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Holbaek-Stenhus vs Horsens Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 67-95
15-23 11-30 19-24 22-18
Position#11
Record0-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
Position#5
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game57.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Holbaek Sportsby
Other2025-26
Meetings · Holbaek-Stenhus v Horsens
03 Jan 2027
HOLB v HORS
upcoming
28 Sep 2025
HOLB67
HORS95
24 Oct 2024
HOLB79
HORS88
03 Jan 2024
HOLB61
HORS76
24 Sep 2022
HOLB64
HORS90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#10
W
98-77
98
77
+21
94avg 69
H03/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
85-95
85
95
-10
66avg 69
A08/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
100-76
100
76
+24
90avg 69
A15/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
90-83
90
83
+7
71avg 69
A23/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
84avg 69
A31/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
104-93
104
93
+11
96avg 69
H06/04
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
79avg 69
H16/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
77-73
77
73
+4
70avg 69
H24/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
106-98
106
98
+8
96avg 69
A03/05
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
69avg 69
H23/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
32-23
24-9
21-25
23-21
22-31
18-20
22-23
26-19
28-18
22-23
24-16
27-23
17-25
24-14
22-21
25-28
21-28
21-10
22-23
23-24
24-28
32-16
25-25
24-24
26-14
15-14
21-21
14-20
16-22
32-17
15-14
26-25
31-21
26-18
23-34
19-29
21-23
18-17
23-19
178.1Avg total
92.5Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.088.0169.0-7.00%
Season at home (1)81.088.0169.0-7.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.585.6178.1+6.970%
Last 5 (5)90.885.0175.8+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)80.697.0177.6-16.421%
vs Similar (11)90.585.6176.2+4.955%
vs Weaker (4)77.878.5156.2-0.875%
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
75-85
75
85
-10
65avg 76
A27/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
92-75
92
75
+17
86avg 76
A03/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
61-91
61
91
-30
44avg 76
A07/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
86-65
86
65
+21
86avg 76
A16/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
84avg 76
H21/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
85-90
85
90
-5
82avg 76
H28/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
72-107
72
107
-35
59avg 76
A01/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
72avg 76
H05/05
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
62-83
62
83
-21
47avg 76
H12/05
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
95-57
95
57
+38
81avg 76
A24/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
22-28
20-25
18-20
28-27
22-13
20-13
22-22
16-11
12-25
19-29
14-26
24-22
16-18
24-4
22-21
15-21
25-24
23-13
25-20
15-24
28-24
20-17
22-25
19-27
17-23
15-24
21-33
19-23
13-30
26-16
25-19
18-22
13-21
23-12
8-28
24-14
22-15
27-16
22-12
161.8Avg total
79.9Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)95.057.0152.0+38.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)95.057.0152.0+38.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.981.9161.8-2.040%
Last 5 (5)79.485.0164.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.885.5163.3-7.736%
vs Similar (4)85.885.2171.0+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)94.173.5167.6+20.692%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +7.4+7.4Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +7.4+7.4Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
Holbaek-StenhusHorsens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H03/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A08/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A15/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A23/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A31/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H06/04
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H16/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H24/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A03/05
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H23/09
Basketligaen
93.2Avg total
46.6Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.447.388.7-5.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.147.689.7-5.443%-
Last 30 away (16)40.847.087.8-6.231%-
Last 10 (10)46.646.693.2+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)44.846.090.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.149.988.9-10.821%-
vs Similar (11)46.546.793.3-0.255%-
vs Weaker (4)36.838.074.8-1.250%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A03/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A07/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A16/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H21/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H28/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A01/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H05/05
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H12/05
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A24/09
Basketligaen
80.7Avg total
38.3Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.739.181.8+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.738.482.1+5.362%-
Last 30 away (14)41.640.081.6+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)38.342.480.7-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)37.644.682.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.841.179.9-2.343%-
vs Similar (4)46.241.287.5+5.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.136.282.2+9.975%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.822.2
51.9%
54.6%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.2
30.9%
32.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws27.720.1
72.6%
70.1%20.1
They take 72.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.220.6
48.8%
54.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.4
32.7%
32.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.412.9
66.5%
70.1%12.9
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Holbaek-Stenhus
LWWWWLWWLW
Horsens
WLLLLWWLWL
#11
League position
#5
+8.4
Net rating
-3.1
107.4
Offensive rating
102.0
99.0
Defensive rating
105.1
49.6%
Effective FG%
48.9%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
18.9%
Turnover %
17.9%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.9%
3-point %
32.7%
44.3%
Assist %
57.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 102.0Defence99.0 · 105.1Shooting49.6% · 48.9%3-point %30.9% · 32.7%Ball care18.9% · 17.9%Off. rebounds34.9% · 31.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Holbaek-Stenhus   ■ Horsens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
6
Horsens wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/25HVaerlose81-88
03/05/25AAmager106-98
24/04/25HBears Academy77-73
16/04/25HHerlev Wolfpack86-73
06/04/25HAmager104-93
31/03/25AVaerlose98-100 OT
23/03/25ABears Academy90-83
15/03/25AHerlev Wolfpack100-76
08/03/25AAmager85-95
03/03/25HVaerlose98-77
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/25AVejen95-57
12/05/25HRanders62-83
05/05/25HBakken Bears83-88
01/05/25ABakken Bears72-107
28/04/25HBakken Bears85-90
21/04/25HCopenhagen88-78
16/04/25ACopenhagen86-65
07/04/25ASvendborg61-91
03/04/25ATeam FOG Naestved92-75
27/03/25ABakken Bears75-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game88.088.0-
Point differential-7.0-7.0-
Avg total169.0169.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Horsens
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game95.0-95.0
Allowed / game57.0-57.0
Point differential+38.0-+38.0
Avg total152.0-152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears110100%115.064.0+51.0
2 Horsens110100%95.057.0+38.0
3 Team FOG Naestved220100%114.578.0+36.5
4 Randers220100%105.081.0+24.0
5 Svendborg110100%106.089.0+17.0
6 Vaerlose110100%88.081.0+7.0
7 Copenhagen21150%82.097.0-15.0
8 Holbaek-Stenhus1010%81.088.0-7.0
9 BMS Herlev2020%77.097.0-20.0
10 Amager2020%86.0108.5-22.5
11 Bears Academy1010%87.0116.0-29.0
12 Vejen2020%65.0106.5-41.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Holbaek-Stenhus1511192267
Horsens2330241895
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