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Hogsbo W vs MarkSjuharad W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 95-60
28-17 21-16 15-21 31-6
Position#3
Record7-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game70.6
Hogsbo W 🏆
Sweden
vs
MarkSjuharad W
Sweden
Position#8
Record2-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game64.3
Allowed / game81.6
SwedenBasketligan W· Gothia Arena
Women2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
MarkSjuharad W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#2
L
65-84
65
84
-19
50avg 74
A07/04
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
106-71
106
71
+35
106avg 74
H28/09
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
86-40
86
40
+46
90avg 74
A06/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
61-97
61
97
-36
50avg 74
H12/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
102-55
102
55
+47
104avg 74
A19/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
108-70
108
70
+38
112avg 74
H02/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
61avg 74
A17/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
86-62
86
62
+24
82avg 74
H23/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
97-80
97
80
+17
91avg 74
A30/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
W
79-74
79
74
+5
77avg 74
A14/12
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
18-20
17-19
14-23
26-19
20-26
29-15
31-11
21-14
16-7
21-14
28-5
9-24
19-19
18-33
15-21
29-13
30-15
27-16
16-11
24-14
25-16
34-20
25-20
18-14
22-21
20-22
13-29
14-14
32-17
16-19
24-12
30-20
20-14
19-22
28-24
10-26
27-11
20-22
22-15
158.2Avg total
86.3Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.770.6159.2+18.178%
Season at home (4)90.275.0165.2+15.275%
Season away (5)87.467.0154.4+20.480%
Last 10 (10)86.371.9158.2+14.470%
Last 5 (5)88.674.4163.0+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)64.481.3145.7-16.910%
vs Similar (3)71.383.3154.7-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.265.8154.0+22.588%
This opponent (MarkSjuharad W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarkSjuharad WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#6
L
50-74
50
74
-24
39avg 51
H29/09
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
75-79
75
79
-4
64avg 51
H12/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
74-82
74
82
-8
60avg 51
A19/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
55-80
55
80
-25
40avg 51
H02/11
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
38-93
38
93
-55
23avg 51
A15/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
69-66
69
66
+3
55avg 51
H23/11
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
L
69-72
69
72
-3
55avg 51
A30/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
83avg 51
H07/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
54-97
54
97
-43
43avg 51
A14/12
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
5-33
16-7
17-20
12-14
15-20
25-27
18-18
17-14
18-13
15-25
17-19
24-25
13-23
15-9
8-21
19-27
9-36
9-17
4-19
16-21
12-12
16-12
22-17
19-25
9-21
16-11
26-22
18-18
19-12
14-15
12-23
19-14
9-24
11-29
13-27
21-17
145.9Avg total
64.3Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)64.381.6145.9-17.222%
Season at home (5)68.878.0146.8-9.240%
Season away (4)58.886.0144.8-27.20%
Last 10 (9)64.381.6145.9-17.222%
Last 5 (5)65.083.8148.8-18.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)62.183.3145.4-21.129%
vs Similar (1)69.072.0141.0-3.00%
vs Weaker (1)75.079.0154.0-4.00%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -9.4-9.4Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -9.4-9.4Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
Hogsbo WMarkSjuharad W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A07/04
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H28/09
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
37-21
37
21
+16
A06/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H12/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
59-28
59
28
+31
A19/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H02/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A17/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H23/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A30/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A14/12
Basketligan W
77.2Avg total
42.6Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.834.773.5+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.635.375.9+5.364%-
Last 30 away (16)37.334.271.5+3.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.634.677.2+8.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.433.477.8+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.138.169.2-7.010%-
vs Similar (3)41.337.779.0+3.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.932.275.1+10.882%-
This opponent (MarkSjuharad W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarkSjuharad WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#6
L
21-40
21
40
-19
H29/09
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H12/10
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A19/10
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H02/11
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
18-53
18
53
-35
A15/11
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H23/11
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A30/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H07/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
20-53
20
53
-33
A14/12
Basketligan W
65.8Avg total
27.3Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (9)27.338.465.8-11.122%-
Last 30 at home (5)30.034.064.0-4.040%-
Last 30 away (4)24.044.068.0-20.00%-
Last 10 (9)27.338.465.8-11.122%-
Last 5 (5)24.837.862.6-13.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)25.938.164.0-12.329%-
vs Similar (1)25.032.057.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker (1)40.047.087.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.9
50.9%
46.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.2
33.8%
31.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.113.0
71.8%
71.3%13.0
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
MarkSjuharad Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MarkSjuharad W: 64.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.1 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.017.6
39.9%
46.2%35.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.95.1
25.7%
31.7%15.3
🏀 Free throws21.713.8
63.6%
71.3%13.8
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo W
WWWLWWLWWL
MarkSjuharad W
LWLWLLLLL
#3
League position
#8
+17.7
Net rating
-19.6
105.8
Offensive rating
76.7
88.1
Defensive rating
96.3
50.8%
Effective FG%
39.5%
42.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
17.9%
Turnover %
27.8%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.8%
3-point %
25.7%
70.7%
Assist %
52.5%
70%
Form (last 10/9)
22%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 76.7Defence88.1 · 96.3Shooting50.8% · 39.5%3-point %33.8% · 25.7%Ball care17.9% · 27.8%Off. rebounds31.0% · 29.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/9)70% · 22%
■ Hogsbo W   ■ MarkSjuharad W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hogsbo W wins
0
MarkSjuharad W wins
No previous meetings.
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24AAIK Basket W79-74
30/11/24ALund W97-80
23/11/24HSodertalje W86-62
17/11/24ANorrkoping W73-86
02/11/24HOstersund W108-70
19/10/24AVisby W102-55
12/10/24HLulea W61-97
06/10/24AUppsala W86-40
28/09/24HAlvik W106-71
07/04/24ANorrkoping W65-84
MarkSjuharad Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24ASodertalje W54-97
07/12/24HAIK Basket W95-91 OT
30/11/24AOstersund W69-72
23/11/24HLund W69-66
15/11/24ALulea W38-93
02/11/24HNorrkoping W55-80
19/10/24AAlvik W74-82
12/10/24HVisby W75-79
29/09/24HUppsala W50-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%75%80%
Points / game88.790.287.4
Allowed / game70.675.067.0
Point differential+18.1+15.2+20.4
Avg total159.2165.2154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
MarkSjuharad W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 7 Losses (last 9)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL22%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%40%0%
Points / game64.368.858.8
Allowed / game81.678.086.0
Point differential-17.2-9.2-27.2
Avg total145.9146.8144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W10100100%95.548.4+47.1
2 Hogsbo W97278%88.770.6+18.1
3 Norrkoping W97278%83.369.0+14.3
4 Sodertalje W107370%81.770.5+11.2
5 Alvik W107370%81.082.8-1.8
6 Uppsala W94544%61.870.9-9.1
7 AIK Basket W83538%82.286.5-4.2
8 MarkSjuharad W92722%64.381.6-17.2
9 Lund W102820%71.083.0-12.0
10 Visby W102820%60.283.4-23.2
11 Ostersund W101910%61.084.4-23.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo W2821153195
MarkSjuharad W171621660
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