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Hogsbo vs Norrkoping Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:04
Final 73-113
19-33 13-27 13-29 28-24
Position#9
Record4-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game89.8
vs
Position#1
Record11-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game79.9
SwedenBasketligan· Gothia Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hogsbo v Norrkoping
08 Dec 2026
HOGS v NOR
upcoming
06 Nov 2026
HOGS69
NOR84
03 Feb 2026
HOGS76
NOR87
17 Jan 2026
HOGS63
NOR94
25 Jan 2025
HOGS74
NOR89
09 Jan 2025
HOGS73
NOR113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Norrkoping winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Umea
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
82avg 84
H08/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
103-111
103
111
-8
91avg 84
A12/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
75-80
75
80
-5
69avg 84
H16/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 84
A28/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
84-104
84
104
-20
68avg 84
H02/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
90-99
90
99
-9
83avg 84
A08/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
87-95 OT
87
95
-8
73avg 84
H14/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
84-70
84
70
+14
74avg 84
H27/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
90-96
90
96
-6
88avg 84
A30/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
67-85
67
85
-18
65avg 84
A03/01
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
11-17
19-21
29-22
17-24
18-22
29-25
39-40
16-23
21-18
24-20
14-19
19-24
14-24
28-22
15-12
10-29
24-30
32-23
18-22
24-25
22-24
26-24
18-26
15-18
24-17
22-24
18-20
21-11
21-13
14-19
28-27
40-24
15-26
19-24
16-22
16-19
23-23
18-19
10-24
174.2Avg total
84.1Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.889.8172.6-7.025%
Season at home (8)84.188.0172.1-3.938%
Season away (8)81.591.6173.1-10.112%
Last 10 (10)84.190.1174.2-6.020%
Last 5 (5)83.689.0172.6-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)82.790.5173.2-7.920%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (15)93.481.4174.8+12.073%
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorrkopingSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNorrkoping
Date
Competition
Sabah Baku
#33
L
75-83
75
83
-8
67avg 84
H13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Boras
#2
L
69-74
69
74
-5
56avg 84
H16/11
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
83-93
83
93
-10
71avg 84
A29/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
90-80
90
80
+10
87avg 84
H03/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
89-86
89
86
+3
83avg 84
A06/12
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
W
83-74
83
74
+9
39avg 84
A10/12
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
W
76-59
76
59
+17
62avg 84
H13/12
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
108-78
108
78
+30
104avg 84
A27/12
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
W
106-76
106
76
+30
100avg 84
H30/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
120-86
120
86
+34
120avg 84
H03/01
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
14-17
19-22
20-23
20-21
17-26
12-14
20-13
19-15
11-42
27-17
26-19
31-15
19-25
17-19
23-21
23-30
26-23
27-15
13-18
14-18
29-15
18-22
22-19
20-15
16-12
16-24
24-8
32-6
22-26
23-32
31-14
27-21
25-17
35-19
19-19
39-15
25-28
33-16
23-27
168.8Avg total
89.9Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)93.079.9172.9+13.179%
Season at home (9)93.978.0171.9+15.978%
Season away (5)91.483.2174.6+8.280%
Last 10 (10)89.978.9168.8+11.070%
Last 5 (5)98.674.6173.2+24.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.085.0162.0-8.050%
vs Similar (5)79.884.6164.4-4.820%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)89.679.0168.6+10.777%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +4.0+4.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +4.0+4.0
HogsboNorrkoping
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Umea
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H08/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A12/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H16/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A28/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
L
34-59
34
59
-25
H02/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A08/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H14/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H27/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A30/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A03/01
Basketligan
82.7Avg total
39.7Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.784.7+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.236.779.9+6.579%-
Last 30 away (16)44.744.188.8+0.638%-
Last 10 (10)39.743.082.7-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.084.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.542.582.1-3.033%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (15)48.538.887.3+9.780%-
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorrkopingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sabah Baku
#33
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Boras
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H16/11
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
30-57
30
57
-27
A29/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H03/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A06/12
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A10/12
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H13/12
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A27/12
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H30/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
64-43
64
43
+21
H03/01
Basketligan
85.9Avg total
45.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.684.4+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.838.383.1+6.469%-
Last 30 away (14)42.843.185.9-0.436%-
Last 10 (10)45.140.885.9+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)49.834.684.4+15.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.536.571.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (5)38.643.882.4-5.20%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.440.486.7+6.073%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.1
49.9%
52.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.5
36.0%
34.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.915.8
75.6%
76.2%15.8
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Norrkopingtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Norrkoping: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.9
51.4%
52.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.4
39.5%
34.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws22.918.1
79.0%
76.2%18.1
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
LLWLLLLLLW
Norrkoping
WWWWWWWLLL
#9
League position
#1
-7.1
Net rating
+14.3
106.5
Offensive rating
115.8
113.6
Defensive rating
101.5
51.7%
Effective FG%
54.6%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
15.3%
Turnover %
14.6%
21.8%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.0%
3-point %
39.5%
65.0%
Assist %
56.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 115.8Defence113.6 · 101.5Shooting51.7% · 54.6%3-point %36.0% · 39.5%Ball care15.3% · 14.6%Off. rebounds21.8% · 27.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Norrkoping
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hogsbo wins
0
Norrkoping wins
DateGameScore
04/10/24Norrkoping v Hogsbo89-91
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25ABC Lulea67-85
30/12/24AKoping Stars90-96
27/12/24HJamtland84-70
14/12/24HBoras87-95 OT
08/12/24AUppsala90-99
02/12/24HNassjo84-104
28/11/24ASodertalje76-82
16/11/24HUppsala75-80
12/11/24ANassjo103-111
08/11/24HUmea85-79
Norrkopinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25HKoping Stars120-86
30/12/24HNassjo106-76
27/12/24AUmea108-78
13/12/24HSodertalje76-59
10/12/24ASodertalje83-74
06/12/24ABoras89-86
03/12/24HUppsala90-80
29/11/24ABC Lulea83-93
16/11/24HBoras69-74
13/11/24HSabah Baku75-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeWLLLW38%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%38%12%
Points / game82.884.181.5
Allowed / game89.888.091.6
Point differential-7.0-3.9-10.1
Avg total172.6172.1173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Norrkoping
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %79%78%80%
Points / game93.093.991.4
Allowed / game79.978.083.2
Point differential+13.1+15.9+8.2
Avg total172.9171.9174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%78%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boras1613381%84.975.6+9.3
2 Norrkoping1411379%93.079.9+13.1
3 BC Lulea1610662%91.685.2+6.4
4 Koping Stars169756%88.389.0-0.7
5 Uppsala158753%78.681.5-2.9
6 Sodertalje168850%72.374.8-2.4
7 Nassjo168850%91.094.9-3.9
8 Jamtland167944%85.483.2+2.2
9 Hogsbo1641225%82.889.8-7.0
10 Umea150150%78.191.5-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo1913132873
Norrkoping33272924113
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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