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Breidablik vs Thorl Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 82-105
12-30 28-28 24-25 18-22
Position#11
Record2-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game98.7
vs
Thorl 🏆
Iceland
Position#4
Record11-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game89.5
IcelandPremier leagueRound 18· Smarinn
Other2023-24
Meetings · Breidablik v Thorl
15 Feb 2024
BREI82
THOR105
06 Jan 2023
BREI113
THOR137
11 Nov 2021
BREI102
THOR104
15 Nov 2018
BREI107
THOR110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breidablik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Thorl winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreidablikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreidablik
Date
Competition
Hamar
#12
W
87-69
87
69
+18
79avg 73
H24/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
86-100
86
100
-14
77avg 73
A30/11
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
85-110
85
110
-25
70avg 73
H07/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
81-89
81
89
-8
70avg 73
H10/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#7
L
73-97
73
97
-24
54avg 73
H14/12
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
95-86
95
86
+9
89avg 73
A04/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
78-86
78
86
-8
61avg 73
H11/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
100-106 OT
100
106
-6
no box
A18/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
84-106
84
106
-22
74avg 73
H25/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
90-95
90
95
-5
83avg 73
A01/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
26-22
24-15
21-15
21-25
27-20
22-31
16-24
19-29
26-27
25-25
15-29
18-24
18-25
23-17
22-23
22-28
14-28
20-19
17-22
24-23
29-23
26-19
16-21
12-22
15-27
14-19
37-18
22-36
23-16
22-18
22-19
30-24
20-27
20-27
14-28
21-20
22-22
25-16
22-37
180.3Avg total
85.9Scored
94.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.298.7183.9-13.412%
Season at home (9)81.297.4178.7-16.211%
Season away (7)90.4100.3190.7-9.914%
Last 10 (10)85.994.4180.3-8.520%
Last 5 (5)89.495.8185.2-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)88.1103.0191.0-14.98%
vs Similar (4)94.599.2193.8-4.825%
vs Weaker (1)109.0112.0221.0-3.00%
This opponent (Thorl) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThorl
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
L
76-103
76
103
-27
61avg 85
A23/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
96-79
96
79
+17
97avg 85
H30/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
86-80
86
80
+6
86avg 85
H07/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
103-102
103
102
+1
90avg 85
A15/12
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
73avg 85
A04/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
98-92
98
92
+6
87avg 85
H12/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
87avg 85
A19/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
89-92
89
92
-3
83avg 85
H25/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
104-94
104
94
+10
101avg 85
A01/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
84-92
84
92
-8
79avg 85
H08/02
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-35
16-18
20-30
23-20
29-16
23-18
17-29
27-16
23-13
30-22
14-27
19-18
28-17
32-31
25-28
18-26
18-15
21-19
24-27
19-29
31-33
22-24
22-23
23-12
24-19
25-20
23-21
19-21
23-33
22-24
22-13
22-22
26-28
24-25
30-17
24-24
22-18
21-22
21-24
20-28
181.4Avg total
90.9Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)90.489.5179.8+0.965%
Season at home (9)91.388.3179.7+3.067%
Season away (8)89.290.8180.0-1.562%
Last 10 (10)90.990.5181.4+0.460%
Last 5 (5)93.290.2183.4+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.292.8177.0-8.50%
vs Similar (20)89.989.6179.5+0.365%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)98.381.5179.8+16.8100%
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
BreidablikThorl
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreidablikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamar
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H24/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A30/11
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H07/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H10/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#7
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H14/12
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A04/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H11/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A18/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H25/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A01/02
Premier league
91.0Avg total
42.5Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.752.297.0-7.527%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.850.994.7-7.229%-
Last 30 away (13)46.053.999.9-7.923%-
Last 10 (10)42.548.591.0-6.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.648.091.6-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)44.551.896.3-7.229%-
vs Similar (4)44.854.098.8-9.225%-
vs Weaker (1)58.060.0118.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Thorl) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ThorlLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Njardvik
#5
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A23/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H30/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H07/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A15/12
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A04/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H12/01
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A19/01
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H25/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A01/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H08/02
Premier league
92.7Avg total
47.7Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.243.388.5+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.242.589.7+4.773%-
Last 30 away (15)43.144.187.3-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)47.745.092.7+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)48.049.297.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.240.881.0-0.575%-
vs Similar (20)44.945.490.2-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)49.538.287.7+11.383%-
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breidabliktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breidablik: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.4
48.9%
51.2%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.812.4
32.8%
34.2%37.2
🏀 Free throws16.713.6
81.4%
74.4%13.6
They take 73.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Thorltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Thorl: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.423.8
57.5%
51.2%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.911.1
32.7%
34.2%33.3
🏀 Free throws12.79.3
73.2%
74.4%9.3
They take 75.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breidablik
LLLLWLLLLW
Thorl
LWLWWLWWWL
#11
League position
#4
-10.5
Net rating
+0.4
99.9
Offensive rating
113.8
110.3
Defensive rating
113.5
49.0%
Effective FG%
53.7%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
18.3%
Turnover %
16.2%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.17
32.8%
3-point %
32.7%
51.0%
Assist %
57.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 113.8Defence110.3 · 113.5Shooting49.0% · 53.7%3-point %32.8% · 32.7%Ball care18.3% · 16.2%Off. rebounds23.7% · 34.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Breidablik   ■ Thorl
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Breidablik wins
6
Thorl wins
DateGameScore
17/11/23Thorl v Breidablik120-104
06/01/23Breidablik v Thorl113-137
06/10/22Thorl v Breidablik100-111
18/02/22Thorl v Breidablik136-116
11/11/21Breidablik v Thorl102-104
07/02/19Thorl v Breidablik132-93
15/11/18Breidablik v Thorl107-110
Breidabliklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24ATindastoll90-95
25/01/24HGrindavik84-106
18/01/24AAlftanes100-106 OT
11/01/24HHottur78-86
04/01/24AHaukar95-86
14/12/23HStjarnan73-97
10/12/23HTindastoll81-89
07/12/23HValur85-110
30/11/23AKeflavik86-100
24/11/23HHamar87-69
Thorllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24HGrindavik84-92
01/02/24AAlftanes104-94
25/01/24HHottur89-92
19/01/24AHaukar91-81
12/01/24HStjarnan98-92
04/01/24AValur82-90
15/12/23AKeflavik103-102
07/12/23HHamar86-80
30/11/23HTindastoll96-79
23/11/23ANjardvik76-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breidablik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL12%
HomeWLLLL11%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %12%11%14%
Points / game85.281.290.4
Allowed / game98.797.4100.3
Point differential-13.4-16.2-9.9
Avg total183.9178.7190.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%14%
Thorl
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL65%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%67%62%
Points / game90.491.389.2
Allowed / game89.588.390.8
Point differential+0.9+3.0-1.5
Avg total179.8179.7180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%22%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur1714382%92.882.3+10.5
2 Keflavik1611569%95.490.1+5.2
3 Njardvik1611569%92.487.4+5.0
4 Grindavik1711665%93.488.6+4.8
5 Thorl1711665%90.489.5+0.9
6 Alftanes1710759%83.580.6+2.9
7 Hottur169756%84.383.9+0.4
8 Tindastoll179853%86.484.8+1.6
9 Stjarnan1881044%86.385.7+0.7
10 Haukar1851328%87.990.1-2.2
11 Breidablik1621412%85.298.7-13.4
12 Hamar170170%82.498.8-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breidablik1228241882
Thorl30282522105
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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