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Real Madrid vs Hapoel Tel-Aviv Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 102-75
24-21 16-21 33-20 29-13
Position#2
Record25-14
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#6
Record23-16
FormWLLWL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game85.4
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Quarter-finals· Movistar Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Real Madrid v Hapoel Tel-Aviv
09 Mar 2027
MAD v HTA
upcoming
01 May 2026
MAD102
HTA75
29 Apr 2026
MAD86
HTA82
24 Mar 2026
MAD92
HTA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hapoel Tel-Aviv winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#12
W
95-93
95
93
+2
88avg 85
A28/03
ACB
Baskonia
#18
L
96-98
96
98
-2
95avg 85
A03/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
97-90
97
90
+7
94avg 85
H05/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
88-102
88
102
-14
81avg 85
A07/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
74-69
74
69
+5
73avg 85
A09/04
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
94-78
94
78
+16
98avg 85
A12/04
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
103-82
103
82
+21
106avg 85
H16/04
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
90-95
90
95
-5
82avg 85
H19/04
ACB
Valencia
#1
W
96-82
96
82
+14
94avg 85
A25/04
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
86-82
86
82
+4
81avg 85
H29/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
15-23
29-24
29-33
27-29
26-19
23-25
20-25
18-30
29-17
28-13
22-30
19-31
23-18
15-23
31-30
19-21
21-13
14-24
20-11
25-20
18-19
23-18
28-21
27-25
29-19
21-19
26-19
21-26
20-19
19-23
30-27
22-19
23-22
30-22
21-19
27-18
21-15
22-22
16-27
179.0Avg total
91.9Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)87.983.0170.9+4.964%
Season at home (20)92.180.1172.2+12.095%
Season away (19)83.586.1169.6-2.632%
Last 10 (10)91.987.1179.0+4.870%
Last 5 (5)93.883.8177.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)95.080.5175.5+14.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.482.0169.4+5.467%
vs Weaker (19)93.283.9177.1+9.379%
This opponent (Hapoel Tel-Aviv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel-AvivLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTel-Aviv
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
83-92
83
92
-9
76avg 82
A24/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
L
109-118
109
118
-9
106avg 82
A27/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
92-88
92
88
+4
90avg 82
H02/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
95-80
95
80
+15
91avg 82
H07/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
85-89
85
89
-4
81avg 82
H09/04
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
99-88
99
88
+11
94avg 82
A12/04
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
85-105
85
105
-20
no box
A17/04
Euroleague
Galil Elyon
#12
L
89-90
89
90
-1
64avg 82
A23/04
Super League
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#11
W
95-81
95
81
+14
73avg 82
A24/04
Super League
Real Madrid
#2
L
82-86
82
86
-4
77avg 82
A29/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
16-21
25-26
23-21
31-28
33-39
17-25
28-26
20-21
24-27
22-27
26-13
25-17
26-21
24-18
20-24
18-22
30-29
19-22
18-16
26-14
26-27
21-25
26-22
17-27
24-31
20-25
24-22
25-20
13-15
30-33
21-22
28-19
20-21
24-13
23-28
18-27
15-21
22-22
27-16
183.1Avg total
91.4Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)88.185.4173.4+2.759%
Season at home (19)89.483.7173.2+5.768%
Season away (20)86.886.9173.7-0.150%
Last 10 (10)91.491.7183.1-0.340%
Last 5 (5)90.090.0180.0+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.089.0174.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)86.986.5173.4+0.450%
vs Weaker (17)91.984.5176.4+7.571%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
Real MadridHapoel Tel-Aviv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#12
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A28/03
ACB
Baskonia
#18
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A03/04
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H05/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A07/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A09/04
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A12/04
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H16/04
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H19/04
ACB
Valencia
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A25/04
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H29/04
Euroleague
86.8Avg total
45.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.039.785.7+6.277%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.537.785.2+9.780%-
Last 30 away (15)44.541.786.2+2.773%-
Last 10 (10)45.241.686.8+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)46.640.487.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.042.086.0+2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)47.838.686.3+9.289%-
vs Weaker (19)45.340.185.4+5.374%-
This opponent (Hapoel Tel-Aviv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel-AvivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A24/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A27/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H02/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H07/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H09/04
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A12/04
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A17/04
Euroleague
Galil Elyon
#12
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A23/04
Super League
Ironi Kiryat Ata
#11
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A24/04
Super League
Real Madrid
#2
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A29/04
Euroleague
92.5Avg total
45.4Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.343.789.0+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.242.989.1+3.350%-
Last 30 away (14)44.444.689.0-0.343%-
Last 10 (10)45.447.192.5-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.486.8-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.051.099.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.745.689.2-1.933%-
vs Weaker (17)46.441.988.3+4.459%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.717.9
67.0%
60.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.2
35.8%
35.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws13.310.7
80.5%
78.2%10.7
They take 52.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hapoel Tel-Avivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Tel-Aviv: 66.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws2.2 pts a game · 3% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers23.718.2
76.8%
60.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.79.4
39.7%
35.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws3.42.2
64.7%
78.2%2.2
They take 47.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWLWWWLWLW
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
LWLLWLWWLL
#2
League position
#6
+4.9
Net rating
+2.2
68.6
Offensive rating
31.4
63.6
Defensive rating
29.2
60.5%
Effective FG%
68.1%
59.0%
Opp. effective FG%
65.7%
17.7%
Turnover %
18.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.07
35.8%
3-point %
39.7%
75.3%
Assist %
75.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence68.6 · 31.4Defence63.6 · 29.2Shooting60.5% · 68.1%3-point %35.8% · 39.7%Ball care17.7% · 18.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.07Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Hapoel Tel-Aviv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Real Madrid wins
0
Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv86-82
25/04/26AValencia96-82
19/04/26HTenerife90-95
16/04/26HCrvena zvezda103-82
12/04/26ASan Pablo Burgos94-78
09/04/26AFenerbahce74-69
07/04/26AOlympiacos88-102
05/04/26HMoraBanc Andorra97-90
03/04/26ABaskonia96-98
28/03/26ABasquet Girona95-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/26AReal Madrid82-86
24/04/26AIroni Kiryat Ata95-81
23/04/26AGalil Elyon89-90
17/04/26AMonaco85-105
12/04/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-88
09/04/26HOlympiacos85-89
07/04/26HFenerbahce95-80
02/04/26HPanathinaikos92-88
27/03/26ABaskonia109-118
24/03/26AReal Madrid83-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayWLLLW32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %64%95%32%
Points / game87.992.183.5
Allowed / game83.080.186.1
Point differential+4.9+12.0-2.6
Avg total170.9172.2169.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)100% (3)38% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL59%
HomeWWWWL68%
AwayLLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %59%68%50%
Points / game88.189.486.8
Allowed / game85.483.786.9
Point differential+2.7+5.7-0.1
Avg total173.4173.2173.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%37%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)40% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos40281270%90.482.9+7.5
2 Fenerbahce40261465%82.280.3+1.9
3 Real Madrid39251464%87.983.0+4.9
4 Valencia40251562%90.786.4+4.3
5 Panathinaikos41251661%87.284.9+2.4
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv39231659%88.185.4+2.7
7 Zalgiris Kaunas40231757%87.083.0+4.0
8 Barcelona40221855%84.383.5+0.8
9 Monaco42231955%88.886.8+2.0
10 Crvena zvezda39211854%87.286.1+1.1
11 Dubai38191950%88.188.0+0.1
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv38182047%90.192.7-2.5
13 Olimpia Milano38172145%86.187.2-1.2
14 Bayern38172145%80.883.7-2.9
15 Partizan38162242%81.686.6-4.9
16 Paris38152339%90.190.9-0.9
17 Virtus Bologna38142437%81.886.4-4.6
18 Baskonia38132534%88.393.1-4.7
19 Anadolu Efes38122632%80.184.3-4.2
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3883021%79.386.6-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid24163329102
Hapoel Tel-Aviv2121201375
← all games of the day
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