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Keflavik vs Thorl Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 102-103
17-28 31-32 28-25 26-18
Position#3
Record7-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.2
Allowed / game87.8
vs
Thorl 🏆
Iceland
Position#4
Record7-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game87.8
IcelandPremier leagueRound 11· Blue-hollin
Other2023-24
Meetings · Keflavik v Thorl
30 Oct 2025
KEFL86
THOR82
19 Dec 2024
KEFL105
THOR86
15 Dec 2023
KEFL102
THOR103
17 Feb 2023
KEFL83
THOR104
04 Nov 2021
KEFL80
THOR89
22 Jun 2021
KEFL97
THOR83
16 Jun 2021
KEFL73
THOR91
15 Jan 2021
KEFL115
THOR87
13 Mar 2020
KEFL78
THOR63
09 Dec 2018
KEFL91
THOR75
03 Nov 2017
KEFL98
THOR79
12 Jan 2017
KEFL82
THOR85
07 Jan 2016
KEFL91
THOR83
23 Jan 2015
KEFL114
THOR97
07 Nov 2013
KEFL97
THOR88
07 Mar 2013
KEFL106
THOR100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Thorl winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#9
L
88-105
88
105
-17
77avg 87
A14/10
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
87-86
87
86
+1
78avg 87
H19/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
74avg 87
A26/10
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
89-86
89
86
+3
79avg 87
H03/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
75-83
75
83
-8
66avg 87
A09/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
97-78
97
78
+19
87avg 87
H17/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
111-82
111
82
+29
113avg 87
A24/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
100-86
100
86
+14
90avg 87
H30/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
103-82
103
82
+21
99avg 87
A08/12
Premier league
Selfoss
#13
W
103-87
103
87
+16
94avg 87
A11/12
Icelandic Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
17-28
29-28
19-30
19-22
20-29
21-15
27-20
26-26
28-12
17-22
10-27
26-22
28-22
22-16
13-26
23-23
10-17
21-12
21-31
20-17
27-16
24-24
26-21
28-25
29-10
29-29
25-18
25-21
20-27
31-22
24-16
17-19
34-21
27-15
25-27
27-23
30-19
29-18
17-27
179.6Avg total
93.4Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)94.287.8182.0+6.470%
Season at home (4)93.284.0177.2+9.2100%
Season away (6)94.890.3185.2+4.550%
Last 10 (10)93.486.2179.6+7.270%
Last 5 (5)102.883.0185.8+19.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)90.094.1184.1-4.138%
vs Similar ◀ (11)90.690.2180.8+0.545%
vs Weaker (10)96.790.0186.7+6.770%
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
Valur
#1
L
81-96
81
96
-15
66avg 84
H06/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
84-80
84
80
+4
74avg 84
A12/10
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
84-81
84
81
+3
84avg 84
H19/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
84-83
84
83
+1
73avg 84
A26/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
84-79
84
79
+5
75avg 84
H02/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
90-93
90
93
-3
96avg 84
A09/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
120-104
120
104
+16
129avg 84
H17/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
76-103
76
103
-27
61avg 84
A23/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
96-79
96
79
+17
97avg 84
H30/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
86-80
86
80
+6
86avg 84
H07/12
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
20-29
23-33
13-19
22-17
19-22
19-20
24-21
20-20
17-22
27-16
20-23
24-22
20-15
29-25
11-21
24-17
23-23
19-19
18-20
15-21
19-24
30-23
26-25
32-25
29-25
32-17
27-37
17-35
16-18
20-30
23-20
29-16
23-18
17-29
27-16
23-13
30-22
14-27
19-18
176.3Avg total
88.5Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.587.8176.3+0.770%
Season at home (6)91.886.5178.3+5.383%
Season away (4)83.589.8173.2-6.250%
Last 10 (10)88.587.8176.3+0.770%
Last 5 (5)93.691.8185.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.594.5180.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)90.889.2179.9+1.660%
vs Weaker (8)97.682.6180.2+15.0100%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
KeflavikThorl
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A14/10
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H19/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A26/10
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H03/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A09/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H17/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
57-35
57
35
+22
A24/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H30/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A08/12
Premier league
Selfoss
#13
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A11/12
Icelandic Cup
89.5Avg total
47.7Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.145.292.2+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.344.492.7+3.962%-
Last 30 away (17)46.145.891.9+0.447%-
Last 10 (10)47.741.889.5+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)51.439.691.0+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.947.491.2-3.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)47.542.489.9+5.264%-
vs Weaker (10)48.146.894.9+1.350%-
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H06/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A12/10
Premier league
Haukar
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H19/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A26/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H02/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A09/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H17/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A23/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H30/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H07/12
Premier league
86.6Avg total
44.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.342.487.7+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.740.186.9+6.680%-
Last 30 away (15)43.944.788.6-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)44.741.986.6+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.643.490.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.544.584.0-5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)44.243.287.5+1.060%-
vs Weaker (8)49.440.089.4+9.475%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.6
56.2%
51.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.112.8
35.5%
34.2%38.4
🏀 Free throws19.614.6
74.5%
74.4%14.6
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.822.1
58.5%
51.2%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.510.5
31.3%
34.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.312.2
74.8%
74.4%12.2
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
WWWWWLWLWL
Thorl
WWLWLWWWWL
#3
League position
#4
+8.0
Net rating
+1.1
110.4
Offensive rating
111.2
102.3
Defensive rating
110.0
54.6%
Effective FG%
53.1%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
14.6%
Turnover %
17.0%
20.6%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.5%
3-point %
31.3%
53.4%
Assist %
67.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 111.2Defence102.3 · 110.0Shooting54.6% · 53.1%3-point %35.5% · 31.3%Ball care14.6% · 17.0%Off. rebounds20.6% · 32.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Keflavik   ■ Thorl
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Keflavik wins
7
Thorl wins
DateGameScore
17/02/23Keflavik v Thorl83-104
21/11/22Thorl v Keflavik116-102
11/02/22Thorl v Keflavik114-89
04/11/21Keflavik v Thorl80-89
25/06/21Thorl v Keflavik81-66
22/06/21Keflavik v Thorl97-83
19/06/21Thorl v Keflavik88-83
16/06/21Keflavik v Thorl73-91
07/03/21Thorl v Keflavik88-94
15/01/21Keflavik v Thorl115-87
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/23ASelfoss103-87
08/12/23ANjardvik103-82
30/11/23HBreidablik100-86
24/11/23AGrindavik111-82
17/11/23HAlftanes97-78
09/11/23AHottur75-83
03/11/23HHaukar89-86
26/10/23AStjarnan81-87
19/10/23HValur87-86
14/10/23ATindastoll88-105
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/23HHamar86-80
30/11/23HTindastoll96-79
23/11/23ANjardvik76-103
17/11/23HBreidablik120-104
09/11/23AGrindavik90-93
02/11/23HAlftanes84-79
26/10/23AHottur84-83
19/10/23HHaukar84-81
12/10/23AStjarnan84-80
06/10/23HValur81-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %70%100%50%
Points / game94.293.294.8
Allowed / game87.884.090.3
Point differential+6.4+9.2+4.5
Avg total182.0177.2185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Thorl
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW70%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %70%83%50%
Points / game88.591.883.5
Allowed / game87.886.589.8
Point differential+0.7+5.3-6.2
Avg total176.3178.3173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur118373%92.283.1+9.1
2 Keflavik107370%94.287.8+6.4
3 Thorl107370%88.587.8+0.7
4 Njardvik117464%94.588.6+5.8
5 Tindastoll117464%88.182.8+5.3
6 Alftanes117464%81.977.7+4.2
7 Stjarnan117464%85.982.6+3.3
8 Hottur116555%83.884.5-0.6
9 Grindavik115645%91.591.6-0.2
10 Haukar113827%89.590.8-1.4
11 Breidablik111109%83.4100.0-16.6
12 Hamar110110%83.198.4-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keflavik17312826102
Thorl28322518103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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