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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 108-71
29-22 27-18 26-18 26-13
Position#1
Record8-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game74.3
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Gargzdai
Lithuania
Position#5
Record4-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game87.5
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Gargzdai
05 May 2027
ZAL v GAR
upcoming
24 Jan 2027
ZAL v GAR
upcoming
22 Apr 2026
ZAL85
GAR77
07 Dec 2025
ZAL108
GAR71
26 Mar 2023
ZAL96
GAR70
16 Oct 2022
ZAL86
GAR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
96-59
96
59
+37
106avg 82
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
79-75
79
75
+4
70avg 82
H02/11
LKL
Valencia
#3
W
86-77
86
77
+9
80avg 82
H07/11
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
94-68
94
68
+26
97avg 82
A09/11
LKL
Olympiacos
#1
L
78-95
78
95
-17
62avg 82
A12/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
89-95
89
95
-6
80avg 82
A14/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
99-100
99
100
-1
96avg 82
A20/11
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#6
W
81-77
81
77
+4
75avg 82
A23/11
LKL
Baskonia
#18
W
82-67
82
67
+15
75avg 82
H25/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
65-83
65
83
-18
50avg 82
H04/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
22-20
25-9
23-15
15-21
27-17
22-14
15-23
18-17
20-18
23-23
25-19
21-19
24-12
25-25
24-12
14-28
22-22
17-24
25-21
34-24
14-21
16-28
25-22
16-22
21-21
25-19
37-38
20-18
15-19
27-22
19-18
18-24
19-18
17-12
28-13
14-22
16-29
16-9
19-23
164.5Avg total
84.9Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.874.3162.1+13.489%
Season at home (4)88.875.5164.2+13.275%
Season away (5)87.073.4160.4+13.6100%
Last 10 (10)84.979.6164.5+5.360%
Last 5 (5)83.284.4167.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.095.0173.0-17.00%
vs Similar (7)87.785.4173.1+2.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.075.8161.8+10.177%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
W
91-74
91
74
+17
88avg 77
H18/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
73-89
73
89
-16
65avg 77
H26/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
84-88
84
88
-4
80avg 77
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
87-94
87
94
-7
80avg 77
A03/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
102-91
102
91
+11
104avg 77
H05/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
L
80-89
80
89
-9
68avg 77
H08/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
73-90
73
90
-17
57avg 77
A12/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
82avg 77
H16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
94-83
94
83
+11
91avg 77
A22/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
82-97
82
97
-15
75avg 77
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-14
20-20
21-24
21-16
16-24
17-21
20-16
20-28
17-28
26-19
15-18
26-23
22-21
26-25
19-28
20-20
25-19
25-27
24-26
28-19
19-21
24-20
14-25
23-23
19-24
11-23
17-27
26-16
24-11
12-24
26-23
24-21
18-25
26-18
18-23
32-17
22-22
15-28
18-25
27-22
172.6Avg total
85.2Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.687.5172.1-2.940%
Season at home (6)86.382.8169.2+3.550%
Season away (4)82.094.5176.5-12.525%
Last 10 (10)85.287.4172.6-2.240%
Last 5 (5)83.087.6170.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.792.4169.1-15.76%
vs Similar (9)86.882.8169.6+4.056%
vs Weaker (5)88.486.2174.6+2.240%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +4.2+4.2
Zalgiris KaunasGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H02/11
LKL
Valencia
#3
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H07/11
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A09/11
LKL
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A12/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A14/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A20/11
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A23/11
LKL
Baskonia
#18
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H25/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H04/12
Euroleague
80.3Avg total
39.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.738.279.9+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.738.178.8+2.567%-
Last 30 away (15)42.738.381.0+4.567%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.780.3-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.443.681.0-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.050.086.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (7)43.139.983.0+3.371%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)41.537.178.6+4.468%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H18/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H26/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A03/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H05/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H08/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A12/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A22/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
84.7Avg total
41.3Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.843.685.4-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.340.283.5+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.347.187.3-6.827%-
Last 10 (10)41.343.484.7-2.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.043.281.2-5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.845.184.9-5.231%-
vs Similar (9)43.842.386.1+1.467%-
vs Weaker (5)44.641.486.0+3.260%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.7
52.3%
55.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.9
35.4%
35.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.415.0
70.1%
74.3%15.0
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.3
54.1%
55.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.2
35.2%
35.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.617.2
69.9%
74.3%17.2
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWWLLLWWWW
Gargzdai
LWWLLWLLLW
#1
League position
#5
+7.5
Net rating
-2.4
114.8
Offensive rating
112.8
107.3
Defensive rating
115.3
52.6%
Effective FG%
53.6%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.2%
37.0%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.4%
3-point %
35.2%
64.9%
Assist %
59.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 112.8Defence107.3 · 115.3Shooting52.6% · 53.6%3-point %35.4% · 35.2%Ball care16.4% · 16.2%Off. rebounds37.0% · 31.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
26/10/25Gargzdai v Zalgiris Kaunas73-89
17/09/23Gargzdai v Zalgiris Kaunas55-107
26/03/23Zalgiris Kaunas v Gargzdai96-70
21/12/22Gargzdai v Zalgiris Kaunas71-89
16/10/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Gargzdai86-74
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv65-83
25/11/25HBaskonia82-67
23/11/25ALietkabelis81-77
20/11/25AReal Madrid99-100
14/11/25ADubai89-95
12/11/25AOlympiacos78-95
09/11/25ANevezis94-68
07/11/25HValencia86-77
02/11/25HRytas79-75
30/10/25HLyon-Villeurbanne96-59
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25AJonava82-97
22/11/25ASiauliai94-83
16/11/25HNevezis86-79
12/11/25AJuventus73-90
08/11/25HLietkabelis80-89
05/11/25HSiauliai102-91
03/11/25ANevezis87-94
30/10/25HJonava84-88
26/10/25HZalgiris Kaunas73-89
18/10/25HJuventus91-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW89%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%75%100%
Points / game87.888.887.0
Allowed / game74.375.573.4
Point differential+13.4+13.2+13.6
Avg total162.1164.2160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%50%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%50%25%
Points / game84.686.382.0
Allowed / game87.582.894.5
Point differential-2.9+3.5-12.5
Avg total172.1169.2176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas98189%87.874.3+13.4
2 Rytas119282%94.679.9+14.7
3 Neptunas96367%93.187.6+5.6
4 Lietkabelis116555%86.983.3+3.6
5 Siauliai115645%86.289.7-3.5
6 Juventus104640%83.586.0-2.5
7 Gargzdai104640%84.687.5-2.9
8 Nevezis113827%81.691.3-9.6
9 Jonava101910%81.298.6-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas29272626108
Gargzdai2218181371
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