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Norrkoping vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:04
Final 122-93
34-20 28-20 23-25 37-28
Position#1
Record20-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game93.9
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#9
Record5-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game92.6
SwedenBasketligan· Stadium Arena B
Other2024-25
Meetings · Norrkoping v Hogsbo
23 Mar 2027
NOR v HOGS
upcoming
22 Jan 2027
NOR v HOGS
upcoming
19 Sep 2025
NOR89
HOGS77
21 Mar 2025
NOR122
HOGS93
04 Oct 2024
NOR89
HOGS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Norrkoping winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorrkopingSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNorrkoping
Date
Competition
Uppsala
#6
L
86-107
86
107
-21
69avg 84
A21/01
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
W
89-74
89
74
+15
88avg 84
A25/01
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
102-99
102
99
+3
96avg 84
H04/02
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
91-99
91
99
-8
72avg 84
A07/02
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
100-60
100
60
+40
104avg 84
H11/02
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
95-62
95
62
+33
92avg 84
A14/02
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
68-83
68
83
-15
52avg 84
H28/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
101-102
101
102
-1
88avg 84
A04/03
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
82avg 84
H07/03
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
105-90
105
90
+15
100avg 84
A14/03
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-35
23-29
24-21
18-22
21-24
30-11
22-10
16-29
21-22
28-23
23-28
30-26
23-16
19-30
24-26
25-27
26-11
26-10
24-20
24-19
19-17
34-12
20-14
22-19
16-23
22-22
9-19
21-19
26-22
20-20
19-25
36-35
25-20
26-12
25-20
9-15
25-33
29-18
26-20
25-19
176.5Avg total
92.2Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)93.981.2175.1+12.774%
Season at home (14)92.577.9170.4+14.679%
Season away (13)95.584.8180.3+10.669%
Last 10 (10)92.284.3176.5+7.960%
Last 5 (5)90.880.8171.6+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)74.071.0145.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (4)80.085.8165.8-5.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)94.180.7174.8+13.476%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Umea
#10
L
77-87
77
87
-10
57avg 77
A17/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
64avg 77
H25/01
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
87-101
87
101
-14
78avg 77
A04/02
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
110-83
110
83
+27
104avg 77
A07/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
71-75
71
75
-4
60avg 77
H11/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
98-114
98
114
-16
98avg 77
A15/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
59-63
59
63
-4
43avg 77
H28/02
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
85-110
85
110
-25
76avg 77
A04/03
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
80-107
80
107
-27
77avg 77
H07/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
80-121
80
121
-41
67avg 77
A13/03
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
17-15
22-24
23-26
24-21
11-30
10-22
29-16
17-23
22-24
16-29
32-25
22-18
27-15
35-26
26-24
22-17
20-15
12-22
17-21
24-21
29-33
21-33
24-27
14-16
16-16
14-17
15-14
23-36
21-23
22-28
19-23
25-35
17-14
16-33
22-25
19-27
26-27
16-36
19-31
177.1Avg total
82.1Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.292.6174.8-10.419%
Season at home (13)79.288.5167.8-9.323%
Season away (14)84.996.4181.3-11.414%
Last 10 (10)82.195.0177.1-12.910%
Last 5 (5)80.4103.0183.4-22.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)81.193.8174.9-12.712%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (6)89.778.5168.2+11.267%
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +7.0+7.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -8.6-8.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +7.0+7.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -8.6-8.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
NorrkopingHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NorrkopingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uppsala
#6
L
44-64
44
64
-20
A21/01
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A25/01
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H04/02
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A07/02
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H11/02
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A14/02
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H28/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A04/03
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H07/03
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A14/03
Basketligan
89.0Avg total
48.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.740.587.3+6.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.638.284.8+8.469%-
Last 30 away (14)46.943.290.1+3.657%-
Last 10 (10)48.041.089.0+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)48.439.888.2+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)26.029.055.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (4)38.243.882.0-5.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)48.940.589.4+8.476%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Umea
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A17/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H25/01
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A04/02
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A07/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H11/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A15/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H28/02
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A04/03
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H07/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A13/03
Basketligan
85.9Avg total
41.1Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.143.283.3-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.339.678.9-0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)40.946.987.7-6.013%-
Last 10 (10)41.144.885.9-3.720%-
Last 5 (5)42.849.692.4-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)39.844.884.6-5.025%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (6)41.236.878.0+4.367%-
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Norrkopingtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Norrkoping: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.9
58.1%
52.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.3
37.3%
34.6%33.9
🏀 Free throws19.515.3
78.5%
76.2%15.3
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.6
51.4%
52.1%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.1
29.3%
34.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.115.6
73.9%
76.2%15.6
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Norrkoping
WWLLWWLWWL
Hogsbo
LLLLLLWLLL
#1
League position
#9
+9.5
Net rating
-16.5
115.0
Offensive rating
100.4
105.5
Defensive rating
116.9
57.1%
Effective FG%
48.4%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
16.6%
Turnover %
16.3%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.3%
3-point %
29.3%
48.8%
Assist %
64.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 100.4Defence105.5 · 116.9Shooting57.1% · 48.4%3-point %37.3% · 29.3%Ball care16.6% · 16.3%Off. rebounds24.6% · 23.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Norrkoping   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Norrkoping wins
1
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Hogsbo v Norrkoping74-89
09/01/25Hogsbo v Norrkoping73-113
04/10/24Norrkoping v Hogsbo89-91
Norrkopinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25AKoping Stars105-90
07/03/25HSodertalje85-67
04/03/25AJamtland101-102
28/02/25HBC Lulea68-83
14/02/25AUppsala95-62
11/02/25HUmea100-60
07/02/25ANassjo91-99
04/02/25HBoras102-99
25/01/25AHogsbo89-74
21/01/25AUppsala86-107
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25ANassjo80-121
07/03/25HBC Lulea80-107
04/03/25AUppsala85-110
28/02/25HBoras59-63
15/02/25AJamtland98-114
11/02/25HSodertalje71-75
07/02/25AUmea110-83
04/02/25AKoping Stars87-101
25/01/25HNorrkoping74-89
17/01/25AUmea77-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Norrkoping
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW74%
HomeWWWLW79%
AwayWLWLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %74%79%69%
Points / game93.992.595.5
Allowed / game81.277.984.8
Point differential+12.7+14.6+10.6
Avg total175.1170.4180.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%71%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeLLLLL23%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %19%23%14%
Points / game82.279.284.9
Allowed / game92.688.596.4
Point differential-10.4-9.3-11.4
Avg total174.8167.8181.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%8%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %7%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boras2721678%85.476.3+9.1
2 Norrkoping2720774%93.981.2+12.7
3 BC Lulea2819968%88.582.1+6.3
4 Koping Stars27161159%88.986.4+2.5
5 Nassjo28161257%90.690.5+0.1
6 Uppsala28151354%80.681.3-0.7
7 Sodertalje27131448%74.976.9-2.1
8 Jamtland28111739%86.286.7-0.5
9 Hogsbo2752219%82.292.6-10.4
10 Umea271264%75.893.1-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Norrkoping34282337122
Hogsbo2020252893
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