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Sencur vs Polzela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 103-98
25-23 24-24 27-26 27-25
Position#4
Record15-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game79.4
Sencur 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#8
Record8-15
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game88.5
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 24· Sportna dvorana Sencur
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sencur v Polzela
09 Oct 2026
SENC96
POLZ81
18 Apr 2026
SENC103
POLZ98
27 Sep 2025
SENC97
POLZ65
17 Apr 2024
SENC82
POLZ94
27 Nov 2023
SENC94
POLZ95
03 Mar 2023
SENC83
POLZ68
05 Feb 2023
SENC76
POLZ63
28 Dec 2021
SENC100
POLZ82
19 Dec 2020
SENC97
POLZ65
30 Nov 2019
SENC92
POLZ90
09 Feb 2019
SENC80
POLZ85
23 Dec 2017
SENC81
POLZ76
08 Oct 2016
SENC80
POLZ91
13 Apr 2016
SENC63
POLZ58
12 Dec 2015
SENC20
POLZ0
29 Apr 2015
SENC105
POLZ90
08 Nov 2014
SENC79
POLZ72
14 Apr 2010
SENC96
POLZ119
28 Nov 2009
SENC79
POLZ98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Polzela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
84-104
84
104
-20
H21/01
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
94-82
94
82
+12
A31/01
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
100-82
100
82
+18
A09/02
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H14/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
67-89
67
89
-22
H19/02
Slovenian Cup
Rogaska
#7
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
96-51
96
51
+45
A16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
97-78
97
78
+19
H28/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A04/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
66-86
66
86
-20
H08/04
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
22-36
23-27
17-27
27-24
19-25
25-21
23-12
28-28
27-12
20-14
25-28
18-9
28-16
23-12
13-24
19-26
16-23
17-25
15-15
22-15
26-19
16-25
15-19
28-10
19-19
27-7
22-15
22-15
25-21
28-19
22-23
15-18
13-20
21-13
23-11
19-22
18-17
15-22
14-25
161.0Avg total
83.7Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.779.4166.1+7.365%
Season at home (12)87.678.6166.2+9.067%
Season away (11)85.780.4166.1+5.464%
Last 10 (10)83.777.3161.0+6.470%
Last 5 (5)82.071.0153.0+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.888.6163.4-13.820%
vs Similar (5)90.295.2185.4-5.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)89.273.6162.7+15.684%
This opponent (Polzela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A19/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H24/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
61-92
61
92
-31
A28/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
H07/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
91-93
91
93
-2
A10/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
87-94
87
94
-7
A07/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H14/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
73-110
73
110
-37
A27/03
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
H06/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A11/04
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
27-27
19-19
18-19
19-19
20-12
20-14
22-21
23-26
10-24
13-27
15-15
17-18
20-28
19-23
17-19
23-28
21-24
23-23
24-18
27-19
27-30
16-30
17-15
18-19
24-16
21-13
20-28
17-32
23-26
18-27
15-25
28-15
21-20
24-23
11-26
14-15
24-18
13-20
24-18
168.2Avg total
80.7Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.488.5170.9-6.135%
Season at home (11)87.282.6169.8+4.564%
Season away (12)78.093.8171.8-15.88%
Last 10 (10)80.787.5168.2-6.840%
Last 5 (5)83.489.0172.4-5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.690.6166.2-15.015%
vs Similar (8)88.487.8176.1+0.662%
vs Weaker (8)94.283.1177.4+11.162%
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
SencurPolzela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H21/01
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A31/01
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A09/02
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H14/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H19/02
Slovenian Cup
Rogaska
#7
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H28/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A04/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H08/04
Liga Nova KBM
82.2Avg total
43.3Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.639.184.7+6.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.137.384.5+9.873%-
Last 30 away (15)44.140.884.9+3.353%-
Last 10 (10)43.338.982.2+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.435.276.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.044.084.0-4.040%-
vs Similar (5)45.247.893.0-2.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.536.282.7+10.474%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A19/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H24/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A28/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A10/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A07/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A27/03
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H06/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A11/04
Liga Nova KBM
86.5Avg total
42.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.844.287.0-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.940.783.6+2.257%-
Last 30 away (16)42.647.289.9-4.638%-
Last 10 (10)42.344.286.5-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.086.6+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.846.685.5-7.831%-
vs Similar (8)43.941.285.1+2.662%-
vs Weaker (8)47.845.092.8+2.850%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.625.4
57.0%
54.3%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.85.6
31.5%
33.3%16.8
🏀 Free throws19.613.6
69.4%
72.9%13.6
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.2
50.6%
54.3%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.9
34.6%
33.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws24.718.7
75.7%
72.9%18.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sencur
LWWWWLWWWL
Polzela
WWLWLLLLWL
#4
League position
#8
-7.5
Net rating
-3.6
89.1
Offensive rating
100.6
96.6
Defensive rating
104.1
54.2%
Effective FG%
51.2%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
18.8%
Turnover %
16.1%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.38
31.5%
3-point %
34.6%
65.2%
Assist %
64.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence89.1 · 100.6Defence96.6 · 104.1Shooting54.2% · 51.2%3-point %31.5% · 34.6%Ball care18.8% · 16.1%Off. rebounds30.3% · 30.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Sencur   ■ Polzela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sencur wins
4
Polzela wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Polzela v Sencur81-85
27/09/25Sencur v Polzela97-65
17/04/24Sencur v Polzela82-94
06/02/24Polzela v Sencur80-60
27/11/23Sencur v Polzela94-95 OT
03/03/23Sencur v Polzela83-68
05/02/23Sencur v Polzela76-63
29/11/22Polzela v Sencur82-77
28/12/21Sencur v Polzela100-82
16/10/21Polzela v Sencur77-84
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26HKK Krka Novo mesto66-86
04/04/26AKK Triglav Kranj72-62
28/03/26HZlatorog Lasko97-78
16/03/26ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek96-51
09/03/26HRogaska79-78
19/02/26HKK Krka Novo mesto67-89
14/02/26HRogaska82-61
09/02/26ATajfun Sentjur100-82
31/01/26AZlatorog Lasko94-82
21/01/26HPerspektiva Ilirija84-104
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/26AHelios Domzale75-71
06/04/26HRogaska99-94 OT
27/03/26AKK Krka Novo mesto73-110
14/03/26HTajfun Sentjur83-76
07/03/26AKK Triglav Kranj87-94
10/02/26APerspektiva Ilirija91-93
07/02/26HHelios Domzale73-88
28/01/26AKK Krka Novo mesto61-92
24/01/26HKK Triglav Kranj81-66
19/01/26ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek84-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL65%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %65%67%64%
Points / game86.787.685.7
Allowed / game79.478.680.4
Point differential+7.3+9.0+5.4
Avg total166.1166.2166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%50%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW35%
HomeWWLWW64%
AwayLLLLW8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %35%64%8%
Points / game82.487.278.0
Allowed / game88.582.693.8
Point differential-6.1+4.5-15.8
Avg total170.9169.8171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto2423196%94.870.5+24.2
2 Perspektiva Ilirija2419579%90.280.1+10.1
3 Sencur2315865%86.779.4+7.3
4 Helios Domzale24131154%83.983.5+0.5
5 KK Triglav Kranj23101343%79.979.4+0.5
6 Zlatorog Lasko2391439%83.794.0-10.3
7 Rogaska2381535%82.486.0-3.6
8 Polzela2381535%82.488.5-6.1
9 Tajfun Sentjur2481633%76.584.0-7.6
10 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek2341917%75.992.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sencur25242727103
Polzela2324262598
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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