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Hermes vs Osijek Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 107-116 (OT)
23-20 18-28 31-23 27-28 8-17
Position#8
Record7-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Osijek 🏆
Croatia
Position#2
Record12-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game74.2
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 14· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hermes v Osijek
21 Jan 2024
HERM107
OSIJ116
18 Dec 2022
HERM77
OSIJ101
30 Mar 2021
HERM94
OSIJ101
20 Jan 2021
HERM81
OSIJ75
21 Dec 2019
HERM90
OSIJ95
20 Apr 2019
HERM97
OSIJ103
30 Mar 2018
HERM82
OSIJ76
19 Nov 2016
HERM80
OSIJ87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Osijek winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Kastela
#6
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 89
A28/10
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
85-93
85
93
-8
77avg 89
H05/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
87-99
87
99
-12
89avg 89
A11/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
100-73
100
73
+27
104avg 89
H19/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
89-103
89
103
-14
87avg 89
A25/11
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
93-79
93
79
+14
96avg 89
H03/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
91-95
91
95
-4
82avg 89
A10/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
101-81
101
81
+20
101avg 89
H18/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
92-95
92
95
-3
87avg 89
H21/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
106-84
106
84
+22
109avg 89
H13/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-32
19-18
21-13
25-17
30-28
23-22
15-20
17-23
35-18
16-21
17-23
19-37
28-7
19-17
38-20
15-29
26-32
26-23
19-26
18-22
29-22
29-23
16-22
19-12
20-23
30-17
17-32
24-23
27-23
19-25
24-18
31-15
29-10
16-33
26-25
21-27
32-16
26-17
28-23
20-28
181.2Avg total
93.0Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)91.588.0179.5+3.554%
Season at home (7)97.784.6182.3+13.171%
Season away (6)84.392.0176.3-7.733%
Last 10 (10)93.088.2181.2+4.850%
Last 5 (5)96.686.8183.4+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)84.791.5176.2-6.833%
vs Similar (10)93.991.5185.4+2.470%
vs Weaker (14)97.182.6179.7+14.464%
This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsijekCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsijek
Date
Competition
Gorica
#4
W
84-77 OT
84
77
+7
no box
H04/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
63avg 86
A11/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
W
91-83
91
83
+8
88avg 86
H18/11
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
92-74
92
74
+18
90avg 86
A26/11
Prva Liga
Alkar
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 86
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Marsonia
#9
W
99-60
99
60
+39
110avg 86
H03/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
75-69
75
69
+6
68avg 86
A09/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
91-85
91
85
+6
88avg 86
H16/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
76avg 86
A22/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
96-77
96
77
+19
107avg 86
H13/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
6-22
18-9
21-12
16-23
16-24
12-16
30-15
21-24
25-20
16-26
29-13
26-12
20-22
30-15
16-25
28-24
18-18
19-17
16-19
23-17
24-11
24-8
28-24
18-21
18-16
18-11
21-21
26-16
17-24
28-28
20-17
21-14
25-14
16-23
18-15
23-25
31-16
20-18
22-18
161.0Avg total
86.3Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.374.2162.5+14.292%
Season at home (6)93.575.2168.7+18.3100%
Season away (7)83.973.3157.1+10.686%
Last 10 (10)86.374.7161.0+11.690%
Last 5 (5)88.271.4159.6+16.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.383.3157.7-9.033%
vs Similar (4)72.270.2142.5+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)85.473.1158.5+12.282%
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +4.2+4.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +4.2+4.2
HermesOsijek
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#6
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A28/10
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H05/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A11/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H19/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A25/11
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H03/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A10/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H18/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H21/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H13/01
Prva Liga
92.7Avg total
50.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.043.391.3+4.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.742.794.4+8.960%-
Last 30 away (15)44.443.988.3+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)50.042.792.7+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)51.441.893.2+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)41.746.888.5-5.217%-
vs Similar (10)46.345.391.6+1.060%-
vs Weaker (14)52.040.492.4+11.671%-
This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsijekLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorica
#4
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H04/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A11/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H18/11
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A26/11
Prva Liga
Alkar
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Marsonia
#9
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H03/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A09/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H16/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A22/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H13/01
Prva Liga
80.5Avg total
42.1Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.637.580.1+5.173%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.836.680.4+7.188%-
Last 30 away (14)41.338.579.8+2.857%-
Last 10 (10)42.138.480.5+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)45.234.880.0+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.743.782.3-5.067%-
vs Similar (4)37.833.571.2+4.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.937.281.0+6.777%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.218.3
56.8%
52.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.213.8
40.4%
32.9%41.4
🏀 Free throws18.814.8
78.7%
71.2%14.8
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osijektheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osijek: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.625.4
59.6%
52.9%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.6
29.9%
32.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.612.9
73.3%
71.2%12.9
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hermes
WLWLWLWLLW
Osijek
WWWWWWWWLW
#8
League position
#2
+7.3
Net rating
+15.3
116.0
Offensive rating
109.1
108.8
Defensive rating
93.9
58.7%
Effective FG%
54.1%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
17.6%
Turnover %
15.6%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
40.4%
3-point %
29.9%
72.3%
Assist %
75.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 109.1Defence108.8 · 93.9Shooting58.7% · 54.1%3-point %40.4% · 29.9%Ball care17.6% · 15.6%Off. rebounds24.9% · 23.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Hermes   ■ Osijek
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hermes wins
9
Osijek wins
DateGameScore
10/10/23Osijek v Hermes100-69
18/12/22Hermes v Osijek77-101
01/10/22Osijek v Hermes104-58
30/03/21Hermes v Osijek94-101
20/01/21Hermes v Osijek81-75
19/09/20Osijek v Hermes101-85
21/12/19Hermes v Osijek90-95 OT
05/10/19Osijek v Hermes72-71
20/04/19Hermes v Osijek97-103
22/12/18Osijek v Hermes79-77
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HCrikvenica106-84
21/12/23HJazine92-95
18/12/23HKK Zagreb101-81
10/12/23AMarsonia91-95
03/12/23HPodstrana93-79
25/11/23AKvarner89-103
19/11/23HOmis100-73
11/11/23AGorica87-99
05/11/23HStoja85-93
28/10/23AKastela86-80
Osijeklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HSamobor96-77
22/12/23ACrikvenica80-66
16/12/23HJazine91-85
09/12/23AKK Zagreb75-69
03/12/23HMarsonia99-60
29/11/23HAlkar81-78
26/11/23APodstrana92-74
18/11/23HKvarner91-83
11/11/23AOmis74-78
04/11/23HGorica84-77 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW54%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%71%33%
Points / game91.597.784.3
Allowed / game88.084.692.0
Point differential+3.5+13.1-7.7
Avg total179.5182.3176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Osijek
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %92%100%86%
Points / game88.393.583.9
Allowed / game74.275.273.3
Point differential+14.2+18.3+10.6
Avg total162.5168.7157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%50%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner1312192%91.774.8+16.8
2 Osijek1312192%88.374.2+14.2
3 KK Zagreb1410471%82.471.1+11.3
4 Gorica138562%78.773.7+5.0
5 Kastela148657%80.476.1+4.3
6 Jazine148657%84.986.9-1.9
7 Hermes137654%91.588.0+3.5
8 Samobor137654%80.483.5-3.2
9 Omis147750%78.478.9-0.5
10 Marsonia134931%81.186.2-5.2
11 Podstrana1441029%73.484.1-10.8
12 Mladost1331023%77.984.1-6.2
13 Crikvenica1321115%73.489.2-15.8
14 Stoja1421214%78.089.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Hermes231831278107
Osijek2028232817116
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