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Alftanes vs Thorl Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 94-104
28-26 25-24 17-30 24-24
Position#6
Record9-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Thorl 🏆
Iceland
Position#4
Record10-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game89.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 16· Ungmennafélag Álftaness
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alftanes v Thorl
09 Jan 2026
ALFT97
THOR75
13 Mar 2025
ALFT108
THOR96
01 Feb 2024
ALFT94
THOR104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alftanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Thorl winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Valur
#1
W
73-67
73
67
+6
63avg 73
H23/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
no box
A01/12
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
90-67
90
67
+23
91avg 73
H07/12
Premier league
Fjolnir
#12
W
92-78
92
78
+14
86avg 73
H11/12
Icelandic Cup
Hottur
#8
L
73-78
73
78
-5
62avg 73
A14/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
80-68
80
68
+12
74avg 73
A05/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
84-87
84
87
-3
86avg 73
A11/01
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
106-100 OT
106
100
+6
no box
H18/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
W
90-79
90
79
+11
91avg 73
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
L
51-89
51
89
-38
33avg 73
A25/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
19-19
20-13
16-12
17-17
17-23
27-26
14-9
23-13
20-23
23-20
24-11
28-19
21-18
13-21
30-20
14-22
25-22
13-17
21-17
22-20
23-17
9-15
26-16
27-19
18-23
27-21
12-24
36-22
16-23
18-22
19-22
24-23
18-22
20-17
28-17
9-22
13-14
10-28
19-25
162.6Avg total
82.9Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.579.9161.4+1.560%
Season at home (7)85.177.3162.4+7.986%
Season away (8)78.282.2160.5-4.038%
Last 10 (10)82.979.7162.6+3.270%
Last 5 (5)82.284.6166.8-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.077.7158.7+3.367%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.380.9158.2-3.644%
vs Weaker (4)93.279.2172.5+14.0100%
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#2
L
90-93
90
93
-3
96avg 84
A09/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
120-104
120
104
+16
129avg 84
H17/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
76-103
76
103
-27
61avg 84
A23/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
96-79
96
79
+17
97avg 84
H30/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
86-80
86
80
+6
86avg 84
H07/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
103-102
103
102
+1
90avg 84
A15/12
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
73avg 84
A04/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
98-92
98
92
+6
87avg 84
H12/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
87avg 84
A19/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
89-92
89
92
-3
83avg 84
H25/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
19-24
30-23
26-25
32-25
29-25
32-17
27-37
17-35
16-18
20-30
23-20
29-16
23-18
17-29
27-16
23-13
30-22
14-27
19-18
28-17
32-31
25-28
18-26
18-15
21-19
24-27
19-29
31-33
22-24
22-23
23-12
24-19
25-20
23-21
19-21
23-33
22-24
22-13
22-22
184.7Avg total
93.1Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.989.0178.9+0.967%
Season at home (8)92.287.9180.1+4.475%
Season away (7)87.190.3177.4-3.157%
Last 10 (10)93.191.6184.7+1.560%
Last 5 (5)92.691.4184.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.393.0177.3-8.70%
vs Similar ◀ (20)90.390.8181.1-0.460%
vs Weaker (7)97.382.3179.6+15.0100%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
AlftanesThorl
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H23/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A01/12
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/12
Premier league
Fjolnir
#12
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H11/12
Icelandic Cup
Hottur
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A14/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A05/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A11/01
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H18/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A21/01
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#5
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A25/01
Premier league
81.2Avg total
40.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)41.141.782.8-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (9)44.041.985.9+2.167%-
Last 30 away (9)38.241.479.7-3.233%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.481.2+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.082.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.040.784.7+3.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.942.180.0-4.222%-
vs Weaker (4)46.838.285.0+8.5100%-
This opponent (Thorl) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A09/11
Premier league
Breidablik
#11
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H17/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A23/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H30/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H07/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A15/12
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A04/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H12/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A19/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H25/01
Premier league
93.1Avg total
47.9Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.243.688.8+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.242.990.1+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)43.144.387.5-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)47.945.293.1+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)49.247.096.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.341.080.3-1.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)44.945.590.3-0.650%-
vs Weaker (7)48.639.488.0+9.171%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.920.3
47.3%
51.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.4
35.0%
34.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.912.7
70.9%
74.4%12.7
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 92.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.924.2
59.2%
51.2%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.011.2
32.9%
34.2%33.6
🏀 Free throws14.010.4
74.3%
74.4%10.4
They take 74.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alftanes
LWWLWLWWWW
Thorl
LWWLWWWLWL
#6
League position
#4
+0.5
Net rating
+1.7
99.8
Offensive rating
115.1
99.3
Defensive rating
113.4
49.2%
Effective FG%
54.7%
45.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.6%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.19
35.0%
3-point %
32.9%
55.7%
Assist %
63.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 115.1Defence99.3 · 113.4Shooting49.2% · 54.7%3-point %35.0% · 32.9%Ball care15.6% · 16.6%Off. rebounds21.7% · 34.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Alftanes   ■ Thorl
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alftanes wins
1
Thorl wins
DateGameScore
02/11/23Thorl v Alftanes84-79
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/24ANjardvik51-89
21/01/24AGrindavik90-79
18/01/24HBreidablik106-100 OT
11/01/24AGrindavik84-87
05/01/24ATindastoll80-68
14/12/23AHottur73-78
11/12/23HFjolnir92-78
07/12/23HHaukar90-67
01/12/23AStjarnan90-84 OT
23/11/23HValur73-67
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/24HHottur89-92
19/01/24AHaukar91-81
12/01/24HStjarnan98-92
04/01/24AValur82-90
15/12/23AKeflavik103-102
07/12/23HHamar86-80
30/11/23HTindastoll96-79
23/11/23ANjardvik76-103
17/11/23HBreidablik120-104
09/11/23AGrindavik90-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alftanes
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL60%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%86%38%
Points / game81.585.178.2
Allowed / game79.977.382.2
Point differential+1.5+7.9-4.0
Avg total161.4162.4160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %13%14%12%
Thorl
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%75%57%
Points / game89.992.287.1
Allowed / game89.087.990.3
Point differential+0.9+4.4-3.1
Avg total178.9180.1177.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur1512380%94.083.1+10.9
2 Njardvik1511473%93.285.3+7.9
3 Keflavik1510567%94.889.9+4.9
4 Thorl1510567%89.989.0+0.9
5 Grindavik159660%91.989.5+2.3
6 Alftanes159660%81.579.9+1.5
7 Stjarnan158753%87.985.3+2.6
8 Hottur158753%83.784.1-0.4
9 Tindastoll157847%86.585.4+1.1
10 Haukar1541127%87.790.2-2.5
11 Breidablik1521313%84.998.9-14.0
12 Hamar150150%83.598.8-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alftanes2825172494
Thorl26243024104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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