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Guelph Nighthawks vs Niagara River Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 94-76
22-24 17-23 31-17 24-12
Position#2
Record16-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game95.3
Allowed / game87.7
Guelph Nighthawks 🏆
Canada
vs
Niagara River
Canada
Position#3
Record14-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game88.1
CanadaCEBL· WinSport Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Guelph Nighthawks v Niagara River
24 Aug 2025
GUEL73
NIAG79
10 Aug 2025
GUEL94
NIAG76
30 May 2023
GUEL85
NIAG82
31 May 2022
GUEL84
NIAG95
01 Aug 2021
GUEL69
NIAG89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guelph Nighthawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Niagara River winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Guelph NighthawksCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNighthawks
Date
Competition
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
90-113
90
113
-23
70avg 85
A06/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
107-91
107
91
+16
94avg 85
H10/07
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
103-81
103
81
+22
100avg 85
A16/07
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
93-89
93
89
+4
83avg 85
A18/07
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
98-96
98
96
+2
68avg 85
H26/07
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
L
78-79
78
79
-1
72avg 85
H27/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
89-93
89
93
-4
80avg 85
A31/07
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
W
112-101
112
101
+11
105avg 85
A02/08
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
99-82
99
82
+17
91avg 85
A04/08
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
105-76
105
76
+29
94avg 85
H09/08
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
26-16
21-42
26-31
29-26
20-36
39-15
19-14
22-24
29-19
24-12
28-26
22-21
22-25
27-21
22-22
22-25
28-24
21-18
27-29
18-22
23-20
19-18
18-19
20-21
18-23
26-26
25-23
26-30
34-18
26-27
26-26
21-25
25-18
24-25
29-14
22-24
22-17
33-18
28-17
187.5Avg total
97.4Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)95.387.7183.0+7.770%
Season at home (11)95.584.5180.0+11.173%
Season away (12)95.290.7185.8+4.567%
Last 10 (10)97.490.1187.5+7.370%
Last 5 (5)96.686.2182.8+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)87.089.0176.0-2.00%
vs Similar (5)90.684.2174.8+6.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)94.488.1182.5+6.367%
This opponent (Niagara River) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Niagara RiverCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiver
Date
Competition
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
77-73
77
73
+4
70avg 78
A06/07
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
96-77
96
77
+19
94avg 78
H10/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
97-79
97
79
+18
97avg 78
H16/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 78
H20/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 78
H25/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
86-84
86
84
+2
76avg 78
A27/07
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
93-96
93
96
-3
84avg 78
H31/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
64-81
64
81
-17
47avg 78
A03/08
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
L
81-86
81
86
-5
66avg 78
A07/08
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
81-92
81
92
-11
72avg 78
A09/08
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
28-15
15-16
21-23
20-17
20-22
27-17
29-21
17-26
20-13
34-13
26-27
24-19
26-10
20-22
26-30
27-18
14-17
21-29
29-25
15-27
23-23
20-14
28-20
19-26
23-18
30-20
21-32
20-21
9-21
18-23
17-16
27-21
18-21
16-23
20-21
19-23
23-26
22-20
17-23
170.0Avg total
86.2Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.388.1174.5-1.861%
Season at home (12)93.787.4181.1+6.275%
Season away (11)78.488.9167.3-10.545%
Last 10 (10)86.283.8170.0+2.460%
Last 5 (5)81.087.8168.8-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)87.095.6182.6-8.640%
vs Similar (14)88.288.5176.7-0.371%
vs Weaker (11)90.287.7177.9+2.573%
This opponent (Guelph Nighthawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
Guelph NighthawksNiagara River
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Guelph NighthawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Edmonton Stingers
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A06/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
L
49-62
49
62
-13
H10/07
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A16/07
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A18/07
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H26/07
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H27/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A31/07
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A02/08
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A04/08
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H09/08
CEBL
92.4Avg total
46.6Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.044.391.3+2.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.143.490.6+3.771%-
Last 30 away (16)46.945.191.9+1.862%-
Last 10 (10)46.645.892.4+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.843.689.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.047.088.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (5)45.043.688.6+1.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)47.744.392.0+3.371%-
This opponent (Niagara River) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Niagara RiverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A06/07
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H10/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H16/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H20/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A27/07
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H31/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A03/08
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A07/08
CEBL
Edmonton Stingers
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A09/08
CEBL
80.8Avg total
40.5Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.844.188.8+0.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.241.488.5+5.882%-
Last 30 away (13)41.647.689.2-6.031%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.380.8+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.245.484.6-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)44.049.293.2-5.240%-
vs Similar (14)44.441.886.2+2.664%-
vs Weaker (11)45.544.690.2+0.964%-
This opponent (Guelph Nighthawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guelph Nighthawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guelph Nighthawks: 97.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.926.3
53.8%
50.7%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.5
34.3%
34.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.013.0
65.0%
72.4%13.0
They take 79.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Niagara Rivertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niagara River: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.222.4
48.5%
50.7%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.4
31.5%
34.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.615.6
72.2%
72.4%15.6
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guelph Nighthawks
WWWLLWWWWL
Niagara River
LLLLWWWWWW
#2
League position
#3
+7.8
Net rating
+3.2
112.0
Offensive rating
106.7
104.2
Defensive rating
103.5
52.9%
Effective FG%
48.0%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
15.2%
Turnover %
14.7%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.3%
3-point %
31.5%
50.5%
Assist %
65.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 106.7Defence104.2 · 103.5Shooting52.9% · 48.0%3-point %34.3% · 31.5%Ball care15.2% · 14.7%Off. rebounds32.1% · 32.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Guelph Nighthawks   ■ Niagara River
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Guelph Nighthawks wins
7
Niagara River wins
DateGameScore
16/05/25Niagara River v Guelph Nighthawks98-94
04/07/24Niagara River v Guelph Nighthawks109-89
23/06/23Niagara River v Guelph Nighthawks99-86
31/05/23Guelph Nighthawks v Niagara River85-82
06/08/22Niagara River v Guelph Nighthawks99-78
09/07/22Niagara River v Guelph Nighthawks101-88
31/05/22Guelph Nighthawks v Niagara River84-95
01/08/21Guelph Nighthawks v Niagara River69-89
30/07/21Niagara River v Guelph Nighthawks81-92
Guelph Nighthawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/08/25HSaskatchewan Rattlers105-76
04/08/25AMontreal Alliance99-82
02/08/25AOttawa Blackjacks112-101
31/07/25AScarborough Shooting Stars89-93
27/07/25HWinnipeg Sea Bears78-79
26/07/25HFraser Valley Bandits98-96
18/07/25AWinnipeg Sea Bears93-89
16/07/25ASaskatchewan Rattlers103-81
10/07/25HMontreal Alliance107-91
06/07/25AEdmonton Stingers90-113
Niagara Riverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/08/25AEdmonton Stingers81-92
07/08/25AWinnipeg Sea Bears81-86
03/08/25AScarborough Shooting Stars64-81
31/07/25HOttawa Blackjacks93-96
27/07/25ABrampton Honey Badgers86-84
25/07/25HMontreal Alliance91-89
20/07/25HScarborough Shooting Stars96-81
16/07/25HBrampton Honey Badgers97-79
10/07/25HFraser Valley Bandits96-77
06/07/25AMontreal Alliance77-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guelph Nighthawks
CEBL 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW70%
HomeWWWLW73%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %70%73%67%
Points / game95.395.595.2
Allowed / game87.784.590.7
Point differential+7.7+11.1+4.5
Avg total183.0180.0185.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%55%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Niagara River
CEBL 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL61%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %61%75%45%
Points / game86.393.778.4
Allowed / game88.187.488.9
Point differential-1.8+6.2-10.5
Avg total174.5181.1167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)60% (5)83% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fraser Valley Bandits2419579%98.888.4+10.4
2 Guelph Nighthawks2316770%95.387.7+7.7
3 Edmonton Stingers2415962%94.091.0+3.0
4 Niagara River2314961%86.388.1-1.8
5 Ottawa Blackjacks24121250%92.489.3+3.1
6 Scarborough Shooting Stars24111346%89.489.0+0.4
7 Winnipeg Sea Bears24111346%85.589.2-3.7
8 Montreal Alliance2491538%87.688.4-0.8
9 Saskatchewan Rattlers2471729%85.693.7-8.1
10 Brampton Honey Badgers2451921%80.690.6-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guelph Nighthawks2217312494
Niagara River2423171276
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