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Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:05
Final 80-93
25-18 15-21 13-24 27-30
Position#6
Record13-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#5
Record10-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game82.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 19· Pais Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Hapoel Tel-Aviv v Zalgiris Kaunas
17 Dec 2026
HTA v ZAL
upcoming
30 Dec 2025
HTA80
ZAL93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hapoel Tel-Aviv winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hapoel Tel-AvivLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTel-Aviv
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
74-75
74
75
-1
65avg 85
H25/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
87-80
87
80
+7
81avg 85
H04/12
Euroleague
Hapoel HaEmek
#6
W
76-68
76
68
+8
49avg 85
H06/12
Super League
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
79-74
79
74
+5
70avg 85
A12/12
Euroleague
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#10
W
102-77
102
77
+25
85avg 85
A14/12
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 85
H16/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
82-93
82
93
-11
76avg 85
A18/12
Euroleague
Bnei Herzliya
#4
W
94-86
94
86
+8
73avg 85
A20/12
Super League
Bayern
#14
W
82-72
82
72
+10
74avg 85
A23/12
Euroleague
Hapoel Holon
#5
W
114-60
114
60
+54
94avg 85
A27/12
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
18-17
22-21
16-15
27-17
20-24
17-23
23-16
21-11
16-20
18-17
21-20
21-24
15-18
14-15
29-17
25-22
32-19
22-21
23-15
21-21
19-16
21-22
23-19
17-22
29-23
16-20
20-28
27-16
23-28
25-15
19-27
21-14
23-18
20-14
18-26
32-10
30-17
30-20
22-13
163.7Avg total
87.4Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)88.582.8171.3+5.772%
Season at home (8)91.884.1175.9+7.675%
Season away (10)85.981.7167.6+4.270%
Last 10 (10)87.476.3163.7+11.180%
Last 5 (5)91.277.8169.0+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.571.0142.5+0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (10)89.984.5174.4+5.470%
vs Weaker (18)91.477.3168.8+14.189%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#18
W
82-67
82
67
+15
75avg 83
H25/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
65-83
65
83
-18
50avg 83
H04/12
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#5
W
108-71
108
71
+37
117avg 83
H07/12
LKL
Paris
#16
W
108-105
108
105
+3
109avg 83
A11/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
91-75
91
75
+16
94avg 83
A14/12
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
64-87
64
87
-23
57avg 83
H17/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
W
109-68
109
68
+41
113avg 83
H19/12
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
118-73
118
73
+45
126avg 83
A21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Panathinaikos
#7
L
85-92
85
92
-7
74avg 83
H23/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
90-81
90
81
+9
86avg 83
A27/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
19-18
17-12
28-13
14-22
16-29
16-9
19-23
29-22
27-18
26-18
26-13
28-29
20-27
32-17
28-32
24-21
22-27
27-14
18-13
17-28
18-9
16-26
13-24
28-15
25-15
29-18
27-20
33-21
25-10
35-19
25-23
28-19
22-21
14-23
21-29
23-20
27-18
22-19
18-24
172.2Avg total
92.0Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.882.1168.9+4.756%
Season at home (10)83.576.8160.3+6.760%
Season away (8)91.088.8179.8+2.250%
Last 10 (10)92.080.2172.2+11.870%
Last 5 (5)93.280.2173.4+13.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.095.0173.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)87.486.2173.6+1.150%
vs Weaker (21)90.375.4165.7+14.981%
This opponent (Hapoel Tel-Aviv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
Hapoel Tel-AvivZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hapoel Tel-AvivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H25/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H04/12
Euroleague
Hapoel HaEmek
#6
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H06/12
Super League
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A12/12
Euroleague
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#10
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A14/12
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H16/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A18/12
Euroleague
Bnei Herzliya
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A20/12
Super League
Bayern
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A23/12
Euroleague
Hapoel Holon
#5
W
62-27
62
27
+35
A27/12
Super League
83.4Avg total
45.5Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.840.386.1+5.577%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.840.686.5+5.277%-
Last 30 away (17)45.840.085.8+5.876%-
Last 10 (10)45.537.983.4+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)48.437.085.4+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.041.081.0-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.541.184.6+2.480%-
vs Weaker (18)47.739.787.4+8.078%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#18
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H25/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H04/12
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#5
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H07/12
LKL
Paris
#16
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A11/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A14/12
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H17/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H19/12
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
58-31
58
31
+27
A21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Panathinaikos
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H23/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A27/12
LKL
87.6Avg total
46.3Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.638.583.1+6.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.437.381.7+7.180%-
Last 30 away (15)44.839.884.6+5.060%-
Last 10 (10)46.341.387.6+5.050%-
Last 5 (5)49.235.284.4+14.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.050.086.0-14.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.039.983.9+4.175%-
vs Weaker (21)45.237.582.7+7.871%-
This opponent (Hapoel Tel-Aviv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hapoel Tel-Avivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Tel-Aviv: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.9
56.9%
60.4%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.4
35.6%
35.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.814.4
72.7%
78.2%14.4
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.723.9
57.3%
60.4%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.6
39.8%
35.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.214.6
72.3%
78.2%14.6
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
WWWLWWWWWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWWLWWWLW
#6
League position
#5
+14.4
Net rating
+16.4
114.5
Offensive rating
122.7
100.1
Defensive rating
106.3
55.5%
Effective FG%
58.2%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
14.9%
Turnover %
14.6%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.6%
3-point %
39.8%
57.8%
Assist %
66.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 122.7Defence100.1 · 106.3Shooting55.5% · 58.2%3-point %35.6% · 39.8%Ball care14.9% · 14.6%Off. rebounds27.8% · 33.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Hapoel Tel-Aviv   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins
0
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25AHapoel Holon114-60
23/12/25ABayern82-72
20/12/25ABnei Herzliya94-86
18/12/25APanathinaikos82-93
16/12/25HCrvena zvezda84-78
14/12/25AHapoel Beer Sheva102-77
12/12/25AVirtus Bologna79-74
06/12/25HHapoel HaEmek76-68
04/12/25HLyon-Villeurbanne87-80
25/11/25HReal Madrid74-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25ARytas90-81
23/12/25HPanathinaikos85-92
21/12/25AJonava118-73
19/12/25HPartizan109-68
17/12/25HAnadolu Efes64-87
14/12/25AJuventus91-75
11/12/25AParis108-105
07/12/25HGargzdai108-71
04/12/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv65-83
25/11/25HBaskonia82-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hapoel Tel-Aviv
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW72%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLWWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %72%75%70%
Points / game88.591.885.9
Allowed / game82.884.181.7
Point differential+5.7+7.6+4.2
Avg total171.3175.9167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL56%
HomeWLLWL60%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game86.883.591.0
Allowed / game82.176.888.8
Point differential+4.7+6.7+2.2
Avg total168.9160.3179.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1813572%88.582.8+5.7
2 Valencia1812667%89.685.2+4.3
3 Barcelona1812667%88.184.9+3.2
4 Panathinaikos1812667%88.785.5+3.2
5 Fenerbahce1711665%80.278.3+1.9
6 Monaco1811761%90.784.1+6.7
7 Olympiacos1710759%88.584.6+3.9
8 Zalgiris Kaunas1810856%86.882.1+4.7
9 Crvena zvezda1810856%85.883.4+2.4
10 Real Madrid1810856%85.884.5+1.3
11 Olimpia Milano189950%84.885.0-0.2
12 Dubai189950%86.887.6-0.8
13 Virtus Bologna1881044%82.383.1-0.7
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv1881044%90.391.4-1.1
15 Paris1861233%90.692.8-2.2
16 Baskonia1861233%87.691.1-3.5
17 Anadolu Efes1861233%81.485.6-4.2
18 Partizan1861233%80.889.1-8.3
19 Bayern1851328%77.584.6-7.1
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne1851328%78.487.4-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hapoel Tel-Aviv2515132780
Zalgiris Kaunas1821243093
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