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Vaerlose vs Holbaek-Stenhus Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-83
24-23 22-20 27-25 14-15
Position#6
Record3-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game90.3
vs
Position#11
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game91.6
DenmarkBasketligaen· Sondersohallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vaerlose v Holbaek-Stenhus
24 Oct 2026
VAER64
HOLB68
28 Mar 2026
VAER87
HOLB80
29 Oct 2025
VAER87
HOLB83
31 Mar 2025
VAER100
HOLB98
07 Dec 2024
VAER88
HOLB90
17 Nov 2024
VAER100
HOLB86
15 Feb 2024
VAER99
HOLB80
12 Apr 2023
VAER104
HOLB60
16 Feb 2023
VAER90
HOLB68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
92avg 70
H31/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
70-72
70
72
-2
58avg 70
A05/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
104-93
104
93
+11
102avg 70
H12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
74-90
74
90
-16
62avg 70
A24/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 70
A23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
80-76
80
76
+4
76avg 70
H04/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
68-124
68
124
-56
59avg 70
H09/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
91-72
91
72
+19
91avg 70
A12/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
57-115
57
115
-58
44avg 70
A15/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
60-74
60
74
-14
48avg 70
H26/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
28-21
10-21
23-22
15-23
14-19
28-13
13-17
29-24
30-27
15-18
30-24
16-20
22-27
17-29
19-14
29-19
23-21
17-18
19-23
21-23
24-17
21-23
14-13
18-36
13-31
24-25
13-32
20-23
18-14
35-17
18-18
10-28
15-29
12-24
20-34
17-19
9-20
17-18
17-17
168.7Avg total
79.2Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.090.3164.3-16.350%
Season at home (3)69.391.3160.7-22.033%
Season away (3)78.789.3168.0-10.767%
Last 10 (10)79.289.5168.7-10.350%
Last 5 (5)71.292.2163.4-21.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)71.893.9165.6-22.112%
vs Similar ◀ (13)87.583.6171.1+3.862%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#10
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
84avg 70
A31/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
104-93
104
93
+11
96avg 70
H06/04
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
79avg 70
H16/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
77-73
77
73
+4
70avg 70
H24/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
106-98
106
98
+8
96avg 70
A03/05
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
69avg 70
H23/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
67-95
67
95
-28
54avg 70
H28/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
76-102
76
102
-26
58avg 70
A02/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
89-92
89
92
-3
no box
A06/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
90-81
90
81
+9
79avg 70
H23/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
21-28
21-10
22-23
23-24
24-28
32-16
25-25
24-24
26-14
15-14
21-21
14-20
16-22
32-17
15-14
26-25
31-21
26-18
23-34
19-29
21-23
18-17
23-19
15-23
11-30
19-24
22-18
21-34
23-23
21-21
11-24
25-28
16-28
25-25
23-11
26-19
20-22
18-24
26-16
176.9Avg total
87.4Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.691.6172.2-11.020%
Season at home (3)79.388.0167.3-8.733%
Season away (2)82.597.0179.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)87.489.5176.9-2.150%
Last 5 (5)80.691.6172.2-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.298.4176.6-20.114%
vs Similar ◀ (12)90.585.8176.2+4.850%
vs Weaker (3)84.379.0163.3+5.3100%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
VaerloseHolbaek-Stenhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H31/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A05/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A24/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H04/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
31-67
31
67
-36
H09/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A12/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
25-57
25
57
-32
A15/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H26/10
Basketligaen
86.5Avg total
39.9Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.346.086.4-5.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.746.187.9-4.440%-
Last 30 away (15)38.945.984.9-7.033%-
Last 10 (10)39.946.686.5-6.750%-
Last 5 (5)33.048.081.0-15.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.148.984.0-13.86%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)45.743.288.9+2.569%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#10
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A31/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H06/04
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H16/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H24/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A03/05
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H23/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
26-53
26
53
-27
H28/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A02/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A06/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H23/10
Basketligaen
92.0Avg total
42.7Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.848.889.6-8.027%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.247.086.2-7.836%-
Last 30 away (16)42.250.492.6-8.119%-
Last 10 (10)42.749.392.0-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.451.891.2-12.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.651.689.2-14.17%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)45.547.092.5-1.550%-
vs Weaker (3)38.741.079.7-2.333%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.9
53.7%
54.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.2
28.2%
32.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws22.514.8
65.8%
70.1%14.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.721.0
50.4%
54.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.5
29.9%
32.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws27.219.6
72.1%
70.1%19.6
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vaerlose
LLWLWWLWLW
Holbaek-Stenhus
WLLLLWWWWL
#6
League position
#11
-12.4
Net rating
-0.7
93.8
Offensive rating
102.4
106.1
Defensive rating
103.1
49.2%
Effective FG%
48.1%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
22.8%
Turnover %
20.1%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.39
28.2%
3-point %
29.9%
64.8%
Assist %
46.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.8 · 102.4Defence106.1 · 103.1Shooting49.2% · 48.1%3-point %28.2% · 29.9%Ball care22.8% · 20.1%Off. rebounds25.1% · 33.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Vaerlose   ■ Holbaek-Stenhus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Vaerlose wins
3
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25HHorsens60-74
15/10/25ATeam FOG Naestved57-115
12/10/25ABears Academy91-72
09/10/25HSvendborg68-124
04/10/25HVejen80-76
23/09/25AHolbaek-Stenhus88-81
24/04/25AAmager74-90
12/04/25HBears Academy104-93
05/04/25AHerlev Wolfpack70-72
31/03/25HHolbaek-Stenhus100-98 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/25HVejen90-81
06/10/25ABMS Herlev89-92
02/10/25ARanders76-102
28/09/25HHorsens67-95
23/09/25HVaerlose81-88
03/05/25AAmager106-98
24/04/25HBears Academy77-73
16/04/25HHerlev Wolfpack86-73
06/04/25HAmager104-93
31/03/25AVaerlose98-100 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game74.069.378.7
Allowed / game90.391.389.3
Point differential-16.3-22.0-10.7
Avg total164.3160.7168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game80.679.382.5
Allowed / game91.688.097.0
Point differential-11.0-8.7-14.5
Avg total172.2167.3179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears660100%110.575.0+35.5
2 Horsens660100%85.767.8+17.8
3 Team FOG Naestved65183%111.081.8+29.2
4 Randers65183%100.882.8+18.0
5 Svendborg53260%95.482.8+12.6
6 Copenhagen63350%90.587.5+3.0
7 BMS Herlev63350%85.887.2-1.3
8 Vaerlose63350%74.090.3-16.3
9 Holbaek-Stenhus51420%80.691.6-11.0
10 Vejen61517%78.294.2-16.0
11 Amager7070%76.6106.3-29.7
12 Bears Academy7070%74.4105.7-31.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose2422271487
Holbaek-Stenhus2320251583
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