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Rostock vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 92-78
30-20 20-23 21-15 21-20
Position#12
Record4-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game76.7
Rostock 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#13
Record4-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game80.1
GermanyBBLRound 13· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Rostock v Hamburg
27 Mar 2027
ROS v HAM
upcoming
10 May 2026
ROS103
HAM71
26 Dec 2024
ROS92
HAM78
13 Jan 2024
ROS94
HAM111
18 Dec 2022
ROS82
HAM76
15 Apr 2019
ROS85
HAM91
09 Apr 2019
ROS94
HAM79
03 Feb 2019
ROS68
HAM74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#17
W
102-74
102
74
+28
108avg 69
H28/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
64-70
64
70
-6
61avg 69
A02/10
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
65-92
65
92
-27
61avg 69
H05/10
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
89-75
89
75
+14
88avg 69
A20/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
L
60-68
60
68
-8
49avg 69
H27/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
83-66
83
66
+17
74avg 69
H01/11
BBL
Bonn
#14
L
64-69
64
69
-5
56avg 69
H10/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
81-86
81
86
-5
62avg 69
A30/11
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
70-80
70
80
-10
63avg 69
H15/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
63-80
63
80
-17
53avg 69
A21/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
23-17
35-13
23-25
17-18
15-16
17-24
15-12
15-23
12-24
6-26
32-19
23-24
17-12
26-20
23-19
17-16
20-19
12-12
11-21
23-16
22-25
18-16
20-9
13-12
22-15
9-25
20-17
18-14
21-21
24-23
18-28
19-14
21-24
15-28
15-14
22-12
12-19
7-26
22-23
150.1Avg total
74.1Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.376.7152.0-1.536%
Season at home (6)74.074.8148.8-0.833%
Season away (5)76.879.0155.8-2.240%
Last 10 (10)74.176.0150.1-1.930%
Last 5 (5)72.276.2148.4-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.793.5174.2-12.815%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.982.7158.6-6.818%
vs Weaker (5)86.677.6164.2+9.060%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#18
L
68-91
68
91
-23
64avg 75
A06/11
Eurocup
Aris
#19
W
93-69
93
69
+24
92avg 75
H12/11
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#4
L
68-73
68
73
-5
49avg 75
A15/11
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
68-95
68
95
-27
63avg 75
A28/11
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#16
W
91-78
91
78
+13
92avg 75
H30/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#12
L
82-93
82
93
-11
73avg 75
A04/12
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
41avg 75
H10/12
Eurocup
Vechta
#10
W
79-69
79
69
+10
68avg 75
A14/12
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
W
82-80
82
80
+2
75avg 75
H17/12
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
66-73
66
73
-7
69avg 75
H21/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
9-24
17-22
21-21
24-14
30-24
18-21
21-10
10-26
22-11
22-11
14-25
14-20
18-22
18-29
18-24
26-15
21-24
26-16
18-23
31-20
27-27
9-26
15-20
18-27
24-25
11-22
25-12
23-18
17-17
22-21
17-13
21-22
22-21
19-17
20-20
12-15
17-20
22-16
15-22
158.2Avg total
77.5Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.080.1160.1-0.140%
Season at home (5)83.281.0164.2+2.260%
Season away (5)76.879.2156.0-2.420%
Last 10 (10)77.580.7158.2-3.240%
Last 5 (5)77.480.2157.6-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.188.3166.4-10.121%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.483.5163.9-3.236%
vs Weaker (4)89.277.5166.8+11.8100%
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
RostockHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#17
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H28/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A02/10
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H05/10
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A20/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H27/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H01/11
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H10/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A30/11
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H15/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A21/12
BBL
73.3Avg total
37.3Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.481.7-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.939.678.5-0.850%-
Last 30 away (16)41.642.984.5-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)37.336.073.3+1.380%-
Last 5 (5)38.634.473.0+4.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.145.186.2-4.023%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.238.476.5-0.264%-
vs Weaker (5)43.437.480.8+6.080%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#18
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A06/11
Eurocup
Aris
#19
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H12/11
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A15/11
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A28/11
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#16
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H30/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#12
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A04/12
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H10/12
Eurocup
Vechta
#10
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A14/12
BBL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H17/12
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H21/12
BBL
82.3Avg total
40.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.543.984.4-3.430%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.642.983.5-2.243%-
Last 30 away (16)40.344.885.1-4.519%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.682.3-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.484.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.346.286.5-5.921%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.543.983.4-4.518%-
vs Weaker (4)45.036.281.2+8.8100%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.0
51.6%
52.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.3
34.4%
33.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws15.610.6
67.9%
73.5%10.6
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.1
55.7%
52.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.0
31.5%
33.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.113.3
73.5%
73.5%13.3
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LLLLWLWLLW
Hamburg
LWWLLWLLWL
#12
League position
#13
-2.1
Net rating
-4.5
102.2
Offensive rating
101.9
104.2
Defensive rating
106.5
51.6%
Effective FG%
51.7%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
21.1%
Turnover %
23.2%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.4%
3-point %
31.5%
55.3%
Assist %
57.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 101.9Defence104.2 · 106.5Shooting51.6% · 51.7%3-point %34.4% · 31.5%Ball care21.1% · 23.2%Off. rebounds31.0% · 32.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Rostock   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Rostock wins
7
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24Hamburg v Rostock105-89
13/01/24Rostock v Hamburg94-111
03/02/23Hamburg v Rostock81-91
18/12/22Rostock v Hamburg82-76
15/04/19Rostock v Hamburg85-91
12/04/19Hamburg v Rostock84-74
09/04/19Rostock v Hamburg94-79
06/04/19Hamburg v Rostock79-64
03/02/19Rostock v Hamburg68-74
14/12/18Hamburg v Rostock83-69
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24ABasketball Braunschweig63-80
15/12/24HBayern70-80
30/11/24AHeidelberg81-86
10/11/24HBonn64-69
01/11/24HFrankfurt83-66
27/10/24HChemnitz60-68
20/10/24ABamberg89-75
05/10/24HWurzburg65-92
02/10/24ALudwigsburg64-70
28/09/24HGottingen102-74
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HLudwigsburg66-73
17/12/24HHapoel Jerusalem82-80
14/12/24AVechta79-69
10/12/24HValencia78-86
04/12/24AJL Bourg82-93
30/11/24HFrankfurt91-78
28/11/24ACedevita Olimpija68-95
15/11/24AHeidelberg68-73
12/11/24HAris93-69
06/11/24ALietkabelis68-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%33%40%
Points / game75.374.076.8
Allowed / game76.774.879.0
Point differential-1.5-0.8-2.2
Avg total152.0148.8155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Hamburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game80.083.276.8
Allowed / game80.181.079.2
Point differential-0.1+2.2-2.4
Avg total160.1164.2156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wurzburg118373%82.174.1+8.0
2 Bayern118373%81.274.0+7.2
3 Heidelberg128467%80.978.7+2.2
4 Ulm117464%83.278.4+4.8
5 Basketball Braunschweig106460%76.874.3+2.5
6 Ludwigsburg127558%75.572.2+3.3
7 Syntainics MBC116555%84.082.9+1.1
8 Chemnitz116555%79.481.4-2.0
9 Bonn126650%85.485.7-0.2
10 Vechta105550%80.783.2-2.5
11 Oldenburg115645%86.186.3-0.2
12 Alba Berlin104640%85.582.8+2.7
13 Hamburg104640%80.080.1-0.1
14 Bamberg104640%81.583.0-1.5
15 Rostock114736%75.376.7-1.5
16 Frankfurt113827%78.584.4-5.9
17 Gottingen101910%79.499.6-20.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock3020212192
Hamburg2023152078
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