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Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 102-98
29-20 34-23 12-32 27-23
Position#10
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#5
Record0-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game86.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 3· Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Hapoel Tel-Aviv v Real Madrid
01 Oct 2026
HTA102
MAD98
07 May 2026
HTA81
MAD87
05 May 2026
HTA76
MAD69
25 Nov 2025
HTA74
MAD75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hapoel Tel-Aviv winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hapoel Tel-AvivLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTel-Aviv
Date
Competition
Maccabi Rishon
#7
W
96-83
96
83
+13
85avg 76
H04/06
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
20-1
20
1
+19
66avg 76
H07/06
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
88-84
88
84
+4
59avg 76
A09/06
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
89-81
89
81
+8
65avg 76
H11/06
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
75-96
75
96
-21
56avg 76
A16/06
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
98-102
98
102
-4
76avg 76
H18/06
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
W
80-74
80
74
+6
63avg 76
A21/06
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
no box
H23/06
Super League
Bayern
#18
L
84-86
84
86
-2
73avg 76
H24/09
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
W
81-80
81
80
+1
64avg 76
A29/09
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
21-22
22-28
28-17
–
–
–
–
20-26
23-14
28-28
17-16
21-19
20-17
25-30
23-15
16-25
18-24
18-23
23-24
20-20
28-26
25-33
25-23
25-20
18-16
13-19
24-19
20-22
23-20
21-20
15-21
21-16
18-28
18-24
27-18
28-18
17-17
22-24
14-21
156.0Avg total
79.0Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.583.0165.5-0.550%
Season at home (1)84.086.0170.0-2.00%
Season away (1)81.080.0161.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.077.0156.0+2.060%
Last 5 (5)84.485.0169.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)88.790.2178.8-1.533%
vs Similar (9)83.387.7171.0-4.344%
vs Weaker (15)83.277.3160.5+5.967%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
W
105-90
105
90
+15
104avg 86
A22/05
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
78avg 86
A24/05
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
L
83-88
83
88
-5
76avg 86
H27/05
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
87-94
87
94
-7
76avg 86
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
97-98
97
98
-1
88avg 86
H02/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
118-83
118
83
+35
121avg 86
A04/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
95-107
95
107
-12
87avg 86
H06/06
ACB
Dubai
#9
L
77-78
77
78
-1
64avg 86
A24/09
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
W
89-87
89
87
+2
83avg 86
H27/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#13
L
84-94
84
94
-10
86avg 86
A29/09
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
36-28
24-17
19-17
26-19
18-27
21-15
20-31
29-26
17-16
20-22
17-24
19-26
29-30
25-18
14-20
26-21
24-27
25-23
22-27
21-24
30-21
34-20
33-18
24-23
21-26
28-21
22-37
16-20
28-18
18-25
15-15
23-22
23-25
19-24
24-16
29-27
12-26
24-19
19-22
183.1Avg total
92.0Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.586.0166.5-5.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)80.586.0166.5-5.50%
Last 10 (10)92.091.1183.1+0.930%
Last 5 (5)92.689.8182.4+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.082.0178.0+14.0100%
vs Similar (12)91.486.4177.8+5.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)92.089.8181.8+2.241%
This opponent (Hapoel Tel-Aviv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.2-2.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.2-2.2
Hapoel Tel-AvivReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hapoel Tel-AvivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Rishon
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H04/06
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A09/06
Super League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H11/06
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A16/06
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H18/06
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A21/06
Super League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#1
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H23/06
Super League
Bayern
#18
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H24/09
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#6
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A29/09
Euroleague
83.1Avg total
42.4Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.543.788.2+0.859%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.444.289.5+1.254%-
Last 30 away (16)43.843.487.1+0.462%-
Last 10 (9)42.440.783.1+1.878%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.684.2+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)45.345.290.5+0.267%-
vs Similar (9)40.143.883.9-3.733%-
vs Weaker (14)46.943.190.0+3.971%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A22/05
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A24/05
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H27/05
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H02/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A04/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H06/06
ACB
Dubai
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A24/09
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H27/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#13
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A29/09
Euroleague
95.7Avg total
47.7Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.643.188.7+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.943.589.4+2.457%-
Last 30 away (16)45.442.888.2+2.775%-
Last 10 (10)47.748.095.7-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.446.491.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.041.086.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (12)45.841.987.8+3.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.544.189.6+1.565%-
This opponent (Hapoel Tel-Aviv) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hapoel Tel-Avivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Tel-Aviv: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.717.5
55.2%
55.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.1
39.5%
35.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
77.1%14.4
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.921.7
62.2%
55.2%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.5
33.1%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.814.4
80.9%
77.1%14.4
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
WLLWLLWWWW
Real Madrid
LWLLWLLLLW
#10
League position
#5
+3.5
Net rating
+0.1
104.6
Offensive rating
90.4
101.0
Defensive rating
90.3
57.1%
Effective FG%
56.8%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
12.8%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.5%
3-point %
33.1%
64.3%
Assist %
59.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 90.4Defence101.0 · 90.3Shooting57.1% · 56.8%3-point %39.5% · 33.1%Ball care12.8% · 14.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Hapoel Tel-Aviv   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins
5
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/26ACrvena zvezda81-80
24/09/26HBayern84-86
23/06/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv79-83
21/06/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv80-74
18/06/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-102
16/06/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv75-96
11/06/26HHapoel Jerusalem89-81
09/06/26AHapoel Jerusalem88-84
07/06/26HHapoel Jerusalem20-1
04/06/26HMaccabi Rishon96-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/26AAnadolu Efes84-94
27/09/26HUnicaja89-87
24/09/26ADubai77-78
06/06/26HTenerife95-107
04/06/26ATenerife118-83
02/06/26HTenerife97-98
29/05/26AManresa87-94
27/05/26HBaskonia83-88
24/05/26AOlympiacos85-92
22/05/26AValencia105-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hapoel Tel-Aviv
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game82.584.081.0
Allowed / game83.086.080.0
Point differential-0.5-2.0+1.0
Avg total165.5170.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game80.5-80.5
Allowed / game86.0-86.0
Point differential-5.5--5.5
Avg total166.5-166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos220100%96.575.5+21.0
2 Fenerbahce220100%89.072.0+17.0
3 Partizan220100%92.077.5+14.5
4 Valencia220100%103.591.0+12.5
5 Olympiacos220100%99.590.0+9.5
6 Dubai220100%86.082.0+4.0
7 Besiktas21150%101.594.5+7.0
8 Zalgiris Kaunas21150%87.085.0+2.0
9 Anadolu Efes21150%88.086.5+1.5
10 Barcelona21150%88.088.0+0.0
11 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%82.583.0-0.5
12 Lyon-Villeurbanne21150%81.588.0-6.5
13 Olimpia Milano21150%81.588.5-7.0
14 Bayern21150%81.092.0-11.0
15 Crvena zvezda2020%78.582.0-3.5
16 Real Madrid2020%80.586.0-5.5
17 Virtus Bologna2020%76.582.5-6.0
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv2020%83.596.5-13.0
19 Paris2020%75.591.5-16.0
20 Baskonia2020%88.5108.5-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hapoel Tel-Aviv29341227102
Real Madrid2023322398
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