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Guaros de Lara vs Heroes de Falcon Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 86-77
23-18 22-13 22-21 19-25
Position#3
Record9-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#10
Record7-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game79.7
VenezuelaSuperliga· Domo Bolivariano de Barquisimeto (Barquisimeto)
Other2023
Meetings · Guaros de Lara v Heroes de Falcon
11 May 2023
GUAR81
HERO71
16 Apr 2023
GUAR86
HERO77
11 Sep 2022
GUAR89
HERO96
10 Sep 2022
GUAR81
HERO77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guaros de Lara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Heroes de Falcon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Guaros de LaraVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLara
Date
Competition
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
87-75
87
75
+12
81avg 73
A22/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
86-72
86
72
+14
69avg 73
H25/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
73-68
73
68
+5
60avg 73
H28/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
47avg 73
H29/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
80-65
80
65
+15
82avg 73
A02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
82-68
82
68
+14
80avg 73
H05/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
80-59
80
59
+21
76avg 73
H08/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
92-100
92
100
-8
85avg 73
A10/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
83-65
83
65
+18
58avg 73
A12/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
101-90
101
90
+11
94avg 73
H14/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
28-20
26-16
14-15
26-11
21-23
18-14
21-24
25-20
19-20
12-16
17-12
21-16
14-23
19-26
9-9
22-14
14-23
28-15
16-13
21-20
17-17
14-23
30-8
11-18
29-14
14-14
26-13
21-21
24-22
24-24
23-33
18-22
21-16
21-16
23-11
31-24
18-26
27-22
25-18
156.3Avg total
82.7Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.876.4158.2+5.475%
Season at home (6)80.871.8152.7+9.083%
Season away (6)82.881.0163.8+1.867%
Last 10 (10)82.773.6156.3+9.180%
Last 5 (5)87.676.4164.0+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.882.0150.8-13.220%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.585.3164.8-5.833%
vs Weaker (13)85.371.3156.6+14.0100%
This opponent (Heroes de Falcon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Heroes de FalconVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFalcon
Date
Competition
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
93-79
93
79
+14
85avg 76
A23/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
83-84
83
84
-1
82avg 76
H26/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 76
H27/03
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
80-92
80
92
-12
77avg 76
H29/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
76-78
76
78
-2
67avg 76
A02/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
81-71
81
71
+10
84avg 76
H06/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
75-70
75
70
+5
67avg 76
H08/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
97-90
97
90
+7
99avg 76
H09/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
70-74
70
74
-4
52avg 76
A12/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
80-72
80
72
+8
68avg 76
A15/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
21-17
28-20
18-26
16-22
21-11
28-25
18-26
19-12
17-13
20-22
22-24
29-20
17-24
20-22
14-26
10-23
22-20
20-13
24-22
31-10
23-23
13-19
14-19
23-19
16-18
20-17
16-16
28-27
28-16
19-16
22-31
12-21
25-22
15-15
18-16
22-23
18-13
22-17
18-19
159.4Avg total
81.3Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.079.7162.7+3.358%
Season at home (6)82.379.7162.0+2.767%
Season away (6)83.779.7163.3+4.050%
Last 10 (10)81.378.1159.4+3.260%
Last 5 (5)80.675.4156.0+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)84.294.8179.0-10.60%
vs Similar ◀ (18)83.982.7166.6+1.244%
vs Weaker (7)87.678.3165.9+9.386%
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -4.1-4.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -4.1-4.1
Guaros de LaraHeroes de Falcon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A22/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H25/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H28/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H29/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H05/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H08/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A10/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A12/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H14/04
Superliga
81.4Avg total
42.0Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.280.4+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.337.479.7+4.960%-
Last 30 away (15)40.041.181.1-1.160%-
Last 10 (10)42.039.481.4+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.082.2+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.840.277.0-3.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.241.882.0-1.550%-
vs Weaker (13)43.736.580.2+7.277%-
This opponent (Heroes de Falcon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Heroes de FalconLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A23/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H26/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/03
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H29/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H06/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H08/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H09/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A12/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A15/04
Superliga
79.4Avg total
42.4Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.480.6+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.838.583.3+6.285%-
Last 30 away (17)38.540.078.5-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)42.437.079.4+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)45.238.483.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)43.644.087.6-0.460%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.739.980.6+0.850%-
vs Weaker (7)40.734.775.4+6.0100%-
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guaros de Laratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guaros de Lara: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.822.0
55.3%
50.8%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.3
35.1%
31.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws16.810.2
60.7%
65.6%10.2
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Heroes de Falcontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Heroes de Falcon: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.2
51.7%
50.8%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.3
33.6%
31.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.816.4
75.2%
65.6%16.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guaros de Lara
WWLWWWLWWW
Heroes de Falcon
WLWWWLLWLW
#3
League position
#10
+12.0
Net rating
+4.5
107.5
Offensive rating
106.6
95.5
Defensive rating
102.1
54.2%
Effective FG%
51.3%
43.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.1%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.1%
3-point %
33.6%
57.5%
Assist %
59.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 106.6Defence95.5 · 102.1Shooting54.2% · 51.3%3-point %35.1% · 33.6%Ball care15.7% · 17.1%Off. rebounds24.5% · 27.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Guaros de Lara   ■ Heroes de Falcon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guaros de Lara wins
3
Heroes de Falcon wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/23HCentauros101-90
12/04/23ACentauros83-65
10/04/23ATrotamundos92-100
08/04/23HTrotamundos80-59
05/04/23HFrontinos82-68
02/04/23ACentauros80-65
29/03/23HBrillantes63-74
28/03/23HCentauros73-68
25/03/23HLlaneros86-72
22/03/23AToros de Aragua87-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/23ACentauros80-72
12/04/23ABrillantes70-74
09/04/23HBrillantes97-90
08/04/23HBrillantes75-70
06/04/23HCentauros81-71
02/04/23ABrillantes76-78
29/03/23HBroncos80-92
27/03/23HTrotamundos78-71
26/03/23HGaiteros del Zulia83-84
23/03/23AToros de Aragua93-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guaros de Lara
Superliga 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game81.880.882.8
Allowed / game76.471.881.0
Point differential+5.4+9.0+1.8
Avg total158.2152.7163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Heroes de Falcon
Superliga 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game83.082.383.7
Allowed / game79.779.779.7
Point differential+3.3+2.7+4.0
Avg total162.7162.0163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores1311285%83.173.4+9.7
2 Piratas de La Guaira108280%80.971.8+9.1
3 Broncos129375%90.775.8+14.9
4 Cocodrilos129375%74.868.3+6.5
5 Guaros de Lara129375%81.876.4+5.4
6 Trotamundos139469%80.578.5+1.9
7 Panteras138562%78.574.3+4.2
8 Brillantes138562%81.877.8+4.1
9 Guaiqueries127558%87.081.5+5.5
10 Heroes de Falcon127558%83.079.7+3.3
11 Gaiteros del Zulia137654%75.678.8-3.2
12 Centauros135838%72.876.8-3.9
13 Llaneros124833%78.581.5-3.0
14 Frontinos134931%80.388.2-7.8
15 Spartans103730%73.876.8-3.0
16 Marinos103730%79.889.9-10.1
17 Gigantes113827%75.883.2-7.4
18 Cangrejeros102820%78.086.7-8.7
19 Diablos112918%76.587.1-10.6
20 Toros de Aragua131128%72.482.5-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guaros de Lara2322221986
Heroes de Falcon1813212577
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