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Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-87
21-23 15-23 17-17 28-24
Position#6
Record24-17
FormLWLLW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Position#2
Record26-15
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game82.7
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Quarter-finals· Pukl S.
European cup2025Neutral venue
Meetings · Hapoel Tel-Aviv v Real Madrid
01 Oct 2026
HTA102
MAD98
07 May 2026
HTA81
MAD87
05 May 2026
HTA76
MAD69
25 Nov 2025
HTA74
MAD75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hapoel Tel-Aviv winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hapoel Tel-AvivLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTel-Aviv
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
W
92-88
92
88
+4
90avg 81
H02/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
95-80
95
80
+15
91avg 81
H07/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
85-89
85
89
-4
81avg 81
H09/04
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
99-88
99
88
+11
94avg 81
A12/04
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
85-105
85
105
-20
no box
A17/04
Euroleague
Galil Elyon
#12
L
89-90
89
90
-1
64avg 81
A23/04
Super League
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#11
W
95-81
95
81
+14
73avg 81
A24/04
Super League
Real Madrid
#2
L
82-86
82
86
-4
77avg 81
A29/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
75-102
75
102
-27
64avg 81
A01/05
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
76-69
76
69
+7
68avg 81
H05/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
24-27
22-27
26-13
25-17
26-21
24-18
20-24
18-22
30-29
19-22
18-16
26-14
26-27
21-25
26-22
17-27
24-31
20-25
24-22
25-20
13-15
30-33
21-22
28-19
20-21
24-13
23-28
18-27
15-21
22-22
27-16
21-24
21-16
20-33
13-29
18-21
16-15
21-10
21-23
175.1Avg total
87.3Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)87.585.4172.8+2.159%
Season at home (20)88.883.0171.8+5.870%
Season away (21)86.287.6173.9-1.448%
Last 10 (10)87.387.8175.1-0.550%
Last 5 (5)83.485.6169.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.089.0174.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.388.4173.7-3.146%
vs Weaker (16)92.084.7176.7+7.369%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
88-102
88
102
-14
81avg 85
A07/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
74-69
74
69
+5
73avg 85
A09/04
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
94-78
94
78
+16
98avg 85
A12/04
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
103-82
103
82
+21
106avg 85
H16/04
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
90-95
90
95
-5
82avg 85
H19/04
ACB
Valencia
#1
W
96-82
96
82
+14
94avg 85
A25/04
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
86-82
86
82
+4
81avg 85
H29/04
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
102-75
102
75
+27
99avg 85
H01/05
Euroleague
Murcia
#4
W
131-123 OT
131
123
+8
125avg 85
H03/05
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
69-76
69
76
-7
60avg 85
A05/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-31
23-18
15-23
31-30
19-21
21-13
14-24
20-11
25-20
18-19
23-18
28-21
27-25
29-19
21-19
26-19
21-26
20-19
19-23
30-27
22-19
23-22
30-22
21-19
27-18
21-15
22-22
16-27
24-21
16-21
33-20
29-13
25-29
25-34
31-29
33-22
21-18
15-16
10-21
23-21
179.7Avg total
93.3Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)87.882.7170.4+5.163%
Season at home (21)92.679.9172.4+12.795%
Season away (20)82.885.6168.3-2.830%
Last 10 (10)93.386.4179.7+6.970%
Last 5 (5)96.887.6184.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.082.0178.0+14.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (11)90.884.9175.7+5.964%
vs Weaker (18)92.584.3176.8+8.278%
This opponent (Hapoel Tel-Aviv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +4.7+4.7
Hapoel Tel-AvivReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hapoel Tel-AvivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H02/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H07/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H09/04
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A12/04
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A17/04
Euroleague
Galil Elyon
#12
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A23/04
Super League
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#11
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A24/04
Super League
Real Madrid
#2
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A29/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A01/05
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H05/05
Euroleague
86.6Avg total
43.1Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.043.588.5+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.142.688.6+3.550%-
Last 30 away (14)43.944.588.4-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)43.143.586.6-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.878.8-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.051.099.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.444.888.2-1.438%-
vs Weaker (16)46.241.988.1+4.256%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A07/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A09/04
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A12/04
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H16/04
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H19/04
ACB
Valencia
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A25/04
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H29/04
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H01/05
Euroleague
Murcia
#4
L
50-63
50
63
-13
H03/05
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A05/05
Euroleague
86.5Avg total
44.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.140.785.8+4.473%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.540.186.6+6.471%-
Last 30 away (16)43.941.285.2+2.775%-
Last 10 (10)44.142.486.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.686.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.041.086.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)45.641.487.0+4.373%-
vs Weaker (18)44.840.385.1+4.672%-
This opponent (Hapoel Tel-Aviv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hapoel Tel-Avivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Tel-Aviv: 63.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws2.2 pts a game · 3% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers24.117.9
74.3%
60.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.6
36.8%
35.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws3.42.2
64.7%
78.2%2.2
They take 47.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers21.615.9
73.6%
60.4%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.2
36.8%
35.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws12.49.8
79.0%
78.2%9.8
They take 49.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 56% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
WLLWLLWLWW
Real Madrid
LWWWWLWWWL
#6
League position
#2
+2.2
Net rating
+5.0
31.7
Offensive rating
62.0
29.4
Defensive rating
57.0
64.8%
Effective FG%
63.3%
66.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.6%
0.07
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.8%
3-point %
36.8%
66.8%
Assist %
76.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence31.7 · 62.0Defence29.4 · 57.0Shooting64.8% · 63.3%3-point %36.8% · 36.8%Ball care18.3% · 17.6%Free throws0.07 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Hapoel Tel-Aviv   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins
4
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/26HReal Madrid76-69
01/05/26AReal Madrid75-102
29/04/26AReal Madrid82-86
24/04/26AIroni Kiryat Ata95-81
23/04/26AGalil Elyon89-90
17/04/26AMonaco85-105
12/04/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-88
09/04/26HOlympiacos85-89
07/04/26HFenerbahce95-80
02/04/26HPanathinaikos92-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv69-76
03/05/26HMurcia131-123 OT
01/05/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv102-75
29/04/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv86-82
25/04/26AValencia96-82
19/04/26HTenerife90-95
16/04/26HCrvena zvezda103-82
12/04/26ASan Pablo Burgos94-78
09/04/26AFenerbahce74-69
07/04/26AOlympiacos88-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hapoel Tel-Aviv
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW59%
HomeWWWLW70%
AwayLWLLL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %59%70%48%
Points / game87.588.886.2
Allowed / game85.483.087.6
Point differential+2.1+5.8-1.4
Avg total172.8171.8173.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%35%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)40% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL63%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %63%95%30%
Points / game87.892.682.8
Allowed / game82.779.985.6
Point differential+5.1+12.7-2.9
Avg total170.4172.4168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%62%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)100% (3)38% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos41291271%90.782.9+7.8
2 Real Madrid41261563%87.882.7+5.1
3 Valencia41261563%90.786.4+4.3
4 Fenerbahce41261563%82.180.3+1.8
5 Panathinaikos42251760%87.285.0+2.2
6 Zalgiris Kaunas41241759%86.982.9+4.0
7 Hapoel Tel-Aviv41241759%87.585.4+2.1
8 Barcelona40221855%84.383.5+0.8
9 Crvena zvezda39211854%87.286.1+1.1
10 Monaco43232053%88.787.2+1.5
11 Dubai38191950%88.188.0+0.1
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv38182047%90.192.7-2.5
13 Olimpia Milano38172145%86.187.2-1.2
14 Bayern38172145%80.883.7-2.9
15 Partizan38162242%81.686.6-4.9
16 Paris38152339%90.190.9-0.9
17 Virtus Bologna38142437%81.886.4-4.6
18 Baskonia38132534%88.393.1-4.7
19 Anadolu Efes38122632%80.184.3-4.2
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3883021%79.386.6-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hapoel Tel-Aviv2115172881
Real Madrid2323172487
← all games of the day
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