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Hogsbo vs Uppsala Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:04
Projected 85-81
Projected total 165.7
Scheduled
Position#9
Record2-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game89.0
Vs
63%
37%
■ HOGS 63%■ UPPS 37%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Position#7
Record4-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game87.4
SwedenBasketligan· Gothia Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Hogsbo v Uppsala
16 Feb 2027
HOGS v UPPS
upcoming
17 Nov 2026
HOGS v UPPS
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
HOGS79
UPPS93
28 Mar 2025
HOGS80
UPPS84
16 Nov 2024
HOGS75
UPPS80
27 Apr 2022
HOGS64
UPPS82
06 Nov 2021
HOGS74
UPPS84
14 Mar 2021
HOGS v UPPS
upcoming
Sections
Game preview & prediction

On 17 November 2026 in the Basketligan, Hogsbo hosts Uppsala with the model favouring Hogsbo at 63% to 37%, projecting an 85-81 win and a total of 165.7 points; the 5% overtime probability adds a hint of volatility. Hogsbo, 2-7 overall with 81.1 points scored and 89.0 allowed, has struggled at home 2-3, averaging 81.4 points and conceding 85.6, and has lost its last five games, including a 69-84 home defeat to Norrköping, a 79-80 away loss to Sloga Uppsala and an 82-84 home loss to Koping Stars. Uppsala, 4-6 overall, averages 74.9 points and allows 87.4, and is 3-3 on the road, scoring 80.2 and conceding 90.8; it too has lost its last five, with recent defeats to Norrköping 82-100, BC Luleå 79-104 and Boras 51-92. In their ten meetings Uppsala leads 9-1, most recently beating Hogsbo 92-88 on 2 October 2026, a result that echoes the current forecast of a close contest but with Hogsbo holding the edge.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo win
63.0%fair 1.59
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Uppsala win
37.0%fair 2.70
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#1
L
74-85
74
85
-11
69avg 74
A17/03
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
96-90
96
90
+6
66avg 74
H29/09
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
L
88-92
88
92
-4
82avg 74
A02/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#8
W
85-81
85
81
+4
76avg 74
H09/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#1
L
85-93
85
93
-8
85avg 74
A13/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
75-89
75
89
-14
60avg 74
H16/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#2
L
71-108
71
108
-37
59avg 74
A23/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 74
H27/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#10
L
79-80
79
80
-1
no box
A03/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
69-84
69
84
-15
no box
H06/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
15-12
18-24
27-28
20-18
27-28
28-16
21-28
25-18
22-23
23-28
18-23
17-17
23-25
28-15
17-24
19-29
17-26
26-12
23-26
17-26
21-27
17-15
20-21
20-33
10-21
17-37
24-17
20-20
21-18
20-27
21-19
18-26
26-23
17-16
18-15
16-20
18-22
18-14
17-28
169.0Avg total
80.4Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.189.0170.1-7.922%
Season at home (5)81.485.6167.0-4.240%
Season away (4)80.893.2174.0-12.50%
Last 10 (10)80.488.6169.0-8.220%
Last 5 (5)75.289.0164.2-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)78.494.0172.4-15.611%
vs Similar (8)90.591.6182.1-1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)87.087.0174.0+0.025%
This opponent (Uppsala) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UppsalaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUppsala
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#3
L
72-78
72
78
-6
63avg 73
H25/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#10
W
89-76
89
76
+13
79avg 73
A27/09
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
W
92-88
92
88
+4
90avg 73
H02/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
94-87
94
87
+7
84avg 73
A13/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#8
W
80-74
80
74
+6
75avg 73
A16/10
Basketligan
Umea
#11
L
53-71
53
71
-18
36avg 73
H23/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#1
L
57-104
57
104
-47
45avg 73
A27/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
51-92
51
92
-41
no box
H02/11
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#2
L
79-104
79
104
-25
no box
A06/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
82-100
82
100
-18
no box
A10/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
10-20
16-17
22-20
18-28
24-23
22-17
25-8
18-25
23-22
28-23
23-18
19-25
24-30
23-13
28-19
28-16
24-25
21-22
7-11
8-19
17-16
10-16
18-20
21-19
10-30
8-30
18-25
16-21
11-23
12-31
12-17
22-32
22-27
20-16
15-29
21-25
27-26
22-28
12-21
162.3Avg total
74.9Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.987.4162.3-12.540%
Season at home (4)67.082.2149.2-15.225%
Season away (6)80.290.8171.0-10.750%
Last 10 (10)74.987.4162.3-12.540%
Last 5 (5)64.494.2158.6-29.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)77.589.1166.6-11.632%
vs Similar (4)66.574.2140.8-7.825%
vs Weaker (7)90.780.0170.7+10.771%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 166.5
Over 166.5
47.2%
Under 166.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171.5
Over 171.5
35.6%
Under 171.5
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 176.5
Over 176.5
25.3%
Under 176.5
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Hogsbo total 83.5
Over 83.5
54.6%
Under 83.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hogsbo total 87.5
Over 87.5
39.2%
Under 87.5
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hogsbo total 91.5
Over 91.5
25.3%
Under 91.5
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uppsala total 80
Over 80
53.3%
Under 80
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uppsala total 84
Over 84
37.6%
Under 84
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uppsala total 88
Over 88
24.0%
Under 88
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Hogsbo -3
HOGS -3
54.3%
UPPS +3
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
HOGS
No market prices yet.
UPPS
No market prices yet.
Spread Hogsbo 0
HOGS 0
63.0%
UPPS 0
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
HOGS
No market prices yet.
UPPS
No market prices yet.
Spread Hogsbo +3
HOGS +3
71.5%
UPPS -3
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
HOGS
No market prices yet.
UPPS
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.8-0.8
HogsboUppsala
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#1
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A17/03
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H29/09
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A02/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#8
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H09/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#1
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A13/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H16/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#2
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A23/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H27/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A03/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H06/11
Basketligan
83.9Avg total
38.6Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.048.088.1-8.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.444.784.1-5.340%-
Last 30 away (15)40.751.492.1-10.713%-
Last 10 (10)38.645.383.9-6.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.447.284.6-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.248.585.7-11.322%-
vs Similar (8)45.248.293.5-3.038%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)42.545.588.0-3.025%-
This opponent (Uppsala) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UppsalaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H25/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#10
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A27/09
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#9
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H02/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A13/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#8
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A16/10
Basketligan
Umea
#11
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H23/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#1
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A27/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H02/11
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#2
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A06/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A10/11
Basketligan
86.0Avg total
38.7Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.145.885.8-5.733%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.843.581.4-5.731%-
Last 30 away (17)41.847.589.2-5.735%-
Last 10 (10)38.747.386.0-8.610%-
Last 5 (5)35.047.682.6-12.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)39.648.387.9-8.726%-
vs Similar (4)31.042.073.0-11.00%-
vs Weaker (7)46.641.087.6+5.671%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.717.2
52.6%
52.7%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.4
30.8%
33.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws26.319.3
73.4%
74.1%19.3
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Uppsalatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Uppsala: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.317.9
49.3%
52.7%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.8
30.9%
33.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.814.3
68.8%
74.1%14.3
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
LLLLLLWLWL
Uppsala
LLLLLWWWWL
#9
League position
#7
-11.6
Net rating
-7.2
89.0
Offensive rating
85.9
100.6
Defensive rating
93.1
49.7%
Effective FG%
48.0%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
16.3%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.8%
3-point %
30.9%
66.0%
Assist %
61.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence89.0 · 85.9Defence100.6 · 93.1Shooting49.7% · 48.0%3-point %30.8% · 30.9%Ball care16.3% · 16.1%Free throws0.44 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Hogsbo   ■ Uppsala
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Hogsbo wins
9
Uppsala wins
DateGameScore
02/10/26Uppsala v Hogsbo92-88
10/03/26Hogsbo v Uppsala79-93
30/12/25Uppsala v Hogsbo82-83
17/10/25Uppsala v Hogsbo88-79
28/03/25Hogsbo v Uppsala80-84
04/03/25Uppsala v Hogsbo110-85
08/12/24Uppsala v Hogsbo99-90
16/11/24Hogsbo v Uppsala75-80
01/05/22Uppsala v Hogsbo75-67
27/04/22Hogsbo v Uppsala64-82
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HNorrkoping69-84
03/11/26ASloga Uppsala79-80
27/10/26HKoping Stars82-84
23/10/26ABC Lulea71-108
16/10/26HJamtland75-89
13/10/26ASodertalje85-93
09/10/26HNassjo85-81
02/10/26AUppsala88-92
29/09/26HBoras96-90
17/03/26AJamtland74-85
Uppsalalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ANorrkoping82-100
06/11/26ABC Lulea79-104
02/11/26HBoras51-92
27/10/26ASodertalje57-104
23/10/26HUmea53-71
16/10/26ANassjo80-74
13/10/26AKoping Stars94-87
02/10/26HHogsbo92-88
27/09/26ASloga Uppsala89-76
25/09/26HJamtland72-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%40%0%
Points / game81.181.480.8
Allowed / game89.085.693.2
Point differential-7.9-4.2-12.5
Avg total170.1167.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Uppsala
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL40%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%25%50%
Points / game74.967.080.2
Allowed / game87.482.290.8
Point differential-12.5-15.2-10.7
Avg total162.3149.2171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sodertalje109190%88.074.2+13.8
2 BC Lulea108280%97.682.7+14.9
3 Jamtland108280%91.082.4+8.6
4 Norrkoping107370%91.783.2+8.5
5 Boras106460%87.383.6+3.7
6 Koping Stars104640%86.587.8-1.3
7 Uppsala104640%74.987.4-12.5
8 Nassjo103730%78.284.3-6.1
9 Hogsbo92722%81.189.0-7.9
10 Sloga Uppsala102820%80.794.0-13.3
11 Umea91811%77.888.0-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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