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Sodertalje vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:34
Final 81-72
18-23 26-18 17-16 20-15
Position#8
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#9
Record2-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game90.2
SwedenBasketligan· Taljehallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sodertalje v Hogsbo
08 Jan 2027
SOD v HOGS
upcoming
13 Oct 2026
SOD93
HOGS85
06 Mar 2026
SOD110
HOGS75
02 Oct 2025
SOD85
HOGS81
28 Nov 2024
SOD82
HOGS76
25 Oct 2024
SOD81
HOGS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sodertalje winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SodertaljeSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSodertalje
Date
Competition
Umea
#9
W
91-85
91
85
+6
85avg 74
A19/03
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
84-74
84
74
+10
79avg 74
H21/03
Basketligan
Boras
#4
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 74
A26/03
Basketligan
Boras
#4
L
88-103
88
103
-15
80avg 74
A03/04
Basketligan
Boras
#4
L
69-93
69
93
-24
58avg 74
A05/04
Basketligan
Boras
#4
W
94-78
94
78
+16
85avg 74
H08/04
Basketligan
Boras
#4
L
63-77
63
77
-14
56avg 74
H10/04
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
61-82
61
82
-21
48avg 74
A03/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
W
92-75
92
75
+17
89avg 74
H12/10
Basketligan
Umea
#10
W
74-67
74
67
+7
70avg 74
A15/10
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
26-31
22-27
24-8
13-19
27-15
18-34
26-6
19-24
19-16
20-22
18-20
17-27
20-27
26-20
25-29
15-21
22-25
20-30
12-17
24-18
23-22
23-25
24-13
24-24
15-18
19-19
5-16
13-20
15-20
18-21
15-21
19-17
30-15
20-20
23-23
16-22
20-18
14-13
24-14
160.8Avg total
79.2Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.774.7150.3+1.067%
Season at home (1)92.075.0167.0+17.0100%
Season away (2)67.574.5142.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)79.281.6160.8-2.450%
Last 5 (5)76.875.8152.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)77.889.9167.7-12.127%
vs Similar (7)80.981.9162.7-1.043%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)86.680.5167.1+6.175%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Helsingborg
#6
W
96-64
96
64
+32
96avg 88
H14/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
103-70
103
70
+33
101avg 88
A19/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
88-95
88
95
-7
84avg 88
H21/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
100-61
100
61
+39
92avg 88
H24/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
80-95
80
95
-15
58avg 88
A26/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
86-66
86
66
+20
81avg 88
H28/04
Superettan
Norrkoping
#1
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 88
A04/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
W
90-81
90
81
+9
86avg 88
H08/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
63-90
63
90
-27
46avg 88
A11/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
L
87-101
87
101
-14
81avg 88
H19/10
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
33-17
17-15
23-16
25-14
39-16
17-12
22-28
28-26
21-16
20-28
19-25
23-12
31-19
23-12
23-18
13-25
15-23
26-22
26-25
32-15
15-21
24-13
15-17
19-19
19-26
27-18
26-26
21-16
16-21
26-15
27-29
18-17
18-30
9-17
18-26
20-21
19-14
21-37
27-29
169.6Avg total
88.4Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.890.2173.0-7.550%
Season at home (2)88.591.0179.5-2.550%
Season away (2)77.089.5166.5-12.550%
Last 10 (10)88.481.2169.6+7.260%
Last 5 (5)83.485.4168.8-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)82.890.2173.0-7.550%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (26)94.779.5174.2+15.381%
This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.3-1.3
SodertaljeHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SodertaljeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Umea
#9
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A19/03
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H21/03
Basketligan
Boras
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A26/03
Basketligan
Boras
#4
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A03/04
Basketligan
Boras
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A05/04
Basketligan
Boras
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H08/04
Basketligan
Boras
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H10/04
Basketligan
Jamtland
#7
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A03/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#5
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H12/10
Basketligan
Umea
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A15/10
Basketligan
81.4Avg total
39.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.444.083.3-4.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.542.885.3-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)36.345.181.4-8.97%-
Last 10 (10)39.641.881.4-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.878.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.745.983.7-8.213%-
vs Similar (7)41.339.380.6+2.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.844.485.1-3.638%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsingborg
#6
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H14/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
64-30
64
30
+34
A19/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H21/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H24/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A26/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H28/04
Superettan
Norrkoping
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A04/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/10
Basketligan
Boras
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A11/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H19/10
Basketligan
83.2Avg total
44.8Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.739.385.9+7.470%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.235.884.0+12.494%-
Last 30 away (14)44.943.288.1+1.743%-
Last 10 (10)44.838.483.2+6.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.079.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)37.541.078.5-3.525%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (26)48.139.087.1+9.177%-
This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sodertaljetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sodertalje: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.3
55.3%
52.1%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.17.9
29.2%
34.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.711.9
71.3%
76.2%11.9
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.4
54.9%
52.1%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.0
34.7%
34.6%33.0
🏀 Free throws16.812.0
71.4%
76.2%12.0
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sodertalje
WWLLWLLLWW
Hogsbo
LLWWWLWLWW
#8
League position
#9
-4.2
Net rating
+9.5
108.5
Offensive rating
110.1
112.6
Defensive rating
100.6
50.5%
Effective FG%
53.6%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
16.1%
Turnover %
14.4%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.2%
3-point %
34.7%
54.1%
Assist %
63.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 110.1Defence112.6 · 100.6Shooting50.5% · 53.6%3-point %29.2% · 34.7%Ball care16.1% · 14.4%Off. rebounds33.0% · 23.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Sodertalje   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sodertalje wins
0
Hogsbo wins
No previous meetings.
Sodertaljelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/24AUmea74-67
12/10/24HNassjo92-75
03/10/24AJamtland61-82
10/04/24HBoras63-77
08/04/24HBoras94-78
05/04/24ABoras69-93
03/04/24ABoras88-103
26/03/24ABoras76-82
21/03/24HKoping Stars84-74
19/03/24AUmea91-85
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24HKoping Stars87-101
11/10/24ABoras63-90
08/10/24HBC Lulea90-81
04/10/24ANorrkoping91-89
28/04/24HSloga Uppsala86-66
26/04/24ASloga Uppsala80-95
24/04/24HSloga Uppsala100-61
21/04/24HKFUM Fryshuset88-95
19/04/24AKFUM Fryshuset103-70
14/04/24HHelsingborg96-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sodertalje
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game75.792.067.5
Allowed / game74.775.074.5
Point differential+1.0+17.0-7.0
Avg total150.3167.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game82.888.577.0
Allowed / game90.291.089.5
Point differential-7.5-2.5-12.5
Avg total173.0179.5166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boras440100%86.569.2+17.2
2 BC Lulea43175%95.081.8+13.2
3 Norrkoping32167%90.785.0+5.7
4 Sodertalje32167%75.774.7+1.0
5 Uppsala53260%74.278.6-4.4
6 Koping Stars42250%84.887.5-2.8
7 Hogsbo42250%82.890.2-7.5
8 Jamtland52340%80.879.4+1.4
9 Umea4040%78.084.8-6.8
10 Nassjo4040%82.597.2-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sodertalje1826172081
Hogsbo2318161572
← all games of the day
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