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Norrkoping vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 17:04
Final 89-77
27-19 22-24 25-18 15-16
Position#3
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#9
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
SwedenBasketligan· Stadium Arena B
Other2025-26
Meetings · Norrkoping v Hogsbo
23 Mar 2027
NOR v HOGS
upcoming
22 Jan 2027
NOR v HOGS
upcoming
19 Sep 2025
NOR89
HOGS77
21 Mar 2025
NOR122
HOGS93
04 Oct 2024
NOR89
HOGS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Norrkoping winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorrkopingSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNorrkoping
Date
Competition
Sodertalje
#8
W
84-82
84
82
+2
74avg 82
A10/04
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
91-68
91
68
+23
91avg 82
H21/04
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
83-68
83
68
+15
76avg 82
H23/04
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
97-88
97
88
+9
100avg 82
A26/04
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
90-52
90
52
+38
96avg 82
A29/04
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 82
H09/05
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
73-79
73
79
-6
54avg 82
H11/05
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
87-70
87
70
+17
77avg 82
A14/05
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
63avg 82
A16/05
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
74-73 OT
74
73
+1
62avg 82
H19/05
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
18-13
22-30
21-14
22-18
22-22
20-12
27-16
21-20
16-21
25-13
21-14
30-18
16-22
23-14
28-34
15-11
20-11
25-18
30-12
26-17
19-18
22-25
15-16
17-23
22-19
19-16
15-21
17-24
15-16
19-14
36-16
20-24
19-12
11-20
24-16
22-11
13-22
17-18
14-15
156.3Avg total
83.5Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.572.8156.3+10.790%
Last 5 (5)78.074.0152.0+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)91.278.1169.3+13.183%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Umea
#10
W
110-83
110
83
+27
104avg 75
A07/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
71-75
71
75
-4
60avg 75
H11/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
98-114
98
114
-16
98avg 75
A15/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
59-63
59
63
-4
43avg 75
H28/02
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
85-110
85
110
-25
76avg 75
A04/03
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
80-107
80
107
-27
77avg 75
H07/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
80-121
80
121
-41
67avg 75
A13/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
93-122
93
122
-29
80avg 75
A21/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
W
104-98
104
98
+6
94avg 75
H24/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
78avg 75
H28/03
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
27-15
35-26
26-24
22-17
20-15
12-22
17-21
24-21
29-33
21-33
24-27
14-16
16-16
14-17
15-14
23-36
21-23
22-28
19-23
25-35
17-14
16-33
22-25
19-27
26-27
16-36
19-31
20-34
20-28
25-23
28-37
26-21
21-29
31-19
26-29
26-22
13-19
22-24
19-19
183.7Avg total
86.0Scored
97.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.097.7183.7-11.720%
Last 5 (5)87.4106.4193.8-19.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)82.494.6177.0-12.315%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (3)90.783.0173.7+7.767%
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: -3.5-3.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: -3.5-3.5
NorrkopingHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NorrkopingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A10/04
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H21/04
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H23/04
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A26/04
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A29/04
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H09/05
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H11/05
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A14/05
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A16/05
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H19/05
Basketligan
76.0Avg total
39.3Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.238.183.3+7.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.136.281.3+8.973%-
Last 30 away (15)45.340.085.3+5.373%-
Last 10 (10)39.336.776.0+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.275.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)45.238.183.3+7.173%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Umea
#10
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A07/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H11/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A15/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H28/02
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A04/03
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H07/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A13/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
40-62
40
62
-22
A21/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H24/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H28/03
Basketligan
89.7Avg total
43.1Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.044.584.5-4.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.341.279.5-2.940%-
Last 30 away (15)41.747.889.5-6.113%-
Last 10 (10)43.146.689.7-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)42.651.293.8-8.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)40.045.585.6-5.522%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (3)39.335.374.7+4.067%-
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Norrkopingtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Norrkoping: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.3
52.2%
54.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.1
33.1%
35.8%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.614.2
80.7%
74.6%14.2
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.7
53.2%
54.1%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.4
31.3%
35.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.414.6
71.6%
74.6%14.6
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Norrkoping
WWWLWWWWWW
Hogsbo
LWLLLLLLLW
#3
League position
#9
+14.8
Net rating
-14.4
108.6
Offensive rating
105.2
93.8
Defensive rating
119.7
51.0%
Effective FG%
50.8%
42.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
15.7%
Turnover %
14.8%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.1%
3-point %
31.3%
54.8%
Assist %
63.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 105.2Defence93.8 · 119.7Shooting51.0% · 50.8%3-point %33.1% · 31.3%Ball care15.7% · 14.8%Off. rebounds27.6% · 23.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 20%
■ Norrkoping   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Norrkoping wins
1
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
21/03/25Norrkoping v Hogsbo122-93
25/01/25Hogsbo v Norrkoping74-89
09/01/25Hogsbo v Norrkoping73-113
04/10/24Norrkoping v Hogsbo89-91
Norrkopinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/25HBoras74-73 OT
16/05/25ABoras74-72
14/05/25ABoras87-70
11/05/25HBoras73-79
09/05/25HBoras82-76
29/04/25AKoping Stars90-52
26/04/25AKoping Stars97-88
23/04/25HKoping Stars83-68
21/04/25HKoping Stars91-68
10/04/25ASodertalje84-82
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/25HUppsala80-84
24/03/25HNassjo104-98
21/03/25ANorrkoping93-122
13/03/25ANassjo80-121
07/03/25HBC Lulea80-107
04/03/25AUppsala85-110
28/02/25HBoras59-63
15/02/25AJamtland98-114
11/02/25HSodertalje71-75
07/02/25AUmea110-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Norrkoping
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Hogsbo
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uppsala110100%90.084.0+6.0
2 Sloga Uppsala1010%84.090.0-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Norrkoping2722251589
Hogsbo1924181677
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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