PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Hermes vs KK Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 101-81
27-23 19-25 24-18 31-15
Position#8
Record5-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game88.4
Hermes 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#3
Record8-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game69.0
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 11· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2023-24
Meetings · Hermes v KK Zagreb
15 Dec 2024
HERM75
KK Z79
18 Dec 2023
HERM101
KK Z81
04 Mar 2023
HERM96
KK Z91
10 Mar 2022
HERM107
KK Z82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KK Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
L
69-100
69
100
-31
58avg 86
A10/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
84-75
84
75
+9
75avg 86
A12/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
107-87
107
87
+20
111avg 86
H21/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 86
A28/10
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
85-93
85
93
-8
77avg 86
H05/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
87-99
87
99
-12
89avg 86
A11/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
100-73
100
73
+27
104avg 86
H19/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
89-103
89
103
-14
87avg 86
A25/11
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
93-79
93
79
+14
96avg 86
H03/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
91-95
91
95
-4
82avg 86
A10/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
15-24
12-32
22-21
25-19
23-18
22-20
14-18
36-25
30-20
16-21
25-21
21-32
19-18
21-13
25-17
30-28
23-22
15-20
17-23
35-18
16-21
17-23
19-37
28-7
19-17
38-20
15-29
26-32
26-23
19-26
18-22
29-22
29-23
16-22
19-12
20-23
30-17
17-32
24-23
177.5Avg total
89.1Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.188.4177.5+0.750%
Season at home (4)96.283.0179.2+13.275%
Season away (6)84.392.0176.3-7.733%
Last 10 (10)89.188.4177.5+0.750%
Last 5 (5)92.089.8181.8+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)77.190.1167.3-13.014%
vs Similar (9)94.191.1185.2+3.078%
vs Weaker (14)96.882.9179.6+13.964%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Stoja
#13
W
97-70
97
70
+27
95avg 80
H08/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
78-61
78
61
+17
77avg 80
A14/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
78-36
78
36
+42
82avg 80
H22/10
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
69avg 80
A28/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
85-79 OT
85
79
+6
no box
H04/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
74avg 80
A12/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
82-66
82
66
+16
82avg 80
H19/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 80
H26/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
104-76
104
76
+28
98avg 80
A03/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
69-75
69
75
-6
65avg 80
H09/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
25-16
30-17
21-15
9-18
21-19
23-14
25-10
21-20
25-8
19-4
13-4
18-17
18-19
17-21
24-26
16-18
24-24
19-17
16-16
31-10
14-18
15-21
17-22
17-18
24-18
22-9
19-21
15-17
25-14
19-17
20-25
22-13
28-17
22-20
32-26
21-18
16-18
11-18
21-21
151.6Avg total
82.6Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.669.0151.6+13.680%
Season at home (6)81.766.5148.2+15.283%
Season away (4)84.072.8156.8+11.275%
Last 10 (10)82.669.0151.6+13.680%
Last 5 (5)82.272.2154.4+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)66.581.2147.7-14.68%
vs Similar (9)78.272.3150.6+5.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)84.866.2151.0+18.5100%
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
HermesKK Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A10/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A12/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
66-45
66
45
+21
H21/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A28/10
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H05/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A11/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H19/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A25/11
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H03/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A10/12
Prva Liga
93.2Avg total
50.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.543.790.2+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.443.092.4+6.457%-
Last 30 away (16)44.044.288.2-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)50.043.293.2+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)51.640.692.2+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.146.483.6-9.314%-
vs Similar (9)46.445.692.0+0.956%-
vs Weaker (14)51.341.192.4+10.271%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stoja
#13
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H08/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A14/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H22/10
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A28/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H04/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A12/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H19/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H26/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A03/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H09/12
Prva Liga
75.3Avg total
41.1Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.536.976.5+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.136.576.6+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)38.937.476.3+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)41.134.275.3+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)42.632.274.8+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.239.575.8-3.331%-
vs Similar (9)41.236.677.8+4.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.033.176.1+9.988%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.5
56.7%
52.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.212.7
37.1%
32.9%38.1
🏀 Free throws14.311.3
79.0%
71.2%11.3
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.9
55.0%
52.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.8
34.1%
32.9%29.3
🏀 Free throws19.714.8
75.1%
71.2%14.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hermes
LWLWLLWWWL
KK Zagreb
LWWWWWLWWW
#8
League position
#3
+0.0
Net rating
+19.5
109.4
Offensive rating
107.3
109.4
Defensive rating
87.8
56.2%
Effective FG%
53.3%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
42.9%
18.9%
Turnover %
19.9%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.1%
3-point %
34.1%
73.9%
Assist %
65.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 107.3Defence109.4 · 87.8Shooting56.2% · 53.3%3-point %37.1% · 34.1%Ball care18.9% · 19.9%Off. rebounds25.3% · 32.4%Free throws0.21 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Hermes   ■ KK Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Hermes wins
1
KK Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
04/03/23Hermes v KK Zagreb96-91
03/12/22KK Zagreb v Hermes84-65
10/03/22Hermes v KK Zagreb107-82
24/10/21KK Zagreb v Hermes75-102
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23AMarsonia91-95
03/12/23HPodstrana93-79
25/11/23AKvarner89-103
19/11/23HOmis100-73
11/11/23AGorica87-99
05/11/23HStoja85-93
28/10/23AKastela86-80
21/10/23HMladost107-87
12/10/23ASamobor84-75
10/10/23AOsijek69-100
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HOsijek69-75
03/12/23ACrikvenica104-76
26/11/23HJazine79-73
19/11/23HSamobor82-66
12/11/23AMarsonia77-71
04/11/23HPodstrana85-79 OT
28/10/23AKvarner77-83
22/10/23HOmis78-36
14/10/23AGorica78-61
08/10/23HStoja97-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%75%33%
Points / game89.196.284.3
Allowed / game88.483.092.0
Point differential+0.7+13.2-7.7
Avg total177.5179.2176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %80%83%75%
Points / game82.681.784.0
Allowed / game69.066.572.8
Point differential+13.6+15.2+11.2
Avg total151.6148.2156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %10%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner1110191%91.875.5+16.4
2 Osijek1110191%88.474.6+13.7
3 KK Zagreb108280%82.669.0+13.6
4 Gorica117464%78.672.3+6.4
5 Kastela116555%81.176.3+4.8
6 Omis116555%76.376.0+0.3
7 Samobor116555%78.781.9-3.2
8 Hermes105550%89.188.4+0.7
9 Jazine115645%84.588.3-3.8
10 Mladost113827%77.483.5-6.1
11 Marsonia113827%80.586.7-6.3
12 Podstrana113827%73.084.3-11.3
13 Stoja112918%81.690.2-8.5
14 Crikvenica112918%73.188.5-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hermes27192431101
KK Zagreb2325181581
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.