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Helios Domzale vs Sencur Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 94-69
28-16 20-28 22-12 24-13
Position#3
Record17-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#5
Record10-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game79.1
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 23· Sportna dvorana Domzale
Other2023-24
Meetings · Helios Domzale v Sencur
13 Feb 2027
HDO v SENC
upcoming
12 May 2026
HDO75
SENC82
04 May 2026
HDO70
SENC76
17 Jan 2026
HDO101
SENC88
30 Sep 2024
HDO79
SENC57
30 Mar 2024
HDO94
SENC69
19 Jan 2024
HDO76
SENC50
16 Jan 2024
HDO68
SENC75
13 Oct 2023
HDO71
SENC76
25 Mar 2023
HDO73
SENC75
12 Feb 2023
HDO76
SENC57
30 Apr 2022
HDO73
SENC75
04 Jan 2022
HDO75
SENC65
08 May 2021
HDO68
SENC66
04 May 2021
HDO70
SENC62
31 Mar 2021
HDO74
SENC69
16 Dec 2020
HDO74
SENC77
05 Oct 2019
HDO66
SENC57
17 Nov 2018
HDO59
SENC64
07 Apr 2018
HDO87
SENC84
10 Feb 2018
HDO82
SENC85
14 Jan 2017
HDO79
SENC71
14 Nov 2015
HDO63
SENC69
01 Apr 2015
HDO88
SENC92
18 Oct 2014
HDO76
SENC74
02 Dec 2009
HDO82
SENC67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Helios Domzale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sencur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Helios DomzaleSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDomzale
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#14
W
88-71
88
71
+17
81avg 74
A04/02
ABA League 2
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
105-100 OT
105
100
+5
no box
A12/02
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
81-95
81
95
-14
74avg 74
H15/02
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
104-89
104
89
+15
100avg 74
H02/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
81-67
81
67
+14
74avg 74
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
87avg 74
H15/03
Liga Nova KBM
Sutjeska
#10
L
53-74
53
74
-21
37avg 74
H18/03
ABA League 2
Borac Banja Luka
#8
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A20/03
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#5
W
76-75
76
75
+1
68avg 74
H23/03
ABA League 2
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
96-99 OT
96
99
-3
no box
A26/03
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-11
11-18
27-21
29-21
22-16
17-23
21-25
29-25
17-21
23-30
19-17
22-27
24-22
22-15
30-24
28-28
16-23
19-13
24-19
22-12
30-26
22-16
15-18
16-17
6-18
19-19
13-20
15-17
–
–
–
–
21-22
19-23
19-18
17-12
23-21
23-20
13-17
24-25
153.4Avg total
78.7Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.977.7163.6+8.177%
Season at home (11)84.872.5157.4+12.391%
Season away (11)86.982.9169.8+4.064%
Last 10 (10)78.774.7153.4+4.070%
Last 5 (5)65.665.0130.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)85.289.3174.5-4.250%
vs Similar (8)65.865.6131.4+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.175.5160.6+9.675%
This opponent (Sencur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
61avg 64
A01/02
ABA League 2
TFT Skopje
#15
L
77-85
77
85
-8
68avg 64
H03/02
ABA League 2
Polzela
#11
L
60-80
60
80
-20
42avg 64
A06/02
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
69-61
69
61
+8
59avg 64
H02/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
72avg 64
H06/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
63-64
63
64
-1
53avg 64
A13/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
92-100
92
100
-8
87avg 64
A16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatibor
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
59avg 64
A20/03
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
68avg 64
H22/03
ABA League 2
Cedevita Junior
#13
W
81-76
81
76
+5
76avg 64
A24/03
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
10-19
22-28
22-20
12-18
21-19
14-27
30-21
16-29
18-20
9-13
17-18
16-19
22-16
23-14
8-12
22-20
21-22
14-15
24-18
15-18
19-10
17-22
12-14
25-20
20-25
25-28
22-27
22-18
18-28
16-14
19-27
21-25
20-18
17-18
18-18
23-20
19-18
18-19
21-19
154.6Avg total
74.7Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.979.1156.0-2.245%
Season at home (11)83.374.3157.5+9.082%
Season away (11)70.584.0154.5-13.59%
Last 10 (10)74.779.9154.6-5.230%
Last 5 (5)77.481.2158.6-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)71.580.7152.2-9.225%
vs Similar (15)77.677.9155.5-0.347%
vs Weaker (3)80.372.3152.7+8.067%
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
Helios DomzaleSencur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#14
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A04/02
ABA League 2
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A12/02
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H15/02
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H02/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H15/03
Liga Nova KBM
Sutjeska
#10
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H18/03
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H23/03
ABA League 2
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A26/03
Liga Nova KBM
79.1Avg total
39.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.639.478.0-0.841%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.740.080.7+0.747%-
Last 30 away (14)36.338.875.1-2.536%-
Last 10 (9)39.439.779.1-0.244%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.279.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.742.783.3-2.033%-
vs Similar (7)36.941.178.0-4.329%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)38.637.476.0+1.150%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A01/02
ABA League 2
TFT Skopje
#15
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H03/02
ABA League 2
Polzela
#11
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A06/02
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H02/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H06/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A13/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatibor
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A20/03
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H22/03
ABA League 2
Cedevita Junior
#13
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A24/03
ABA League 2
78.6Avg total
37.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.378.2-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.838.879.6+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)36.739.976.6-3.250%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.778.6-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.080.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.741.278.9-3.633%-
vs Similar (15)39.738.778.3+1.067%-
vs Weaker (3)40.034.774.7+5.367%-
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.9
55.8%
52.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.2
31.2%
33.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.316.1
83.4%
74.0%16.1
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.1
53.5%
52.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.16.3
25.1%
33.0%18.9
🏀 Free throws15.410.9
70.8%
74.0%10.9
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Helios Domzale
LWWLWWWLWW
Sencur
WLLLLWWLLL
#3
League position
#5
+6.4
Net rating
-7.0
108.8
Offensive rating
98.2
102.3
Defensive rating
105.3
51.6%
Effective FG%
47.5%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
16.3%
Turnover %
17.8%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.2%
3-point %
25.1%
69.8%
Assist %
59.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 98.2Defence102.3 · 105.3Shooting51.6% · 47.5%3-point %31.2% · 25.1%Ball care16.3% · 17.8%Off. rebounds27.2% · 28.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Helios Domzale   ■ Sencur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Helios Domzale wins
5
Sencur wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/24ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek96-99 OT
23/03/24HPodgorica76-75
20/03/24ABorac Banja Luka20-0
18/03/24HSutjeska53-74
15/03/24HPolzela83-77
09/03/24AKK Triglav Kranj81-67
02/03/24HTajfun Sentjur104-89
15/02/24HCedevita Olimpija81-95
12/02/24AKK Krka Novo mesto105-100 OT
04/02/24AGKK Sibenka88-71
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24ACedevita Junior81-76
22/03/24HSiroki Brijeg76-79
20/03/24AZlatibor75-87
16/03/24APerspektiva Ilirija92-100
13/03/24AKK Triglav Kranj63-64
06/03/24HKK Krka Novo mesto81-75
02/03/24HRogaska69-61
06/02/24APolzela60-80
03/02/24HTFT Skopje77-85
01/02/24AVojvodina Novi Sad73-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Helios Domzale
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL77%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %77%91%64%
Points / game85.984.886.9
Allowed / game77.772.582.9
Point differential+8.1+12.3+4.0
Avg total163.6157.4169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%55%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %9%0%18%
Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL45%
HomeWWLWW82%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%82%9%
Points / game76.983.370.5
Allowed / game79.174.384.0
Point differential-2.2+9.0-13.5
Avg total156.0157.5154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %9%9%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto2319483%91.376.1+15.3
2 Helios Domzale2217577%85.977.7+8.1
3 Perspektiva Ilirija2314961%81.378.3+3.0
4 Sencur22101245%76.979.1-2.2
5 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek22101245%82.885.3-2.5
6 LTH Castings22101245%81.884.4-2.5
7 Tajfun Sentjur2291341%80.685.1-4.5
8 Rogaska2391439%75.278.1-2.9
9 KK Triglav Kranj2381535%72.877.5-4.7
10 Polzela2261627%78.686.2-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Helios Domzale2820222494
Sencur1628121369
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