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Hogsbo vs Norrkoping Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:04
Final 63-94
20-23 17-27 12-20 14-24
Position#9
Record5-14
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game92.4
vs
Position#3
Record14-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game95.1
Allowed / game83.7
SwedenBasketligan· Gothia Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Hogsbo v Norrkoping
08 Dec 2026
HOGS v NOR
upcoming
06 Nov 2026
HOGS v NOR
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
HOGS76
NOR87
17 Jan 2026
HOGS63
NOR94
25 Jan 2025
HOGS74
NOR89
09 Jan 2025
HOGS73
NOR113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Norrkoping winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Koping Stars
#8
L
100-109
100
109
-9
95avg 76
A07/11
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
79-70
79
70
+9
73avg 76
H15/11
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
68avg 76
A19/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
67avg 76
H22/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
95-107
95
107
-12
84avg 76
A06/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
73-97
73
97
-24
68avg 76
A08/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
64avg 76
H27/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
83-82
83
82
+1
76avg 76
A30/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
95-83
95
83
+12
92avg 76
H05/01
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
98-111
98
111
-13
85avg 76
A09/01
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
19-32
21-23
29-29
13-27
22-18
16-15
28-10
23-17
17-24
13-29
23-17
16-21
26-20
23-17
10-28
21-22
28-35
24-25
22-25
13-24
11-18
23-26
26-29
15-25
13-26
19-26
35-19
26-22
23-23
16-18
18-19
19-22
23-19
21-25
32-17
28-30
21-35
27-24
22-22
178.4Avg total
85.6Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.692.4178.0-6.726%
Season at home (9)84.689.4174.0-4.933%
Season away (10)86.695.0181.6-8.420%
Last 10 (10)85.692.8178.4-7.230%
Last 5 (5)86.293.8180.0-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)82.796.6179.3-14.010%
vs Similar (6)94.394.2188.5+0.250%
vs Weaker (3)90.779.7170.3+11.067%
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorrkopingSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNorrkoping
Date
Competition
Boras
#2
L
84-101
84
101
-17
68avg 85
A07/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
110-91
110
91
+19
109avg 85
H14/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
W
111-102
111
102
+9
104avg 85
A18/11
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
108-81
108
81
+27
100avg 85
H22/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
85-87
85
87
-2
78avg 85
A05/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
92-81
92
81
+11
91avg 85
H13/12
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
100-64
100
64
+36
99avg 85
A16/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
87-92
87
92
-5
82avg 85
H27/12
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
88-89
88
89
-1
72avg 85
A30/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
W
89-78
89
78
+11
79avg 85
H09/01
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
25-22
10-25
29-29
27-30
30-13
22-21
31-27
30-29
30-27
30-25
21-21
20-22
23-18
32-15
33-26
18-23
16-21
25-15
26-28
22-19
17-19
27-23
26-20
34-19
22-8
24-16
20-21
28-23
31-21
12-29
16-19
26-29
19-16
21-19
22-25
15-21
25-24
23-16
26-17
182.0Avg total
95.4Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)95.183.7178.8+11.474%
Season at home (9)98.880.2179.0+18.689%
Season away (10)91.886.8178.6+5.060%
Last 10 (10)95.486.6182.0+8.860%
Last 5 (5)91.280.8172.0+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)96.091.0187.0+5.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)90.379.0169.4+11.382%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
HogsboNorrkoping
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koping Stars
#8
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A07/11
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H15/11
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A19/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H22/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A06/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A08/12
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
28-51
28
51
-23
H27/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A30/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H05/01
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A09/01
Basketligan
89.3Avg total
40.8Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.047.390.3-4.427%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.643.984.5-3.236%-
Last 30 away (16)45.050.495.4-5.419%-
Last 10 (10)40.848.589.3-7.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.448.887.2-10.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)42.048.590.4-6.519%-
vs Similar (6)47.746.093.7+1.750%-
vs Weaker (3)40.742.082.7-1.333%-
This opponent (Norrkoping) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorrkopingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boras
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A07/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H14/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A18/11
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A05/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H13/12
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
56-27
56
27
+29
A16/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H27/12
Basketligan
Umea
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A30/12
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H09/01
Basketligan
90.7Avg total
47.8Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.884.7+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.839.884.6+5.073%-
Last 30 away (15)42.941.984.7+1.060%-
Last 10 (10)47.842.990.7+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)47.839.887.6+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)44.043.587.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)43.840.684.5+3.268%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.0
50.8%
54.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.2
33.8%
35.8%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.518.7
79.6%
74.6%18.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Norrkopingtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Norrkoping: 94.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.7
56.9%
54.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.312.4
39.6%
35.8%37.2
🏀 Free throws21.316.0
75.1%
74.6%16.0
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
LWWLLLLLWL
Norrkoping
WLLWWLWWWL
#9
League position
#3
-9.9
Net rating
+11.1
108.7
Offensive rating
119.7
118.7
Defensive rating
108.6
50.8%
Effective FG%
58.1%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
14.0%
Turnover %
15.8%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.8%
3-point %
39.6%
63.1%
Assist %
54.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 119.7Defence118.7 · 108.6Shooting50.8% · 58.1%3-point %33.8% · 39.6%Ball care14.0% · 15.8%Off. rebounds24.9% · 32.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Norrkoping
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hogsbo wins
4
Norrkoping wins
DateGameScore
19/09/25Norrkoping v Hogsbo89-77
21/03/25Norrkoping v Hogsbo122-93
25/01/25Hogsbo v Norrkoping74-89
09/01/25Hogsbo v Norrkoping73-113
04/10/24Norrkoping v Hogsbo89-91
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26ANassjo98-111
05/01/26HKoping Stars95-83
30/12/25AUppsala83-82
27/12/25HBoras82-96
08/12/25ABC Lulea73-97
06/12/25AJamtland95-107
22/11/25HSodertalje75-86
19/11/25AUmea76-87
15/11/25HSloga Uppsala79-70
07/11/25AKoping Stars100-109
Norrkopinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26HBC Lulea89-78
30/12/25AUmea88-89
27/12/25HUppsala87-92
16/12/25ASloga Uppsala100-64
13/12/25HKoping Stars92-81
05/12/25ASodertalje85-87
22/11/25HBoras108-81
18/11/25AJamtland111-102
14/11/25HNassjo110-91
07/11/25ABoras84-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL26%
HomeLWLLW33%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %26%33%20%
Points / game85.684.686.6
Allowed / game92.489.495.0
Point differential-6.7-4.9-8.4
Avg total178.0174.0181.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Norrkoping
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW74%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayLWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %74%89%60%
Points / game95.198.891.8
Allowed / game83.780.286.8
Point differential+11.4+18.6+5.0
Avg total178.8179.0178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%89%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norrkoping1914574%95.183.7+11.4
2 Boras1914574%93.884.1+9.7
3 BC Lulea2014670%91.383.5+7.8
4 Jamtland2013765%98.591.8+6.7
5 Sodertalje2113862%80.477.7+2.8
6 Uppsala20101050%86.384.2+2.1
7 Nassjo20101050%87.891.8-4.1
8 Koping Stars2061430%85.292.7-7.5
9 Hogsbo1951426%85.692.4-6.7
10 Umea2051525%80.189.3-9.2
11 Sloga Uppsala2051525%76.789.0-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo2017121463
Norrkoping2327202494
← all games of the day
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