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Gunma vs Shimane Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Projected 85-74
Projected total 159.4
Scheduled
Position#6
Record12-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game73.8
Vs
84%
16%
■ GUNM 84%■ SHIM 16%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
4.3/10
Below normal
Position#18
Record6-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game81.9
JapanB League· Open House Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Gunma v Shimane
24 Mar 2027
GUNM v SHIM
upcoming
18 Nov 2026
GUNM v SHIM
upcoming
07 Jan 2024
GUNM84
SHIM96
06 Jan 2024
GUNM90
SHIM83
02 Apr 2023
GUNM80
SHIM87
01 Apr 2023
GUNM73
SHIM76
13 Apr 2022
GUNM93
SHIM85
08 Jan 2022
GUNM65
SHIM106
14 Dec 2014
GUNM72
SHIM80
13 Dec 2014
GUNM89
SHIM78
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Gunma face Shimane in the B League on 18 November 2026, with the model favouring Gunma at 84% versus 16% for Shimane because Gunma's 12-4 record and 82.8 points per game contrast with Shimane's 6-8 record and 84.1 points per game; Gunma also outscored opponents 73.8 to 81.6. Across all games this season, Gunma has won 12 of 16, averaging 82.8 points while allowing 73.8, and sits in 6th place, whereas Shimane has won 6 of 14, averaging 84.1 points and conceding 81.6, and sits in 17th. At home, Gunma is 7-1 with 86.6 points per game and 72.1 allowed, and they have won their last five, including victories over Shinshu 85-74, Diamond Dolphins 87-76, and SeaHorses Mikawa 90-83. On the road, Shimane is 3-3 with 82.5 points per game and 80.8 allowed, and they have won two of their last five, notably a 95-74 win over Brave Thunders. Historically, Gunma has won six of ten meetings, most recently 81-65 on 5 April 2026. The projection is 85-74, 159.4 total points, with a 3% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gunma win
83.7%fair 1.19
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Shimane win
16.3%fair 6.15
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GunmaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGunma
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
72-61
72
61
+11
67avg 78
A12/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
86-100
86
100
-14
73avg 78
H17/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#15
L
80-83
80
83
-3
72avg 78
A19/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
85-93
85
93
-8
80avg 78
A23/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
85-74
85
74
+11
73avg 78
A26/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
93-60
93
60
+33
94avg 78
H31/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
102-60
102
60
+42
106avg 78
H01/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
90-83
90
83
+7
no box
A06/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H09/11
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
85-74
85
74
+11
no box
A13/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
16-12
17-17
23-17
32-33
23-19
16-25
15-23
27-16
14-21
19-19
20-27
22-11
18-33
25-23
20-26
15-21
26-15
11-21
33-17
21-7
20-19
34-10
18-24
24-15
29-20
21-13
28-12
22-14
27-15
19-23
22-31
23-18
21-16
20-25
23-17
21-16
32-20
14-21
18-17
162.9Avg total
86.5Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.873.8156.6+9.175%
Season at home (8)86.672.1158.8+14.588%
Season away (8)79.075.4154.4+3.662%
Last 10 (10)86.576.4162.9+10.170%
Last 5 (5)91.470.6162.0+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
vs Similar (5)82.081.6163.6+0.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)83.971.5155.4+12.479%
This opponent (Shimane) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#13
L
69-90
69
90
-21
55avg 72
A10/10
B League
Chiba
#14
L
78-97
78
97
-19
66avg 72
A17/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
W
80-69
80
69
+11
73avg 72
H19/10
B League
Toyama
#11
L
79-82
79
82
-3
65avg 72
A24/10
B League
Sendai
#5
L
85-86
85
86
-1
81avg 72
H26/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
88-95
88
95
-7
84avg 72
H31/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
73-74
73
74
-1
42avg 72
H01/11
B League
Toyama
#11
W
108-75
108
75
+33
no box
H09/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
W
95-74
95
74
+21
no box
A11/11
B League
Sendai
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
H13/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
17-30
16-27
21-15
16-23
30-23
15-22
17-29
18-26
23-15
19-10
20-18
17-20
20-29
16-14
26-19
23-26
21-18
25-17
16-25
24-23
23-22
16-23
25-27
19-25
21-16
22-15
11-18
20-13
32-20
26-23
30-19
26-14
24-24
27-19
18-17
27-23
16-22
16-19
17-23
166.0Avg total
83.1Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.581.9165.5+1.640%
Season at home (9)84.282.7166.9+1.633%
Season away (6)82.580.8163.3+1.750%
Last 10 (10)83.182.9166.0+0.230%
Last 5 (5)88.081.0169.0+7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)71.783.0154.7-11.30%
vs Similar (10)81.784.5166.2-2.850%
vs Weaker (9)84.279.1163.3+5.167%
This opponent (Gunma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 163
Over 163
40.6%
Under 163
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168
Over 168
29.2%
Under 168
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 173
Over 173
19.7%
Under 173
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Gunma total 80.5
Over 80.5
68.6%
Under 80.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gunma total 84.5
Over 84.5
53.3%
Under 84.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gunma total 88.5
Over 88.5
37.5%
Under 88.5
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shimane total 79.5
Over 79.5
29.4%
Under 79.5
70.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shimane total 83.5
Over 83.5
17.9%
Under 83.5
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shimane total 87.5
Over 87.5
9.9%
Under 87.5
90.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Gunma -3
GUNM -3
78.3%
SHIM +3
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
GUNM
No market prices yet.
SHIM
No market prices yet.
Spread Gunma 0
GUNM 0
83.7%
SHIM 0
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
GUNM
No market prices yet.
SHIM
No market prices yet.
Spread Gunma +3
GUNM +3
88.7%
SHIM -3
11.3%
Best 5 market prices
GUNM
No market prices yet.
SHIM
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.9-0.9
GunmaShimane
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GunmaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A12/10
B League
Alvark
#4
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H17/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#15
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A19/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A23/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A26/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H31/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H01/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A06/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H09/11
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A13/11
B League
80.5Avg total
44.9Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.836.679.5+6.280%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.737.080.7+6.793%-
Last 30 away (15)42.036.378.3+5.767%-
Last 10 (10)44.935.680.5+9.390%-
Last 5 (5)48.032.080.0+16.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.034.078.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (5)47.240.287.4+7.080%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.936.077.9+5.979%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#13
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A10/10
B League
Chiba
#14
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A17/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H19/10
B League
Toyama
#11
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A24/10
B League
Sendai
#5
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H26/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H31/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H01/11
B League
Toyama
#11
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H09/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A11/11
B League
Sendai
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H13/11
B League
86.2Avg total
43.2Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.642.483.0-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.842.182.9-1.339%-
Last 30 away (12)40.342.883.1-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)43.243.086.2+0.230%-
Last 5 (5)46.440.486.8+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.343.179.4-6.818%-
vs Similar (10)42.342.384.6+0.050%-
vs Weaker (9)44.141.685.7+2.644%-
This opponent (Gunma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gunmatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gunma: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.0
53.3%
53.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.7
32.7%
32.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.717.3
79.7%
73.8%17.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.5
54.7%
53.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.010.7
33.4%
32.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws14.610.4
71.2%
73.8%10.4
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gunma
WWWWWWLLLW
Shimane
LWWLLLLWLL
#6
League position
#18
+9.6
Net rating
-5.9
100.4
Offensive rating
91.9
90.8
Defensive rating
97.8
51.3%
Effective FG%
52.5%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
12.0%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.22
32.7%
3-point %
33.4%
64.6%
Assist %
62.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 91.9Defence90.8 · 97.8Shooting51.3% · 52.5%3-point %32.7% · 33.4%Ball care12.0% · 14.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Gunma   ■ Shimane
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Gunma wins
4
Shimane wins
DateGameScore
05/04/26Shimane v Gunma65-81
04/04/26Shimane v Gunma55-74
22/12/24Shimane v Gunma84-87
21/12/24Shimane v Gunma54-71
07/01/24Gunma v Shimane84-96
06/01/24Gunma v Shimane90-83
02/04/23Gunma v Shimane80-87
01/04/23Gunma v Shimane73-76
13/04/22Gunma v Shimane93-85
08/01/22Gunma v Shimane65-106
Gunmalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AShinshu85-74
09/11/26HDiamond Dolphins87-76
06/11/26ASeaHorses Mikawa90-83
01/11/26HOsaka102-60
31/10/26HOsaka93-60
26/10/26AAltiri Chiba85-74
23/10/26ARyukyu85-93
19/10/26AUtsunomiya Brex80-83
17/10/26HAlvark86-100
12/10/26ASaga72-61
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HSendai76-87
11/11/26ABrave Thunders95-74
09/11/26HToyama108-75
01/11/26HHiroshima D.73-74
31/10/26HHiroshima D.88-95
26/10/26HSendai85-86
24/10/26AToyama79-82
19/10/26HBrave Thunders80-69
17/10/26AChiba78-97
10/10/26ARyukyu69-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gunma
B League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %75%88%62%
Points / game82.886.679.0
Allowed / game73.872.175.4
Point differential+9.1+14.5+3.6
Avg total156.6158.8154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shimane
B League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game83.584.282.5
Allowed / game81.982.780.8
Point differential+1.6+1.6+1.7
Avg total165.5166.9163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1312192%92.676.7+15.9
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1711665%89.980.3+9.6
9 Levanga Hokkaido1610662%96.794.6+2.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Utsunomiya Brex157847%81.983.6-1.7
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
18 Shimane156940%83.581.9+1.6
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
24 Akita1741324%83.491.5-8.2
25 Saga151147%77.894.9-17.1
26 Osaka161156%70.190.9-20.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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