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Hogsbo vs Umea Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 18:04
Final 85-79
26-19 11-17 19-21 29-22
Position#9
Record2-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game89.3
vs
Position#10
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game89.3
SwedenBasketligan· Gothia Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hogsbo v Umea
19 Mar 2027
HOGS v UMEA
upcoming
02 Dec 2026
HOGS v UMEA
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
HOGS81
UMEA77
23 Oct 2025
HOGS93
UMEA80
08 Nov 2024
HOGS85
UMEA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Umea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
88-95
88
95
-7
84avg 88
H21/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
100-61
100
61
+39
92avg 88
H24/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
80-95
80
95
-15
58avg 88
A26/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
86-66
86
66
+20
81avg 88
H28/04
Superettan
Norrkoping
#1
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 88
A04/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
W
90-81
90
81
+9
86avg 88
H08/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
63-90
63
90
-27
46avg 88
A11/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
87-101
87
101
-14
81avg 88
H19/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
72-81
72
81
-9
71avg 88
A25/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
81-94 OT
81
94
-13
75avg 88
H01/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
21-16
20-28
19-25
23-12
31-19
23-12
23-18
13-25
15-23
26-22
26-25
32-15
15-21
24-13
15-17
19-19
19-26
27-18
26-26
21-16
16-21
26-15
27-29
18-17
18-30
9-17
18-26
20-21
19-14
21-37
27-29
23-18
18-26
16-17
15-20
17-18
25-18
18-29
15-10
169.1Avg total
83.8Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.789.3170.0-8.733%
Season at home (3)86.092.0178.0-6.033%
Season away (3)75.386.7162.0-11.333%
Last 10 (10)83.885.3169.1-1.540%
Last 5 (5)78.689.4168.0-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.789.3170.0-8.733%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)94.879.8174.5+15.079%
This opponent (Umea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UmeaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUmea
Date
Competition
Koping Stars
#8
W
86-85
86
85
+1
80avg 71
A14/03
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
85-91
85
91
-6
71avg 71
H19/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#6
L
74-103
74
103
-29
61avg 71
A22/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
72-95
72
95
-23
58avg 71
H26/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
75-76
75
76
-1
65avg 71
A06/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
84-85
84
85
-1
71avg 71
H08/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
86-104
86
104
-18
79avg 71
A11/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
67-74
67
74
-7
54avg 71
H15/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
97-100
97
100
-3
86avg 71
A25/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
L
92-97
92
97
-5
76avg 71
H02/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
29-19
21-26
13-18
19-19
31-26
27-22
8-24
23-17
22-27
14-34
15-25
22-35
18-25
19-17
13-18
14-19
28-19
19-17
14-21
26-20
26-19
18-20
14-26
20-23
22-28
16-29
28-24
22-16
18-20
13-14
14-24
19-24
18-29
26-16
34-31
27-23
19-22
21-19
25-33
172.8Avg total
81.8Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.589.3172.8-5.80%
Season at home (3)81.085.3166.3-4.30%
Season away (3)86.093.3179.3-7.30%
Last 10 (10)81.891.0172.8-9.210%
Last 5 (5)85.292.0177.2-6.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)80.796.0176.7-15.27%
vs Similar (3)90.094.3184.3-4.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -6.6-6.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -6.6-6.6
HogsboUmea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H21/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H24/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A26/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H28/04
Superettan
Norrkoping
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A04/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A11/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H19/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A25/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H01/11
Basketligan
81.2Avg total
41.1Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.339.685.9+6.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.935.983.8+11.993%-
Last 30 away (15)44.743.387.9+1.440%-
Last 10 (10)41.140.181.2+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.878.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.840.779.5-1.833%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)48.139.387.5+8.875%-
This opponent (Umea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UmeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koping Stars
#8
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A14/03
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H19/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A22/03
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
40-60
40
60
-20
H26/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A06/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H08/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A11/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H15/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A25/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H02/11
Basketligan
89.8Avg total
44.6Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.845.988.7-3.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.244.888.0-1.660%-
Last 30 away (15)42.447.089.4-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)44.645.289.8-0.670%-
Last 5 (5)43.444.888.2-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)42.246.588.7-4.344%-
vs Similar (3)48.040.388.3+7.767%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.5
50.5%
52.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.1
34.0%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.015.7
74.8%
76.2%15.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Umeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Umea: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.6
50.4%
52.1%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.5
32.9%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.013.6
75.6%
76.2%13.6
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
LLLLWWWLWL
Umea
LLLLLLLLLW
#9
League position
#10
-1.6
Net rating
-11.6
105.2
Offensive rating
106.0
106.8
Defensive rating
117.6
50.8%
Effective FG%
49.9%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.0%
21.3%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.0%
3-point %
32.9%
67.5%
Assist %
50.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 106.0Defence106.8 · 117.6Shooting50.8% · 49.9%3-point %34.0% · 32.9%Ball care15.3% · 15.0%Off. rebounds21.3% · 26.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Umea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hogsbo wins
0
Umea wins
No previous meetings.
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/24HJamtland81-94 OT
25/10/24ASodertalje72-81
19/10/24HKoping Stars87-101
11/10/24ABoras63-90
08/10/24HBC Lulea90-81
04/10/24ANorrkoping91-89
28/04/24HSloga Uppsala86-66
26/04/24ASloga Uppsala80-95
24/04/24HSloga Uppsala100-61
21/04/24HKFUM Fryshuset88-95
Umealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/24HBC Lulea92-97
25/10/24AKoping Stars97-100
15/10/24HSodertalje67-74
11/10/24AJamtland86-104
08/10/24HBoras84-85
06/10/24AUppsala75-76
26/03/24HNorrkoping72-95
22/03/24ANassjo74-103
19/03/24HSodertalje85-91
14/03/24AKoping Stars86-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game80.786.075.3
Allowed / game89.392.086.7
Point differential-8.7-6.0-11.3
Avg total170.0178.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Umea
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game83.581.086.0
Allowed / game89.385.393.3
Point differential-5.8-4.3-7.3
Avg total172.8166.3179.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boras76186%85.073.7+11.3
2 Norrkoping43175%95.283.0+12.2
3 Koping Stars75271%91.489.0+2.4
4 BC Lulea64267%92.384.5+7.8
5 Sodertalje53260%76.275.6+0.6
6 Uppsala53260%74.278.6-4.4
7 Jamtland73443%85.082.3+2.7
8 Hogsbo62433%80.789.3-8.7
9 Nassjo71614%86.0101.0-15.0
10 Umea6060%83.589.3-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo2611192985
Umea1917212279
← all games of the day
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