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Hamburg vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 105-89
29-24 29-19 25-23 22-23
Position#10
Record10-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game88.4
Hamburg 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#15
Record6-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game94.1
GermanyBBLRound 20· Edel-optics.de Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Hamburg v Rostock
03 Oct 2026
HAM84
ROS91
22 Apr 2026
HAM91
ROS86
08 Mar 2025
HAM78
ROS77
10 Feb 2024
HAM105
ROS89
03 Feb 2023
HAM81
ROS91
12 Apr 2019
HAM84
ROS74
06 Apr 2019
HAM79
ROS64
14 Dec 2018
HAM83
ROS69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
81-72
81
72
+9
74avg 75
H06/01
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
90-96
90
96
-6
82avg 75
H10/01
Eurocup
Rostock
#15
W
111-94
111
94
+17
111avg 75
A13/01
BBL
Besiktas
#10
L
83-94 OT
83
94
-11
72avg 75
H17/01
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#8
L
80-91
80
91
-11
73avg 75
H20/01
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
L
83-114
83
114
-31
73avg 75
H24/01
Eurocup
Vechta
#6
L
71-79
71
79
-8
58avg 75
A28/01
BBL
BC Wolves
#14
L
84-94
84
94
-10
77avg 75
A30/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 75
H03/02
BBL
Venezia
#12
L
83-90
83
90
-7
79avg 75
H06/02
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
23-20
20-11
16-16
28-23
24-30
16-20
22-23
26-20
26-37
36-13
23-24
19-19
12-25
27-21
22-15
21-21
14-22
22-26
23-22
22-28
23-24
17-31
21-31
23-22
18-18
13-20
17-19
20-22
21-34
22-19
21-19
18-20
25-18
21-22
16-27
20-21
15-25
28-15
20-29
175.7Avg total
84.6Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.988.4175.3-1.456%
Season at home (8)81.286.1167.4-4.950%
Season away (10)91.590.2181.7+1.360%
Last 10 (10)84.691.1175.7-6.520%
Last 5 (5)80.292.8173.0-12.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)82.296.0178.2-13.816%
vs Similar (5)85.889.6175.4-3.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)98.589.3187.8+9.2100%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#11
L
83-93
83
93
-10
81avg 78
A28/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
107-89
107
89
+18
109avg 78
A03/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
101-78
101
78
+23
97avg 78
H17/12
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
98-92
98
92
+6
101avg 78
H26/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
no box
A30/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
85-91
85
91
-6
79avg 78
H07/01
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
94-111
94
111
-17
94avg 78
H13/01
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 78
H20/01
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
90-104 OT
90
104
-14
no box
A27/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
90-94
90
94
-4
74avg 78
H03/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
6-25
24-21
26-23
28-18
27-34
29-18
23-19
32-16
20-26
23-15
26-21
30-24
21-27
19-22
28-19
16-13
24-21
25-21
13-23
16-27
23-24
18-16
28-24
20-26
37-26
13-36
24-23
13-23
27-23
14-22
24-23
22-20
21-25
15-21
28-20
26-23
18-26
19-19
27-26
183.5Avg total
90.7Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)91.194.1185.2-2.933%
Season at home (10)95.796.2191.9-0.550%
Season away (8)85.491.4176.8-6.012%
Last 10 (10)90.792.8183.5-2.130%
Last 5 (5)87.498.2185.6-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)87.394.2181.5-6.823%
vs Similar (4)93.092.8185.8+0.250%
vs Weaker (12)92.382.5174.8+9.875%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
HamburgRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H06/01
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H10/01
Eurocup
Rostock
#15
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A13/01
BBL
Besiktas
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H17/01
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#8
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H20/01
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H24/01
Eurocup
Vechta
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A28/01
BBL
BC Wolves
#14
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A30/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H03/02
BBL
Venezia
#12
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H06/02
Eurocup
89.4Avg total
42.0Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.848.190.9-5.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.347.287.5-6.921%-
Last 30 away (16)45.048.993.9-3.938%-
Last 10 (10)42.047.489.4-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)41.046.487.4-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)41.750.191.8-8.421%-
vs Similar (5)42.644.086.6-1.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)46.345.391.7+1.050%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#11
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A28/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A03/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H17/12
BBL
Bonn
#7
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H26/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A30/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H07/01
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H13/01
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H20/01
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A27/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H03/02
BBL
92.5Avg total
45.4Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.943.587.4+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.843.088.8+2.856%-
Last 30 away (14)41.944.085.9-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)45.447.192.5-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.648.693.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)43.847.591.4-3.731%-
vs Similar (4)47.547.595.0+0.025%-
vs Weaker (12)43.237.881.1+5.467%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.1
56.1%
54.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.5
36.8%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.715.3
77.7%
76.0%15.3
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.4
55.2%
54.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.211.0
42.0%
35.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.415.6
80.4%
76.0%15.6
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LLLLLLLWLW
Rostock
LLLLLLWWWL
#10
League position
#15
-7.6
Net rating
+2.1
112.6
Offensive rating
120.9
120.3
Defensive rating
118.8
55.8%
Effective FG%
58.3%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
19.7%
Turnover %
16.4%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.8%
3-point %
42.0%
60.5%
Assist %
66.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 120.9Defence120.3 · 118.8Shooting55.8% · 58.3%3-point %36.8% · 42.0%Ball care19.7% · 16.4%Off. rebounds31.4% · 31.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Hamburg   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Hamburg wins
3
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
13/01/24Rostock v Hamburg94-111
03/02/23Hamburg v Rostock81-91
18/12/22Rostock v Hamburg82-76
15/04/19Rostock v Hamburg85-91
12/04/19Hamburg v Rostock84-74
09/04/19Rostock v Hamburg94-79
06/04/19Hamburg v Rostock79-64
03/02/19Rostock v Hamburg68-74
14/12/18Hamburg v Rostock83-69
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/24HVenezia83-90
03/02/24HBonn80-87
30/01/24ABC Wolves84-94
28/01/24AVechta71-79
24/01/24HCedevita Olimpija83-114
20/01/24HOldenburg80-91
17/01/24HBesiktas83-94 OT
13/01/24ARostock111-94
10/01/24HJoventut Badalona90-96
06/01/24HBasketball Braunschweig81-72
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HChemnitz90-94
27/01/24AGottingen90-104 OT
20/01/24HWurzburg78-91
13/01/24HHamburg94-111
07/01/24HBayern85-91
30/12/23AVechta81-85 OT
26/12/23HBonn98-92
17/12/23HBasketball Braunschweig101-78
03/12/23AUlm107-89
28/11/23ABamberg83-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game86.981.291.5
Allowed / game88.486.190.2
Point differential-1.4-4.9+1.3
Avg total175.3167.4181.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Rostock
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWLLLL50%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %33%50%12%
Points / game91.195.785.4
Allowed / game94.196.291.4
Point differential-2.9-0.5-6.0
Avg total185.2191.9176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %22%20%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1916384%87.576.2+11.3
2 Bayern1714382%88.976.3+12.6
3 Alba Berlin1611569%91.884.9+6.9
4 Vechta1913668%90.580.8+9.7
5 Wurzburg1913668%85.278.8+6.4
6 Ulm1913668%92.289.0+3.2
7 Ludwigsburg1912763%88.979.6+9.3
8 Bonn2012860%90.385.2+5.1
9 Hamburg1810856%86.988.4-1.4
10 Basketball Braunschweig21101148%84.486.2-1.8
11 Oldenburg1991047%85.285.8-0.6
12 Bamberg2071335%87.090.5-3.5
13 Rostock1861233%91.194.1-2.9
14 Syntainics MBC1961332%85.089.9-4.9
15 Gottingen1751229%90.799.9-9.2
16 Tubingen1951426%87.396.6-9.4
17 Crailsheim Merlins1941521%79.193.6-14.5
18 Heidelberg2031715%81.896.0-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hamburg29292522105
Rostock2419232389
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