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Hogsbo vs Umea Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 19 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 18:04
Scheduled
Position#10
Record2-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game90.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.5/10
Below normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#9
Record2-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game87.0
SwedenBasketligan· Gothia Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Hogsbo v Umea
19 Mar 2027
HOGS v UMEA
upcoming
02 Dec 2026
HOGS v UMEA
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
HOGS81
UMEA77
23 Oct 2025
HOGS93
UMEA80
08 Nov 2024
HOGS85
UMEA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Umea win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Boras
#5
W
96-90
96
90
+6
66avg 71
H29/09
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
L
88-92
88
92
-4
82avg 71
A02/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
85-81
85
81
+4
76avg 71
H09/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
85-93
85
93
-8
85avg 71
A13/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
75-89
75
89
-14
60avg 71
H16/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
71-108
71
108
-37
59avg 71
A23/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 71
H27/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
79-80
79
80
-1
no box
A03/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
69-84
69
84
-15
no box
H06/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
79-105
79
105
-26
no box
A13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
27-28
28-16
21-28
25-18
22-23
23-28
18-23
17-17
23-25
28-15
17-24
19-29
17-26
26-12
23-26
17-26
21-27
17-15
20-21
20-33
10-21
17-37
24-17
20-20
21-18
20-27
21-19
18-26
26-23
17-16
18-15
16-20
18-22
18-14
17-28
27-25
17-30
26-27
9-23
171.5Avg total
80.9Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.990.6171.5-9.720%
Season at home (5)81.485.6167.0-4.240%
Season away (5)80.495.6176.0-15.20%
Last 10 (10)80.990.6171.5-9.720%
Last 5 (5)76.092.2168.2-16.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)78.893.9172.7-15.215%
vs Similar ◀ (8)88.289.4177.6-1.138%
vs Weaker (2)90.588.0178.5+2.550%
This opponent (Umea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UmeaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUmea
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#4
L
75-108
75
108
-33
59avg 65
A25/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
64-78
64
78
-14
51avg 65
H29/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
69-93
69
93
-24
58avg 65
H09/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 65
A17/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
78-88
78
88
-10
72avg 65
A19/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
71-53
71
53
+18
66avg 65
A23/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
85avg 65
H27/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
62avg 65
A31/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
95-100
95
100
-5
no box
H06/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
A13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
15-25
21-27
21-27
18-22
24-12
9-24
13-20
23-21
20-22
19-27
7-23
23-26
21-21
16-11
18-28
25-27
17-20
19-21
17-20
19-8
16-17
16-10
20-18
25-21
20-20
23-24
13-16
18-25
15-25
29-17
15-23
36-16
21-33
23-25
15-26
26-14
19-16
24-22
20-26
165.9Avg total
78.9Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.987.0165.9-8.120%
Season at home (4)80.291.8172.0-11.50%
Season away (6)78.083.8161.8-5.833%
Last 10 (10)78.987.0165.9-8.120%
Last 5 (5)85.083.4168.4+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)78.494.0172.4-15.65%
vs Similar ◀ (5)80.286.8167.0-6.620%
vs Weaker (5)87.479.4166.8+8.060%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -6.8-6.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -6.8-6.8
HogsboUmea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boras
#5
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H29/09
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A02/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H09/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A13/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H16/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A23/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H27/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A03/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H06/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A13/11
Basketligan
87.6Avg total
40.1Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.848.087.8-8.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.444.784.1-5.340%-
Last 30 away (15)40.351.391.5-11.013%-
Last 10 (10)40.147.587.6-7.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.647.686.2-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.648.586.2-10.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.447.192.5-1.850%-
vs Weaker (2)39.546.085.5-6.50%-
This opponent (Umea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UmeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#4
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A25/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H29/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H09/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A17/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A19/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A23/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H27/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A31/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H06/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A13/11
Basketligan
83.9Avg total
41.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.844.385.1-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.644.987.4-2.343%-
Last 30 away (16)39.243.883.0-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.083.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.082.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)39.945.485.2-5.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.846.685.4-7.820%-
vs Weaker (5)46.237.884.0+8.4100%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.717.2
52.6%
52.7%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.4
30.8%
33.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws26.319.3
73.4%
74.1%19.3
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Umeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Umea: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.623.1
53.0%
52.7%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.65.2
24.1%
33.9%15.6
🏀 Free throws22.414.5
64.7%
74.1%14.5
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
LLLLLLLWLW
Umea
WLLLWLLLLL
#10
League position
#9
-11.6
Net rating
-10.2
89.0
Offensive rating
83.0
100.6
Defensive rating
93.3
49.7%
Effective FG%
47.4%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
16.3%
Turnover %
18.1%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.8%
3-point %
24.1%
66.0%
Assist %
52.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence89.0 · 83.0Defence100.6 · 93.3Shooting49.7% · 47.4%3-point %30.8% · 24.1%Ball care16.3% · 18.1%Free throws0.44 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Umea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Hogsbo wins
2
Umea wins
DateGameScore
14/03/26Hogsbo v Umea81-77
19/11/25Umea v Hogsbo87-76
23/10/25Hogsbo v Umea93-80
07/02/25Umea v Hogsbo83-110
17/01/25Umea v Hogsbo87-77
08/11/24Hogsbo v Umea85-79
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AJamtland79-105
06/11/26HNorrkoping69-84
03/11/26ASloga Uppsala79-80
27/10/26HKoping Stars82-84
23/10/26ABC Lulea71-108
16/10/26HJamtland75-89
13/10/26ASodertalje85-93
09/10/26HNassjo85-81
02/10/26AUppsala88-92
29/09/26HBoras96-90
Umealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AUppsala89-78
06/11/26HSloga Uppsala95-100
31/10/26AKoping Stars77-90
27/10/26HBC Lulea93-96 OT
23/10/26AUppsala71-53
19/10/26ANassjo78-88
17/10/26ABoras78-86
09/10/26HJamtland69-93
29/09/26HSodertalje64-78
25/09/26ANorrkoping75-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%40%0%
Points / game80.981.480.4
Allowed / game90.685.695.6
Point differential-9.7-4.2-15.2
Avg total171.5167.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Umea
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW20%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game78.980.278.0
Allowed / game87.091.883.8
Point differential-8.1-11.5-5.8
Avg total165.9172.0161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %10%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Lulea119282%96.281.6+14.5
2 Sodertalje119282%86.574.9+11.5
3 Jamtland119282%92.382.1+10.2
4 Norrkoping117464%91.584.1+7.5
5 Boras117464%88.584.0+4.5
6 Koping Stars114736%86.688.9-2.3
7 Nassjo114736%79.584.8-5.3
8 Uppsala114736%75.287.5-12.4
9 Umea102820%78.987.0-8.1
10 Hogsbo102820%80.990.6-9.7
11 Sloga Uppsala102820%80.794.0-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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