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Osijek vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 96-77
23-25 31-16 20-18 22-18
Position#2
Record11-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game73.9
Osijek 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#5
Record7-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game82.5
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 13· NSD Gradski vrt
Other2023-24
Meetings · Osijek v Samobor
13 Apr 2024
OSIJ99
SAMO69
13 Jan 2024
OSIJ96
SAMO77
05 Feb 2023
OSIJ93
SAMO48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osijek winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsijekCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsijek
Date
Competition
Stoja
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
85avg 84
A28/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
84-77 OT
84
77
+7
no box
H04/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
63avg 84
A11/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
W
91-83
91
83
+8
88avg 84
H18/11
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
92-74
92
74
+18
90avg 84
A26/11
Prva Liga
Alkar
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 84
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Marsonia
#9
W
99-60
99
60
+39
110avg 84
H03/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
75-69
75
69
+6
68avg 84
A09/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
91-85
91
85
+6
88avg 84
H16/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
76avg 84
A22/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-21
25-15
17-28
15-16
19-21
6-22
18-9
21-12
16-23
16-24
12-16
30-15
21-24
25-20
16-26
29-13
26-12
20-22
30-15
16-25
28-24
18-18
19-17
16-19
23-17
24-11
24-8
28-24
18-21
18-16
18-11
21-21
26-16
17-24
28-28
20-17
21-14
25-14
16-23
18-15
160.7Avg total
85.7Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.773.9161.6+13.892%
Season at home (5)93.074.8167.8+18.2100%
Season away (7)83.973.3157.1+10.686%
Last 10 (10)85.775.0160.7+10.790%
Last 5 (5)85.271.6156.8+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.383.3157.7-9.033%
vs Similar (4)72.270.2142.5+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)85.273.1158.4+12.182%
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Mladost
#11
W
89-82
89
82
+7
86avg 72
A27/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 72
A04/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
52-89
52
89
-37
36avg 72
H11/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
66-82
66
82
-16
49avg 72
A19/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
88-77
88
77
+11
84avg 72
H26/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#7
L
85-88
85
88
-3
79avg 72
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#7
L
77-91
77
91
-14
61avg 72
A02/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
85-74
85
74
+11
74avg 72
H10/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
95-79
95
79
+16
89avg 72
A16/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
102-89
102
89
+13
96avg 72
H23/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
15-28
29-12
23-23
14-22
19-24
23-15
25-18
8-30
1-25
21-17
22-17
18-17
18-24
9-22
21-19
28-16
18-14
23-25
19-22
24-23
25-24
13-20
23-21
13-22
28-21
20-27
16-21
22-20
31-20
19-14
13-20
24-24
25-7
22-18
24-30
23-22
19-13
25-28
35-26
165.0Avg total
82.0Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.782.5163.2-1.858%
Season at home (5)80.482.6163.0-2.260%
Season away (7)80.982.4163.3-1.657%
Last 10 (10)82.083.0165.0-1.060%
Last 5 (5)88.884.2173.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.690.1166.7-13.412%
vs Similar (4)72.284.5156.8-12.225%
vs Weaker (9)89.879.4169.2+10.389%
This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
OsijekSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsijekLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stoja
#13
W
58-36
58
36
+22
A28/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H04/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A11/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H18/11
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A26/11
Prva Liga
Alkar
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Marsonia
#9
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H03/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A09/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H16/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A22/12
Prva Liga
80.4Avg total
42.5Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.337.279.5+5.173%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.236.179.3+7.288%-
Last 30 away (14)41.338.579.8+2.857%-
Last 10 (10)42.537.980.4+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)43.635.078.6+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.743.782.3-5.067%-
vs Similar (4)37.833.571.2+4.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.536.880.3+6.777%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#11
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A27/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A04/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
9-55
9
55
-46
H11/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H26/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#7
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H10/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A16/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H23/12
Prva Liga
81.0Avg total
39.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.543.182.6-3.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.141.380.4-2.257%-
Last 30 away (16)39.844.784.5-4.931%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.581.0-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.839.286.0+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.045.683.6-7.631%-
vs Similar (4)35.046.581.5-11.525%-
vs Weaker (9)43.036.879.8+6.267%-
This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osijektheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osijek: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.524.2
56.9%
52.9%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.27.9
30.2%
32.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.712.6
75.4%
71.2%12.6
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.520.7
48.7%
52.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.1
34.2%
32.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.312.3
71.1%
71.2%12.3
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osijek
WWWWWWWLWW
Samobor
WWWLLWLLWW
#2
League position
#5
+13.3
Net rating
-2.1
108.1
Offensive rating
101.2
94.9
Defensive rating
103.3
52.5%
Effective FG%
49.7%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
15.4%
Turnover %
19.9%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.2%
3-point %
34.2%
71.7%
Assist %
55.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 101.2Defence94.9 · 103.3Shooting52.5% · 49.7%3-point %30.2% · 34.2%Ball care15.4% · 19.9%Off. rebounds25.1% · 31.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Osijek   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Osijek wins
0
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
05/02/23Osijek v Samobor93-48
05/11/22Samobor v Osijek74-85
Osijeklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23ACrikvenica80-66
16/12/23HJazine91-85
09/12/23AKK Zagreb75-69
03/12/23HMarsonia99-60
29/11/23HAlkar81-78
26/11/23APodstrana92-74
18/11/23HKvarner91-83
11/11/23AOmis74-78
04/11/23HGorica84-77 OT
28/10/23AStoja90-80
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HOmis102-89
16/12/23ACrikvenica95-79
10/12/23HGorica85-74
02/12/23AJazine77-91
29/11/23AKvarner85-88
26/11/23HStoja88-77
19/11/23AKK Zagreb66-82
11/11/23HKastela52-89
04/11/23AMarsonia81-79
27/10/23AMladost89-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osijek
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %92%100%86%
Points / game87.793.083.9
Allowed / game73.974.873.3
Point differential+13.8+18.2+10.6
Avg total161.6167.8157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %8%20%0%
Samobor
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW58%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %58%60%57%
Points / game80.780.480.9
Allowed / game82.582.682.4
Point differential-1.8-2.2-1.6
Avg total163.2163.0163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%60%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner1211192%92.075.1+16.9
2 Osijek1211192%87.773.9+13.8
3 KK Zagreb139469%81.872.8+8.9
4 Kastela138562%80.875.8+4.9
5 Gorica127558%78.074.1+3.9
6 Samobor127558%80.782.5-1.8
7 Hermes126650%90.388.3+2.0
8 Omis126650%77.378.2-0.8
9 Jazine126650%85.388.6-3.2
10 Podstrana124833%73.282.8-9.5
11 Mladost123925%78.084.0-6.0
12 Marsonia123925%80.586.8-6.2
13 Stoja1221017%80.389.0-8.7
14 Crikvenica1221017%72.587.8-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osijek2331202296
Samobor2516181877
← all games of the day
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