
21-21
24-22
24-24
23-33
18-22
21-16
21-16
23-11
31-24
18-26
27-22
25-18
23-18
22-13
22-21
19-25
31-28
14-27
24-18
21-25
18-21
25-25
25-17
13-26
162.3Avg total
83.8Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.678.7161.3+3.967%
Season at home (7)81.672.6154.1+9.086%
Season away (8)83.584.1167.6-0.650%
Last 10 (10)83.878.5162.3+5.360%
Last 5 (5)88.283.8172.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.786.3159.0-13.733%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.185.0165.1-4.936%
vs Weaker (13)84.873.9158.8+10.992%
This opponent (Heroes de Falcon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
Heroes de FalconGuaros de Lara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Heroes de FalconLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/03
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H29/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H06/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H08/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H09/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A12/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A15/04
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A16/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H19/04
Superliga
80.6Avg total
42.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.480.7+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.138.483.5+6.686%-
Last 30 away (16)37.940.378.2-2.444%-
Last 10 (10)42.038.680.6+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.883.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.242.585.8+0.875%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.240.280.4+0.147%-
vs Weaker (7)42.935.778.6+7.1100%-
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brillantes
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H29/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H05/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H08/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A10/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A12/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H14/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H16/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A19/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A20/04
Superliga
82.3Avg total
41.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.882.2+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.538.279.7+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)41.443.384.7-1.953%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.882.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.244.088.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.044.783.7-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.841.382.1-0.550%-
vs Weaker (13)42.739.382.0+3.469%-
This opponent (Heroes de Falcon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Heroes de Falcontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Heroes de Falcon: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.8
51.4%
50.8%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.1
32.4%
31.3%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.215.4
76.2%
65.6%15.4
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guaros de Laratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guaros de Lara: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.3
54.8%
50.8%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.5
34.0%
31.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.110.9
63.7%
65.6%10.9
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Heroes de Falcon
WLWLWWWLLW
Guaros de Lara
LLWWWLWWWL
#10
League position
#3
+3.1
Net rating
+6.5
105.4
Offensive rating
107.1
102.2
Defensive rating
100.7
50.5%
Effective FG%
53.4%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.2%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.3%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.4%
3-point %
34.0%
59.2%
Assist %
58.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 107.1Defence102.2 · 100.7Shooting50.5% · 53.4%3-point %32.4% · 34.0%Ball care18.0% · 17.3%Off. rebounds29.2% · 28.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Heroes de Falcon   ■ Guaros de Lara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Heroes de Falcon wins
2
Guaros de Lara wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/23HFrontinos97-83
16/04/23AGuaros de Lara77-86
15/04/23ACentauros80-72
12/04/23ABrillantes70-74
09/04/23HBrillantes97-90
08/04/23HBrillantes75-70
06/04/23HCentauros81-71
02/04/23ABrillantes76-78
29/03/23HBroncos80-92
27/03/23HTrotamundos78-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/23ABrillantes81-89
19/04/23AGaiteros del Zulia90-98
16/04/23HHeroes de Falcon86-77
14/04/23HCentauros101-90
12/04/23ACentauros83-65
10/04/23ATrotamundos92-100
08/04/23HTrotamundos80-59
05/04/23HFrontinos82-68
02/04/23ACentauros80-65
29/03/23HBrillantes63-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Heroes de Falcon
Superliga 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW57%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%71%43%
Points / game83.684.482.7
Allowed / game80.480.180.6
Point differential+3.2+4.3+2.1
Avg total163.9164.6163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guaros de Lara
Superliga 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%86%50%
Points / game82.681.683.5
Allowed / game78.772.684.1
Point differential+3.9+9.0-0.6
Avg total161.3154.1167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores1513287%84.273.5+10.7
2 Cocodrilos1411379%76.168.9+7.2
3 Broncos1511473%89.975.5+14.4
4 Piratas de La Guaira118373%79.771.9+7.8
5 Brillantes1510567%82.076.9+5.1
6 Guaros de Lara1510567%82.678.7+3.9
7 Trotamundos1510567%79.877.8+2.0
8 Guaiqueries138562%86.080.4+5.6
9 Heroes de Falcon148657%83.680.4+3.2
10 Panteras158753%76.975.3+1.6
11 Gaiteros del Zulia158753%78.080.6-2.6
12 Centauros146843%74.077.2-3.2
13 Spartans125742%74.475.6-1.2
14 Gigantes135838%76.181.2-5.2
15 Llaneros145936%79.483.8-4.4
16 Frontinos1551033%81.588.8-7.3
17 Marinos1331023%77.987.5-9.5
18 Cangrejeros1221017%76.886.8-9.9
19 Diablos1221017%77.187.1-10.0
20 Toros de Aragua161156%73.183.7-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Heroes de Falcon1718182477
Guaros de Lara2423211886
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