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Hamar vs Thorl Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 96-104
12-35 29-19 21-29 34-21
Position#12
Record1-19
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game98.5
vs
Thorl 🏆
Iceland
Position#4
Record13-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game89.6
IcelandPremier leagueRound 21· Gryluvollur
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Thorl winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamarIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamar
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#9
L
81-106
81
106
-25
72avg 73
H14/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
88-100
88
100
-12
74avg 73
A04/01
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
89-111
89
111
-22
88avg 73
H11/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
75-101
75
101
-26
60avg 73
A18/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
87-88
87
88
-1
81avg 73
H25/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
80-93
80
93
-13
67avg 73
A01/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
67-104
67
104
-37
52avg 73
H08/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
87-97
87
97
-10
76avg 73
H15/02
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
104-91
104
91
+13
105avg 73
H07/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
72-103
72
103
-31
64avg 73
A14/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
18-25
30-35
15-28
17-31
20-21
23-29
28-19
23-26
20-28
26-29
20-28
8-42
28-18
16-20
23-21
20-24
28-20
14-23
25-21
20-22
13-26
20-22
27-23
22-23
13-33
12-18
20-30
13-24
24-22
20-25
30-26
30-21
23-17
20-21
31-32
17-33
16-17
26-30
13-23
182.4Avg total
83.0Scored
99.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.298.5181.7-15.35%
Season at home (10)88.5101.6190.1-13.110%
Season away (10)77.895.4173.2-17.60%
Last 10 (10)83.099.4182.4-16.410%
Last 5 (5)82.097.6179.6-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)82.899.6182.3-16.80%
vs Similar (2)86.589.0175.5-2.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Thorl) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#3
W
103-102
103
102
+1
90avg 87
A15/12
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
73avg 87
A04/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
98-92
98
92
+6
87avg 87
H12/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
87avg 87
A19/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
89-92
89
92
-3
83avg 87
H25/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
104-94
104
94
+10
101avg 87
A01/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
84-92
84
92
-8
79avg 87
H08/02
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
105-82
105
82
+23
109avg 87
A15/02
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
100-110
100
110
-10
98avg 87
H07/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
87-79
87
79
+8
84avg 87
A14/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
32-31
25-28
18-26
18-15
21-19
24-27
19-29
31-33
22-24
22-23
23-12
24-19
25-20
23-21
19-21
23-33
22-24
22-13
22-22
26-28
24-25
30-17
24-24
22-18
21-22
21-24
20-28
30-12
28-28
25-24
22-18
30-35
18-16
30-36
22-23
18-19
22-20
24-19
23-21
185.7Avg total
94.3Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)91.489.6181.0+1.865%
Season at home (10)92.290.5182.7+1.760%
Season away (10)90.688.7179.3+1.970%
Last 10 (10)94.391.4185.7+2.960%
Last 5 (5)96.091.4187.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.292.8177.0-8.50%
vs Similar (21)90.190.0180.1+0.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)97.285.6182.8+11.6100%
This opponent (Hamar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.6-7.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.6-7.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
HamarThorl
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A04/01
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H11/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
36-60
36
60
-24
A18/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H25/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A01/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
35-56
35
56
-21
H08/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H15/02
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H07/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A14/03
Premier league
88.2Avg total
39.1Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)39.548.988.4-9.418%-
Last 30 at home (11)43.247.490.5-4.236%-
Last 30 away (11)35.850.486.2-14.50%-
Last 10 (10)39.149.188.2-10.020%-
Last 5 (5)38.247.685.8-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.350.790.0-11.317%-
vs Similar (2)46.040.086.0+6.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Thorl) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#3
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A15/12
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A04/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H12/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A19/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H25/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A01/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H08/02
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A15/02
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H07/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A14/03
Premier league
94.3Avg total
48.5Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.644.590.1+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.044.992.9+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)43.544.287.7-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)48.545.894.3+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)47.844.692.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.240.881.0-0.575%-
vs Similar (21)45.246.091.2-0.848%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)51.641.292.8+10.480%-
This opponent (Hamar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamar: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.220.9
49.5%
51.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.5
34.4%
34.2%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.112.1
70.8%
74.4%12.1
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.424.1
56.8%
51.2%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.211.6
34.9%
34.2%34.8
🏀 Free throws13.710.4
75.9%
74.4%10.4
They take 75.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamar
LWLLLLLLLL
Thorl
WLWLWLWWLW
#12
League position
#4
-19.0
Net rating
+3.0
99.2
Offensive rating
115.3
118.3
Defensive rating
112.3
50.4%
Effective FG%
54.9%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
19.4%
Turnover %
15.8%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.18
34.4%
3-point %
34.9%
51.3%
Assist %
60.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 115.3Defence118.3 · 112.3Shooting50.4% · 54.9%3-point %34.4% · 34.9%Ball care19.4% · 15.8%Off. rebounds25.4% · 32.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Hamar   ■ Thorl
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hamar wins
1
Thorl wins
DateGameScore
07/12/23Thorl v Hamar86-80
Hamarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24ANjardvik72-103
07/03/24HBreidablik104-91
15/02/24HGrindavik87-97
08/02/24HAlftanes67-104
01/02/24AHottur80-93
25/01/24HHaukar87-88
18/01/24AStjarnan75-101
11/01/24HValur89-111
04/01/24AKeflavik88-100
14/12/23HTindastoll81-106
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24ATindastoll87-79
07/03/24HNjardvik100-110
15/02/24ABreidablik105-82
08/02/24HGrindavik84-92
01/02/24AAlftanes104-94
25/01/24HHottur89-92
19/01/24AHaukar91-81
12/01/24HStjarnan98-92
04/01/24AValur82-90
15/12/23AKeflavik103-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamar
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL5%
HomeLLLLW10%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %5%10%0%
Points / game83.288.577.8
Allowed / game98.5101.695.4
Point differential-15.3-13.1-17.6
Avg total181.7190.1173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Thorl
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW65%
HomeWWLLL60%
AwayLWWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%60%70%
Points / game91.492.290.6
Allowed / game89.690.588.7
Point differential+1.8+1.7+1.9
Avg total181.0182.7179.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur2016480%91.282.5+8.7
2 Njardvik2015575%94.086.2+7.8
3 Keflavik2014670%96.689.9+6.7
4 Grindavik2114767%93.387.0+6.4
5 Thorl2013765%91.489.6+1.8
6 Alftanes2112957%85.082.9+2.0
7 Hottur21111052%84.085.0-1.0
8 Tindastoll21101148%85.684.7+1.0
9 Stjarnan21101148%86.485.7+0.7
10 Haukar2151624%87.391.1-3.8
11 Breidablik2021810%85.6100.8-15.2
12 Hamar201195%83.298.5-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamar1229213496
Thorl35192921104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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