PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Guelph Nighthawks vs Niagara River Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 73-79
20-21 16-21 15-21 22-16
Position#2
Record20-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game95.7
Allowed / game87.8
Guelph Nighthawks
Canada
vs
Niagara River 🏆
Canada
Position#3
Record15-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game88.5
CanadaCEBLCEBL - Final· WinSport Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Guelph Nighthawks v Niagara River
24 Aug 2025
GUEL73
NIAG79
10 Aug 2025
GUEL94
NIAG76
30 May 2023
GUEL85
NIAG82
31 May 2022
GUEL84
NIAG95
01 Aug 2021
GUEL69
NIAG89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guelph Nighthawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Niagara River winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Guelph NighthawksCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNighthawks
Date
Competition
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
98-96
98
96
+2
68avg 85
H26/07
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
L
78-79
78
79
-1
72avg 85
H27/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
89-93
89
93
-4
80avg 85
A31/07
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
W
112-101
112
101
+11
105avg 85
A02/08
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
99-82
99
82
+17
91avg 85
A04/08
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
105-76
105
76
+29
94avg 85
H09/08
CEBL
Niagara River
#3
W
94-76
94
76
+18
87avg 85
H11/08
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
W
103-95
103
95
+8
99avg 85
H15/08
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
105-103
105
103
+2
84avg 85
A16/08
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
90-79
90
79
+11
79avg 85
H23/08
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
28-24
21-18
27-29
18-22
23-20
19-18
18-19
20-21
18-23
26-26
25-23
26-30
34-18
26-27
26-26
21-25
25-18
24-25
29-14
22-24
22-17
33-18
28-17
22-24
17-23
31-17
24-12
25-25
23-25
30-19
25-26
26-27
35-24
17-23
27-29
28-19
14-17
26-16
22-27
185.3Avg total
97.3Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)95.787.8183.5+8.074%
Season at home (14)95.684.2179.8+11.479%
Season away (13)95.991.6187.5+4.369%
Last 10 (10)97.388.0185.3+9.380%
Last 5 (5)99.485.8185.2+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)87.089.0176.0-2.00%
vs Similar (5)95.286.2181.4+9.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)94.687.1181.7+7.571%
This opponent (Niagara River) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Niagara RiverCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiver
Date
Competition
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
97-79
97
79
+18
97avg 77
H16/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 77
H20/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 77
H25/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
86-84
86
84
+2
76avg 77
A27/07
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
93-96
93
96
-3
84avg 77
H31/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
64-81
64
81
-17
47avg 77
A03/08
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
L
81-86
81
86
-5
66avg 77
A07/08
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
81-92
81
92
-11
72avg 77
A09/08
CEBL
Guelph Nighthawks
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
66avg 77
A11/08
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
93-91
93
91
+2
82avg 77
H22/08
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
20-13
34-13
26-27
24-19
26-10
20-22
26-30
27-18
14-17
21-29
29-25
15-27
23-23
20-14
28-20
19-26
23-18
30-20
21-32
20-21
9-21
18-23
17-16
27-21
18-21
16-23
20-21
19-23
23-26
22-20
17-23
24-22
23-17
17-31
12-24
25-26
24-24
25-18
19-23
173.1Avg total
85.8Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)86.288.5174.7-2.360%
Season at home (13)93.687.7181.3+5.977%
Season away (12)78.289.3167.5-11.242%
Last 10 (10)85.887.3173.1-1.550%
Last 5 (5)79.088.8167.8-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)85.295.3180.5-10.233%
vs Similar (14)87.487.6174.9-0.271%
vs Weaker (10)91.289.4180.6+1.870%
This opponent (Guelph Nighthawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.6-2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.6-2.6
Guelph NighthawksNiagara River
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Guelph NighthawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H26/07
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H27/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A31/07
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A02/08
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A04/08
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H09/08
CEBL
Niagara River
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H11/08
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H15/08
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
61-51
61
51
+10
A16/08
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H23/08
CEBL
92.0Avg total
46.9Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.144.591.6+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.544.090.5+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)47.745.092.7+2.767%-
Last 10 (10)46.945.192.0+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.845.091.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.047.088.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (5)51.044.695.6+6.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.644.491.0+2.262%-
This opponent (Niagara River) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Niagara RiverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H16/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H20/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A27/07
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H31/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A03/08
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A07/08
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A09/08
CEBL
Guelph Nighthawks
#2
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A11/08
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H22/08
CEBL
83.9Avg total
42.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.944.689.5+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.442.589.9+4.975%-
Last 30 away (14)42.047.089.0-5.036%-
Last 10 (10)42.041.983.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.486.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)44.547.592.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (14)44.242.486.6+1.957%-
vs Weaker (10)46.046.092.0+0.060%-
This opponent (Guelph Nighthawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guelph Nighthawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guelph Nighthawks: 97.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.124.5
52.0%
50.7%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.911.8
34.8%
34.3%35.4
🏀 Free throws18.312.7
69.4%
72.4%12.7
They take 81.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Niagara Rivertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niagara River: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.920.6
45.9%
50.7%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.5
32.9%
34.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.815.5
74.5%
72.4%15.5
They take 73.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guelph Nighthawks
WWWWWWWLLW
Niagara River
WLLLLLWWWW
#2
League position
#3
+10.9
Net rating
-1.6
111.6
Offensive rating
105.4
100.7
Defensive rating
107.0
52.1%
Effective FG%
47.2%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.5%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.8%
3-point %
32.9%
54.5%
Assist %
63.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 105.4Defence100.7 · 107.0Shooting52.1% · 47.2%3-point %34.8% · 32.9%Ball care15.3% · 15.5%Off. rebounds32.4% · 33.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Guelph Nighthawks   ■ Niagara River
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Guelph Nighthawks wins
7
Niagara River wins
DateGameScore
11/08/25Guelph Nighthawks v Niagara River94-76
16/05/25Niagara River v Guelph Nighthawks98-94
04/07/24Niagara River v Guelph Nighthawks109-89
23/06/23Niagara River v Guelph Nighthawks99-86
31/05/23Guelph Nighthawks v Niagara River85-82
06/08/22Niagara River v Guelph Nighthawks99-78
09/07/22Niagara River v Guelph Nighthawks101-88
31/05/22Guelph Nighthawks v Niagara River84-95
01/08/21Guelph Nighthawks v Niagara River69-89
30/07/21Niagara River v Guelph Nighthawks81-92
Guelph Nighthawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/08/25HWinnipeg Sea Bears90-79
16/08/25AFraser Valley Bandits105-103
15/08/25HEdmonton Stingers103-95
11/08/25HNiagara River94-76
09/08/25HSaskatchewan Rattlers105-76
04/08/25AMontreal Alliance99-82
02/08/25AOttawa Blackjacks112-101
31/07/25AScarborough Shooting Stars89-93
27/07/25HWinnipeg Sea Bears78-79
26/07/25HFraser Valley Bandits98-96
Niagara Riverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/08/25HScarborough Shooting Stars93-91
11/08/25AGuelph Nighthawks76-94
09/08/25AEdmonton Stingers81-92
07/08/25AWinnipeg Sea Bears81-86
03/08/25AScarborough Shooting Stars64-81
31/07/25HOttawa Blackjacks93-96
27/07/25ABrampton Honey Badgers86-84
25/07/25HMontreal Alliance91-89
20/07/25HScarborough Shooting Stars96-81
16/07/25HBrampton Honey Badgers97-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guelph Nighthawks
CEBL 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeLWWWW79%
AwayWLWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %74%79%69%
Points / game95.795.695.9
Allowed / game87.884.291.6
Point differential+8.0+11.4+4.3
Avg total183.5179.8187.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%57%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)40% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Niagara River
CEBL 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW60%
HomeWWWLW77%
AwayWLLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %60%77%42%
Points / game86.293.678.2
Allowed / game88.587.789.3
Point differential-2.3+5.9-11.2
Avg total174.7181.3167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%46%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)67% (6)83% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fraser Valley Bandits2519676%99.089.1+9.9
2 Guelph Nighthawks2720774%95.787.8+8.0
3 Edmonton Stingers25151060%94.091.4+2.6
4 Niagara River25151060%86.288.5-2.3
5 Scarborough Shooting Stars27131448%90.588.8+1.7
6 Ottawa Blackjacks25121348%91.990.3+1.6
7 Winnipeg Sea Bears25111444%85.289.2-4.0
8 Montreal Alliance2591636%87.688.5-1.0
9 Saskatchewan Rattlers2471729%85.693.7-8.1
10 Brampton Honey Badgers2451921%80.690.6-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guelph Nighthawks2016152273
Niagara River2121211679
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.