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Bayern vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-64
25-16 19-11 17-28 25-9
Position#1
Record24-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game74.3
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#8
Record14-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game82.7
GermanyBBLRound 23· BMW Park
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Bayern v Rostock
13 Apr 2027
BAY v ROS
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
BAY86
ROS64
22 Mar 2025
BAY91
ROS66
12 May 2024
BAY101
ROS73
26 Apr 2023
BAY108
ROS76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#14
L
81-96
81
96
-15
72avg 79
A29/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#4
W
85-76
85
76
+9
78avg 79
H01/04
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
79-91
79
91
-12
73avg 79
A04/04
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
85-80
85
80
+5
85avg 79
A07/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
94-84
94
84
+10
95avg 79
A09/04
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#11
W
91-77
91
77
+14
86avg 79
H12/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
93-59
93
59
+34
96avg 79
H14/04
BBL
Barcelona
#8
L
69-95
69
95
-26
59avg 79
A17/04
Euroleague
Trier
#12
W
104-80
104
80
+24
106avg 79
A20/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
90-81
90
81
+9
92avg 79
A23/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
20-24
17-21
22-27
25-12
18-18
24-30
18-16
19-26
23-16
15-28
22-21
23-16
20-27
23-15
19-22
20-20
32-14
22-21
20-29
26-28
20-17
19-13
26-19
26-23
17-18
27-10
23-8
19-20
12-22
17-26
21-27
21-19
34-18
18-18
31-25
21-14
16-32
29-20
24-15
169.0Avg total
87.1Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)88.174.3162.4+13.983%
Season at home (13)88.375.1163.4+13.292%
Season away (16)88.073.6161.6+14.475%
Last 10 (10)87.181.9169.0+5.270%
Last 5 (5)89.478.4167.8+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.580.3161.8+1.267%
vs Similar (9)81.984.4166.3-2.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.780.3172.1+11.467%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Trier
#12
W
118-103
118
103
+15
113avg 76
H06/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
L
73-78
73
78
-5
70avg 76
H15/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
85-89
85
89
-4
80avg 76
A20/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
L
74-97
74
97
-23
62avg 76
A29/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
98-78
98
78
+20
96avg 76
H01/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
101-70
101
70
+31
105avg 76
A05/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
L
79-81
79
81
-2
73avg 76
A13/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
68-75
68
75
-7
60avg 76
H19/04
BBL
Hamburg
#14
L
86-91 OT
86
91
-5
63avg 76
A22/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
61-75
61
75
-14
52avg 76
A25/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
38-25
25-28
32-32
20-14
17-19
18-19
18-26
29-14
27-25
18-29
11-21
19-27
12-24
26-29
17-17
35-12
16-12
27-33
20-21
32-22
22-8
22-17
25-23
15-14
23-24
25-24
16-19
15-11
20-30
19-12
14-22
18-19
18-24
20-13
24-24
26-19
13-22
8-15
14-19
168.0Avg total
84.3Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)83.482.7166.2+0.747%
Season at home (15)84.782.6167.3+2.153%
Season away (15)82.282.9165.1-0.740%
Last 10 (10)84.383.7168.0+0.630%
Last 5 (5)79.078.4157.4+0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)78.684.3162.9-5.714%
vs Similar (8)79.481.2160.6-1.938%
vs Weaker (15)87.982.7170.6+5.360%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -3.3-3.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -3.3-3.3
BayernRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#14
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A29/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H01/04
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/04
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A07/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A09/04
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#11
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H12/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H14/04
BBL
Barcelona
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A17/04
Euroleague
Trier
#12
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A20/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A23/04
BBL
84.2Avg total
43.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.739.882.5+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.137.878.9+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)44.341.786.1+2.647%-
Last 10 (10)43.440.884.2+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.284.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.039.882.8+3.283%-
vs Similar (9)40.338.478.8+1.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.140.584.6+3.553%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trier
#12
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H06/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H15/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A20/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A29/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H01/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A05/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A13/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H19/04
BBL
Hamburg
#14
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A22/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A25/04
BBL
82.1Avg total
43.8Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.380.5+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.338.478.7+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)42.240.382.5+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)43.838.382.1+5.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.679.0+1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.040.778.7-2.757%-
vs Similar (8)40.642.683.2-2.025%-
vs Weaker (15)43.036.879.8+6.267%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.618.1
63.3%
53.8%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.3
36.9%
34.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws13.19.9
75.6%
73.5%9.9
They take 53.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.916.3
49.5%
53.8%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.611.9
32.5%
34.0%35.7
🏀 Free throws23.416.0
68.4%
73.5%16.0
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWLWWWWLWL
Rostock
LLLLWWLLLW
#1
League position
#8
+7.3
Net rating
+1.3
76.1
Offensive rating
93.0
68.9
Defensive rating
91.7
59.6%
Effective FG%
49.1%
59.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
15.8%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.9%
3-point %
32.5%
80.3%
Assist %
69.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence76.1 · 93.0Defence68.9 · 91.7Shooting59.6% · 49.1%3-point %36.9% · 32.5%Ball care15.8% · 14.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Bayern   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Bayern wins
0
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
31/12/25Rostock v Bayern67-85
22/03/25Bayern v Rostock91-66
15/12/24Rostock v Bayern70-80
12/05/24Bayern v Rostock101-73
07/01/24Rostock v Bayern85-91
26/04/23Bayern v Rostock108-76
03/01/23Rostock v Bayern65-78
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/26AWurzburg90-81
20/04/26ATrier104-80
17/04/26ABarcelona69-95
14/04/26HLudwigsburg93-59
12/04/26HChemnitz91-77
09/04/26AOlimpia Milano94-84
07/04/26AVirtus Bologna85-80
04/04/26ASyntainics MBC79-91
01/04/26HFenerbahce85-76
29/03/26AHamburg81-96
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26ALudwigsburg61-75
22/04/26AHamburg86-91 OT
19/04/26HUlm68-75
13/04/26AOldenburg79-81
05/04/26AHeidelberg101-70
01/04/26HBasketball Braunschweig98-78
29/03/26AFrankfurt74-97
20/03/26AAlba Berlin85-89
15/03/26HChemnitz73-78
06/03/26HTrier118-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeLWWWW92%
AwayLLLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %83%92%75%
Points / game88.188.388.0
Allowed / game74.375.173.6
Point differential+13.9+13.2+14.4
Avg total162.4163.4161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%77%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Rostock
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL47%
HomeLWLWL53%
AwayLWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %47%53%40%
Points / game83.484.782.2
Allowed / game82.782.682.9
Point differential+0.7+2.1-0.7
Avg total166.2167.3165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%27%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)43% (7)20% (5)
Overtime %13%13%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2924583%88.174.3+13.9
2 Alba Berlin3123874%86.377.9+8.4
3 Bamberg30201067%89.382.6+6.7
4 Bonn31191261%82.780.0+2.7
5 Ulm32181456%82.278.2+4.0
6 Wurzburg31171455%81.281.0+0.2
7 Ludwigsburg31171455%82.883.5-0.6
8 Vechta31161552%90.288.4+1.8
9 Trier31161552%90.893.3-2.5
10 Rostock30141647%83.482.7+0.7
11 Chemnitz30141647%83.985.2-1.3
12 Oldenburg31141745%82.884.2-1.4
13 Hamburg31131842%86.087.9-1.9
14 Syntainics MBC31131842%85.187.1-2.0
15 Frankfurt31121939%81.785.0-3.3
16 Jena31112035%81.689.4-7.8
17 Basketball Braunschweig3182326%81.890.0-8.2
18 Heidelberg3182326%78.386.6-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2519172586
Rostock161128964
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