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Hogsbo vs Umea Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:04
Final 81-77
33-20 9-19 22-17 17-21
Position#9
Record6-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game94.2
Hogsbo 🏆
Sweden
vs
Umea
Sweden
Position#10
Record6-22
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game91.8
SwedenBasketligan· Gothia Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Hogsbo v Umea
19 Mar 2027
HOGS v UMEA
upcoming
02 Dec 2026
HOGS v UMEA
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
HOGS81
UMEA77
23 Oct 2025
HOGS93
UMEA80
08 Nov 2024
HOGS85
UMEA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Umea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#7
L
98-111
98
111
-13
85avg 77
A09/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
63-94
63
94
-31
no box
H17/01
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
91avg 77
A23/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
76-87
76
87
-11
69avg 77
H03/02
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
93-75
93
75
+18
92avg 77
H06/02
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
96-110
96
110
-14
83avg 77
A13/02
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
78-92
78
92
-14
67avg 77
H16/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
80-115
80
115
-35
58avg 77
A20/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
75-110
75
110
-35
61avg 77
A06/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
79-93
79
93
-14
70avg 77
H10/03
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-30
21-35
27-24
22-22
20-23
17-27
12-20
14-24
21-31
23-16
25-28
25-19
10-26
21-20
23-16
22-25
29-18
25-21
17-12
22-24
24-35
21-27
22-25
29-23
26-20
13-25
20-20
19-27
12-31
24-29
24-26
20-29
27-33
11-30
13-27
24-20
23-20
18-32
22-25
16-16
183.3Avg total
84.0Scored
99.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.694.2178.8-9.621%
Season at home (14)82.189.0171.1-6.929%
Season away (14)87.199.4186.4-12.314%
Last 10 (10)84.099.3183.3-15.310%
Last 5 (5)81.6104.0185.6-22.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)80.795.1175.8-14.411%
vs Similar ◀ (8)94.493.8188.1+0.650%
vs Weaker (3)88.087.3175.3+0.733%
This opponent (Umea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UmeaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUmea
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#3
W
89-88
89
88
+1
88avg 72
H30/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
96-104
96
104
-8
92avg 72
A05/01
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
81-96
81
96
-15
no box
H18/01
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
65-93
65
93
-28
51avg 72
A23/01
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
65-87
65
87
-22
50avg 72
H27/01
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
108-120 OT
108
120
-12
99avg 72
A03/02
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
97-80
97
80
+17
90avg 72
H07/02
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
78-103
78
103
-25
66avg 72
A13/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
90-99
90
99
-9
85avg 72
H17/02
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
81-105
81
105
-24
67avg 72
A07/03
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
16-19
19-21
25-22
28-16
26-26
22-27
20-35
17-27
25-25
29-18
10-26
10-27
16-14
21-30
18-22
11-26
24-18
19-18
11-25
24-29
23-13
30-19
28-44
27-16
20-23
22-21
28-20
20-28
21-24
15-31
22-20
20-34
22-21
29-24
19-20
23-27
10-31
26-21
22-26
182.5Avg total
85.0Scored
97.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.091.8172.8-10.821%
Season at home (14)82.789.4172.1-6.729%
Season away (14)79.294.1173.4-14.914%
Last 10 (10)85.097.5182.5-12.520%
Last 5 (5)90.8101.4192.2-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)80.594.4174.9-13.914%
vs Similar ◀ (5)81.892.2174.0-10.420%
vs Weaker (3)88.079.3167.3+8.767%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -5.7-5.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -5.7-5.7
HogsboUmea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#7
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A09/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H17/01
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A23/01
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H03/02
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H06/02
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A13/02
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H16/02
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
36-60
36
60
-24
A20/02
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A06/03
Basketligan
Uppsala
#6
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H10/03
Basketligan
94.3Avg total
41.4Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.348.791.1-6.423%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.145.886.9-4.831%-
Last 30 away (14)43.852.195.9-8.314%-
Last 10 (10)41.452.994.3-11.510%-
Last 5 (5)39.856.496.2-16.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)40.449.790.2-9.316%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)48.147.195.2+1.050%-
vs Weaker (3)39.046.785.7-7.70%-
This opponent (Umea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UmeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#3
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H30/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A05/01
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H18/01
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A23/01
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H27/01
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A03/02
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H07/02
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A13/02
Basketligan
Jamtland
#1
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H17/02
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A07/03
Basketligan
88.2Avg total
41.2Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.346.887.2-6.527%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.847.789.4-5.931%-
Last 30 away (14)38.745.984.6-7.121%-
Last 10 (10)41.247.088.2-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)42.049.291.2-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)40.846.487.2-5.623%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)36.051.287.2-15.220%-
vs Weaker (3)44.342.787.0+1.767%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.6
53.6%
54.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.4
35.4%
35.8%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.915.5
74.2%
74.6%15.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Umeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Umea: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.4
49.6%
54.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.1
34.1%
35.8%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.916.1
77.0%
74.6%16.1
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
LLLLLWLLLL
Umea
LLLWLLLLLW
#9
League position
#10
-12.8
Net rating
-13.6
100.4
Offensive rating
91.8
113.2
Defensive rating
105.4
53.4%
Effective FG%
50.2%
61.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
13.0%
Turnover %
19.0%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.4%
3-point %
34.1%
63.0%
Assist %
59.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 91.8Defence113.2 · 105.4Shooting53.4% · 50.2%3-point %35.4% · 34.1%Ball care13.0% · 19.0%Off. rebounds22.9% · 26.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Umea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Hogsbo wins
2
Umea wins
DateGameScore
19/11/25Umea v Hogsbo87-76
23/10/25Hogsbo v Umea93-80
07/02/25Umea v Hogsbo83-110
17/01/25Umea v Hogsbo87-77
08/11/24Hogsbo v Umea85-79
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/26HUppsala79-93
06/03/26ASodertalje75-110
20/02/26ABoras80-115
16/02/26HBC Lulea78-92
13/02/26AKoping Stars96-110
06/02/26HNassjo93-75
03/02/26HNorrkoping76-87
23/01/26ASloga Uppsala102-106 OT
17/01/26HNorrkoping63-94
09/01/26ANassjo98-111
Umealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26AKoping Stars81-105
17/02/26HJamtland90-99
13/02/26ANorrkoping78-103
07/02/26HSloga Uppsala97-80
03/02/26ANassjo108-120 OT
27/01/26HBC Lulea65-87
23/01/26ABoras65-93
18/01/26HBoras81-96
05/01/26AJamtland96-104
30/12/25HNorrkoping89-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLLWLL29%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %21%29%14%
Points / game84.682.187.1
Allowed / game94.289.099.4
Point differential-9.6-6.9-12.3
Avg total178.8171.1186.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Umea
Basketligan 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL21%
HomeWLLWL29%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %21%29%14%
Points / game81.082.779.2
Allowed / game91.889.494.1
Point differential-10.8-6.7-14.9
Avg total172.8172.1173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norrkoping3022873%93.882.1+11.6
2 BC Lulea2921872%91.282.5+8.7
3 Jamtland2921872%99.591.3+8.2
4 Boras2920969%93.383.5+9.8
5 Sodertalje29181162%81.978.5+3.4
6 Uppsala29151452%85.283.7+1.5
7 Nassjo29141548%89.792.0-2.3
8 Koping Stars29101934%88.195.3-7.2
9 Hogsbo2862221%84.694.2-9.6
10 Umea2862221%81.091.8-10.8
11 Sloga Uppsala2962321%78.993.2-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo339221781
Umea2019172177
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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