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Hermes vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 89-84
29-25 23-15 17-18 20-26
Position#8
Record7-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game90.8
Hermes 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#4
Record13-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game74.4
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 19· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hermes v Gorica
16 Feb 2025
HERM68
GORI63
17 Feb 2024
HERM89
GORI84
07 Feb 2021
HERM88
GORI115
11 Jan 2020
HERM82
GORI117
06 Apr 2019
HERM90
GORI109
12 Jan 2019
HERM73
GORI89
18 Mar 2017
HERM99
GORI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
89-103
89
103
-14
87avg 87
A25/11
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
93-79
93
79
+14
96avg 87
H03/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
91-95
91
95
-4
82avg 87
A10/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
101-81
101
81
+20
101avg 87
H18/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
92-95
92
95
-3
87avg 87
H21/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
106-84
106
84
+22
109avg 87
H13/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
107-116 OT
107
116
-9
no box
H21/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
85-91
85
91
-6
82avg 87
H24/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
71-98
71
98
-27
60avg 87
H04/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
87-94
87
94
-7
85avg 87
A10/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
26-23
19-26
18-22
29-22
29-23
16-22
19-12
20-23
30-17
17-32
24-23
27-23
19-25
24-18
31-15
29-10
16-33
26-25
21-27
32-16
26-17
28-23
20-28
23-20
18-28
31-23
27-28
23-20
23-23
24-32
15-16
24-24
19-27
15-26
13-21
23-22
24-20
22-27
18-25
185.8Avg total
92.2Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)90.690.8181.4-0.241%
Season at home (10)94.789.7184.4+5.050%
Season away (7)84.792.3177.0-7.629%
Last 10 (10)92.293.6185.8-1.430%
Last 5 (5)91.296.6187.8-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)87.196.7183.9-9.629%
vs Similar (10)94.989.9184.8+5.070%
vs Weaker (13)99.884.2183.9+15.669%
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Stoja
#13
L
69-79
69
79
-10
64avg 77
A02/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 77
A10/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
68-59
68
59
+9
62avg 77
H16/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
61avg 77
A23/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
87-69
87
69
+18
91avg 77
H13/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
76avg 77
H21/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
no box
A24/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 77
H27/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
88-71
88
71
+17
85avg 77
A03/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
83-59
83
59
+24
81avg 77
H10/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
19-17
16-17
13-21
20-22
20-31
14-19
20-13
21-16
13-17
16-17
18-9
10-29
24-22
16-25
21-18
26-11
23-20
23-17
15-21
27-29
17-20
24-13
20-15
25-20
18-17
21-14
9-22
32-24
24-27
24-19
23-24
26-13
16-20
24-13
22-25
22-18
20-13
16-14
25-14
158.2Avg total
81.4Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.674.4156.0+7.172%
Season at home (9)84.672.9157.4+11.789%
Season away (9)78.676.0154.6+2.656%
Last 10 (10)81.476.8158.2+4.670%
Last 5 (5)89.076.4165.4+12.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.281.2158.5-4.025%
vs Similar (16)83.684.4168.0-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.770.1152.8+12.689%
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
HermesGorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A25/11
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H03/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A10/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H18/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H21/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H13/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H24/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H04/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A10/02
Prva Liga
93.4Avg total
48.6Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.043.392.3+5.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.343.695.9+8.862%-
Last 30 away (14)45.242.988.1+2.364%-
Last 10 (10)48.644.893.4+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)47.043.490.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)44.048.392.3-4.314%-
vs Similar (10)46.744.090.7+2.770%-
vs Weaker (13)53.540.093.5+13.585%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stoja
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A02/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A10/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H16/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A23/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H13/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H21/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A24/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H27/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A03/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H10/02
Prva Liga
83.4Avg total
42.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.879.7+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.339.881.1+1.556%-
Last 30 away (14)40.537.678.1+2.964%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.083.4+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)45.440.285.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.238.877.0-0.550%-
vs Similar (16)42.839.882.6+2.969%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.035.276.2+5.856%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.9
56.2%
52.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.613.9
41.4%
32.9%41.7
🏀 Free throws16.912.2
72.2%
71.2%12.2
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.822.1
57.0%
52.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.0
34.3%
32.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.213.3
69.3%
71.2%13.3
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hermes
LLLLWLWLWL
Gorica
WWWWWWLWLL
#8
League position
#4
+4.8
Net rating
+8.6
115.8
Offensive rating
107.5
111.0
Defensive rating
98.9
59.2%
Effective FG%
54.9%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
16.6%
Turnover %
18.5%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
41.4%
3-point %
34.3%
71.6%
Assist %
57.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 107.5Defence111.0 · 98.9Shooting59.2% · 54.9%3-point %41.4% · 34.3%Ball care16.6% · 18.5%Off. rebounds23.9% · 25.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Hermes   ■ Gorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Hermes wins
8
Gorica wins
DateGameScore
11/11/23Gorica v Hermes99-87
29/03/21Gorica v Hermes97-65
07/02/21Hermes v Gorica88-115
24/11/20Gorica v Hermes113-67
11/01/20Hermes v Gorica82-117
19/10/19Gorica v Hermes85-66
06/04/19Hermes v Gorica90-109
12/01/19Hermes v Gorica73-89
08/12/18Gorica v Hermes98-99
18/03/17Hermes v Gorica99-73
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24AStoja87-94
04/02/24HKastela71-98
24/01/24HSamobor85-91
21/01/24HOsijek107-116 OT
13/01/24HCrikvenica106-84
21/12/23HJazine92-95
18/12/23HKK Zagreb101-81
10/12/23AMarsonia91-95
03/12/23HPodstrana93-79
25/11/23AKvarner89-103
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HOsijek83-59
03/02/24ACrikvenica88-71
27/01/24HJazine103-94
24/01/24AKK Zagreb83-81 OT
21/01/24HMarsonia88-77
13/01/24HPodstrana87-69
23/12/23AKvarner71-94
16/12/23HOmis68-59
10/12/23ASamobor74-85
02/12/23AStoja69-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL41%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %41%50%29%
Points / game90.694.784.7
Allowed / game90.889.792.3
Point differential-0.2+5.0-7.6
Avg total181.4184.4177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%10%0%
Gorica
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW72%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %72%89%56%
Points / game81.684.678.6
Allowed / game74.472.976.0
Point differential+7.1+11.7+2.6
Avg total156.0157.4154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %11%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner1817194%91.172.6+18.6
2 Osijek1816289%88.175.2+12.8
3 Gorica1813572%81.674.4+7.1
4 Samobor1912763%84.282.8+1.4
5 KK Zagreb1811761%81.272.9+8.2
6 Kastela1911858%80.673.9+6.7
7 Jazine1911858%88.485.7+2.6
8 Omis189950%77.779.7-2.1
9 Hermes1771041%90.690.8-0.2
10 Marsonia1861233%80.186.3-6.2
11 Mladost1741324%77.886.1-8.3
12 Podstrana1941521%71.686.1-14.5
13 Stoja1831517%77.990.9-12.9
14 Crikvenica1831517%73.286.7-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hermes2923172089
Gorica2515182684
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