Hermes vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Feb 2021

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 88-115

19-30 27-32 16-25 26-28

Position#12

Record3-17

FormWWLLL

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game95.5

Hermes

Gorica 🏆

Position#4

Record15-3

FormLWWWW

Points / game87.0

Allowed / game74.2

Premijer ligaRound 21

Other2020-21

Meetings · Hermes v Gorica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gorica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hermes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sonik Puntamika

76-98

-22

H19/12

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

76-84

-8

H23/12

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#11

103-87

103

+16

A06/01

Premijer liga

Split

59-125

125

-66

A10/01

Premijer liga

Zabok

70-89

-19

A16/01

Premijer liga

Osijek

81-75

H20/01

Premijer liga

KK Belisce

#16

117-76

117

+41

A23/01

Croatian Cup

Zadar

84-101

101

-17

H25/01

Premijer liga

Split

89-116

116

-27

A27/01

Croatian Cup

Cibona

71-110

110

-39

A04/02

Premijer liga

18-25

21-25

20-25

17-23

27-21

15-24

16-25

18-14

26-30

22-19

26-22

29-16

20-23

11-36

14-34

14-32

22-26

14-22

14-21

20-20

22-16

15-12

19-30

25-17

25-21

26-19

34-20

32-16

28-29

13-24

24-21

19-27

20-30

26-23

24-31

19-32

12-30

25-23

13-31

21-26

178.7Avg total

82.6Scored

96.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	76.5	95.5	171.9	-19.0	15%
Season at home (9)	79.7	93.1	172.8	-13.4	22%
Season away (11)	73.9	97.4	171.3	-23.5	9%
Last 10 (10)	82.6	96.1	178.7	-13.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	95.6	184.0	-7.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	76.5	96.8	173.3	-20.3	15%
vs Similar (2)	86.5	103.5	190.0	-17.0	0%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gorica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alkar

#10

98-75

+23

H28/12

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

86-82

H30/12

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

79-67

+12

A05/01

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

74-73

A09/01

Premijer liga

Osijek

95-86 OT

H17/01

Premijer liga

Studentski Centar

59-61

-2

A19/01

ABA League 2

Rabotnicki

#12

20-0

+20

H21/01

ABA League 2

Lovcen Cetinje

#11

80-75

A23/01

ABA League 2

Skrljevo

89-80

A26/01

Premijer liga

Sonik Puntamika

103-61

103

+42

H31/01

Premijer liga

26-20

24-21

22-10

26-24

22-24

22-12

24-23

18-23

13-25

20-18

21-13

25-11

15-18

9-15

27-17

23-23

20-26

22-21

20-17

14-12

17-21

15-16

14-7

13-17

–

27-15

18-17

17-21

18-22

20-18

23-18

17-18

29-26

21-17

24-14

26-13

32-17

144.3Avg total

78.3Scored

66.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	87.0	74.2	161.2	+12.8	83%
Season at home (9)	94.1	72.8	166.9	+21.3	100%
Season away (9)	79.9	75.6	155.4	+4.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	78.3	66.0	144.3	+12.3	90%
Last 5 (5)	70.2	55.4	125.6	+14.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	61.7	72.4	134.1	-10.8	33%
vs Similar (5)	31.8	41.6	73.4	-9.8	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	87.4	69.3	156.7	+18.1	93%

This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

HermesGorica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	24.3	44.5	-4.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	22.8	43.3	-2.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	25.4	45.4	-5.3	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	25.1	47.1	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	25.2	46.6	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	20.0	24.3	44.3	-4.3	26%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	25.5	46.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	19.6	20.6	40.3	-1.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.3	21.2	42.5	+0.2	58%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.1	20.2	38.2	-2.1	46%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.1	20.4	40.6	-0.3	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.6	22.9	41.5	-4.2	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	24.5	16.5	41.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	23.9	42.2	-5.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.5	23.9	40.5	-7.4	15%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.6	23.8	43.5	-4.2	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	22.7	41.5	-3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	17.4	24.1	41.5	-6.6	19%	-
vs Similar (2)	26.0	23.5	49.5	+2.5	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.5	68%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.9	17.7	41.6	+6.2	92%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	20.2	39.3	-1.0	46%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.7	16.9	36.6	+2.8	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.2	37.6	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.5	21.2	38.8	-3.8	38%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.5	15.0	34.5	+4.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.5	17.9	41.4	+5.6	79%	-

HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sonik Puntamika

39-50

-11

H19/12

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

42-45

-3

H23/12

Premijer liga

Dubrava

#11

48-49

-1

A06/01

Premijer liga

Split

31-59

-28

A10/01

Premijer liga

Zabok

36-48

-12

A16/01

Premijer liga

Osijek

37-28

H20/01

Premijer liga

KK Belisce

#16

51-40

+11

A23/01

Croatian Cup

Zadar

41-53

-12

H25/01

Premijer liga

Split

46-53

-7

A27/01

Croatian Cup

Cibona

37-53

-16

A04/02

Premijer liga

88.6Avg total

40.8Scored

47.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	48.1	86.7	-9.6	17%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.0	46.8	83.8	-9.8	15%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.7	49.2	88.9	-9.5	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	47.8	88.6	-7.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	45.4	87.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	37.5	48.4	85.9	-10.9	11%	-
vs Similar (2)	46.5	49.0	95.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alkar

#10

50-41

H28/12

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

44-36

H30/12

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

33-43

-10

A05/01

Premijer liga

Alkar

#10

24-33

-9

A09/01

Premijer liga

Osijek

42-47

-5

H17/01

Premijer liga

Studentski Centar

32-37

-5

A19/01

ABA League 2

Lovcen Cetinje

#11

45-32

+13

A23/01

ABA League 2

Skrljevo

43-36

A26/01

Premijer liga

Sonik Puntamika

45-31

+14

H31/01

Premijer liga

77.1Avg total

39.8Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	41.1	39.6	80.7	+1.5	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	45.2	38.8	84.1	+6.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.2	40.3	77.5	-3.1	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.8	37.3	77.1	+2.4	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	36.6	78.0	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.1	44.1	80.2	-8.0	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	44.0	31.5	75.5	+12.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	43.3	37.6	80.9	+5.6	64%	-

This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	23.8	43.0	-4.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.7	25.2	45.8	-4.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.1	22.7	40.8	-4.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	26.0	46.4	-5.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	26.6	49.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	18.6	23.8	42.4	-5.2	30%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.0	25.5	45.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	21.1	16.8	37.9	+4.3	68%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	16.6	36.8	+3.6	69%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.9	15.4	36.3	+5.4	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	15.2	34.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.0	17.2	34.2	-0.2	38%	-
vs Similar (2)	21.0	16.5	37.5	+4.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.6	16.4	40.0	+7.3	93%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	23.8	43.7	-4.0	17%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	22.4	42.6	-2.2	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	24.9	44.5	-5.4	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	22.3	43.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	23.6	46.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	19.4	23.7	43.1	-4.4	15%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.0	29.0	49.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	20.5	19.6	40.0	+0.9	48%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.8	19.7	40.5	+1.2	58%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	19.5	39.6	+0.7	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.2	17.6	33.9	-1.4	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	14.5	26.0	40.5	-11.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.9	19.5	43.4	+4.4	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	47.6	86.6	-8.6	13%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.9	47.5	88.5	-6.6	15%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.6	47.6	85.2	-10.1	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	48.3	90.1	-6.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	50.2	96.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	38.0	47.5	85.5	-9.6	11%	-
vs Similar (2)	40.0	54.5	94.5	-14.5	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	41.6	36.4	77.9	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.8	36.7	79.5	+6.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.4	36.1	76.5	+4.3	69%	-
Last 10 (9)	42.9	34.9	77.8	+8.0	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	34.0	74.0	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	33.2	34.9	68.1	-1.6	38%	-
vs Similar (2)	35.5	42.5	78.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	47.6	35.9	83.4	+11.7	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Hermes wins

Gorica wins

Date	Game	Score
24/11/20	Gorica v Hermes	113-67
11/01/20	Hermes v Gorica	82-117
19/10/19	Gorica v Hermes	85-66
06/04/19	Hermes v Gorica	90-109
12/01/19	Hermes v Gorica	73-89
08/12/18	Gorica v Hermes	98-99
18/03/17	Hermes v Gorica	99-73
26/11/16	Gorica v Hermes	124-113 OT

Hermeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/02/21	A	Cibona	71-110
27/01/21	A	Split	89-116
25/01/21	H	Zadar	84-101
23/01/21	A	KK Belisce	117-76
20/01/21	H	Osijek	81-75
16/01/21	A	Zabok	70-89
10/01/21	A	Split	59-125
06/01/21	A	Dubrava	103-87
23/12/20	H	GKK Sibenka	76-84
19/12/20	H	Sonik Puntamika	76-98

Goricalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/01/21	H	Sonik Puntamika	103-61
26/01/21	A	Skrljevo	89-80
23/01/21	A	Lovcen Cetinje	80-75
21/01/21	H	Rabotnicki	20-0
19/01/21	A	Studentski Centar	59-61
17/01/21	H	Osijek	95-86 OT
09/01/21	A	Alkar	74-73
05/01/21	A	GKK Sibenka	79-67
30/12/20	H	GKK Sibenka	86-82
28/12/20	H	Alkar	98-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes

Premijer liga 2020-21

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	15%
Home	LLLWL	22%
Away	LWLLL	9%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	9	11
Win %	15%	22%	9%
Points / game	76.5	79.7	73.9
Allowed / game	95.5	93.1	97.4
Point differential	-18.9	-13.4	-23.5
Avg total	171.9	172.8	171.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	0%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	5%	11%	0%

Gorica

Premijer liga 2020-21

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	83%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LLWWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	83%	100%	67%
Points / game	87.0	94.1	79.9
Allowed / game	74.2	72.8	75.6
Point differential	+12.8	+21.3	+4.3
Avg total	161.2	166.9	155.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	56%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zadar	20	17	3	85%	82.8	68.3	+14.6
2	Gorica	18	15	3	83%	87.0	74.2	+12.8
3	Cibona	17	14	3	82%	91.4	72.2	+19.2
4	Split	19	14	5	74%	89.7	76.8	+12.9
5	Sonik Puntamika	20	11	9	55%	79.3	84.3	-5.0
6	GKK Sibenka	18	9	9	50%	85.4	87.4	-2.0
7	Zabok	21	10	11	48%	77.7	79.9	-2.2
8	Skrljevo	19	8	11	42%	76.8	82.1	-5.3
9	Osijek	18	5	13	28%	80.8	86.6	-5.8
10	Alkar	20	5	15	25%	77.3	85.5	-8.2
11	Dubrava	20	4	16	20%	82.0	90.1	-8.1
12	Hermes	20	3	17	15%	76.5	95.5	-18.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Hermes	19	27	16	26	88
Gorica	30	32	25	28	115

← all games of the day

Hermes vs Gorica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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