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Holbaek-Stenhus vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-88
19-29 21-23 18-17 23-19
Position#11
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#6
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
DenmarkBasketligaen· Holbaek Sportsby
Other2025-26
Meetings · Holbaek-Stenhus v Vaerlose
21 Jan 2027
HOLB v VAER
upcoming
23 Apr 2026
HOLB83
VAER89
23 Sep 2025
HOLB81
VAER88
03 Mar 2025
HOLB98
VAER77
13 Feb 2025
HOLB104
VAER82
16 Nov 2023
HOLB70
VAER78
11 Mar 2023
HOLB62
VAER84
27 Nov 2022
HOLB75
VAER85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#10
W
104-82
104
82
+22
96avg 69
H13/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
98-77
98
77
+21
94avg 69
H03/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
85-95
85
95
-10
66avg 69
A08/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
100-76
100
76
+24
90avg 69
A15/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
90-83
90
83
+7
71avg 69
A23/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
84avg 69
A31/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
104-93
104
93
+11
96avg 69
H06/04
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
79avg 69
H16/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
77-73
77
73
+4
70avg 69
H24/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
106-98
106
98
+8
96avg 69
A03/05
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
27-26
27-23
30-13
21-20
32-23
24-9
21-25
23-21
22-31
18-20
22-23
26-19
28-18
22-23
24-16
27-23
17-25
24-14
22-21
25-28
21-28
21-10
22-23
23-24
24-28
32-16
25-25
24-24
26-14
15-14
21-21
14-20
16-22
32-17
15-14
26-25
31-21
26-18
23-34
179.8Avg total
94.8Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)94.885.0179.8+9.880%
Last 5 (5)94.287.4181.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)80.397.4177.7-17.120%
vs Similar ◀ (10)91.585.4176.9+6.160%
vs Weaker (4)77.878.5156.2-0.875%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Horsens
#3
L
69-89
69
89
-20
61avg 71
H08/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
82-104
82
104
-22
69avg 71
A13/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
77-98
77
98
-21
57avg 71
A03/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
100-80
100
80
+20
96avg 71
H08/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
72-73
72
73
-1
64avg 71
A12/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
79-93
79
93
-14
70avg 71
H22/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
92avg 71
H31/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
70-72
70
72
-2
58avg 71
A05/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
104-93
104
93
+11
102avg 71
H12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
74-90
74
90
-16
62avg 71
A24/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
16-25
19-25
18-16
20-20
26-27
23-27
13-30
20-21
23-32
9-24
25-21
28-19
20-27
16-22
36-12
22-20
21-13
15-25
14-15
21-30
13-16
28-25
17-22
28-25
28-21
10-21
23-22
15-23
14-19
28-13
13-17
29-24
30-27
15-18
30-24
16-20
22-27
17-29
19-14
171.7Avg total
82.7Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.789.0171.7-6.330%
Last 5 (5)85.489.2174.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)72.991.7164.6-18.812%
vs Similar ◀ (12)86.785.5172.2+1.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +7.7+7.7Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.5+1.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +7.7+7.7Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.5+1.5
Holbaek-StenhusVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#10
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H13/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H03/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A08/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A15/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A23/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A31/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H06/04
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H16/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H24/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A03/05
Basketligaen
93.3Avg total
47.3Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.647.388.9-5.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.547.690.1-5.143%-
Last 30 away (16)40.847.087.8-6.231%-
Last 10 (10)47.346.093.3+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)46.046.892.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.550.189.5-10.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)47.246.293.4+1.060%-
vs Weaker (4)36.838.074.8-1.250%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#3
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H08/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A03/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H08/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A12/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H22/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H31/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A05/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A24/04
Basketligaen
88.7Avg total
42.8Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.344.885.1-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.544.286.7-1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)38.145.483.5-7.320%-
Last 10 (10)42.845.988.7-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.246.489.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.046.482.4-10.46%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)45.243.288.3+2.058%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 94.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.522.4
52.7%
54.6%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.4
32.3%
32.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws29.921.4
71.6%
70.1%21.4
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.922.3
52.0%
54.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.2
31.1%
32.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.212.7
62.9%
70.1%12.7
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Holbaek-Stenhus
WWWWLWWLWW
Vaerlose
LWLWLLWLLL
#11
League position
#6
+11.8
Net rating
-7.4
109.9
Offensive rating
99.6
98.2
Defensive rating
107.1
51.0%
Effective FG%
49.9%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
19.2%
Turnover %
20.7%
35.6%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.3%
3-point %
31.1%
43.4%
Assist %
58.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 99.6Defence98.2 · 107.1Shooting51.0% · 49.9%3-point %32.3% · 31.1%Ball care19.2% · 20.7%Off. rebounds35.6% · 30.9%Free throws0.42 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Holbaek-Stenhus   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
7
Vaerlose wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25AAmager106-98
24/04/25HBears Academy77-73
16/04/25HHerlev Wolfpack86-73
06/04/25HAmager104-93
31/03/25AVaerlose98-100 OT
23/03/25ABears Academy90-83
15/03/25AHerlev Wolfpack100-76
08/03/25AAmager85-95
03/03/25HVaerlose98-77
13/02/25HVaerlose104-82
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/25AAmager74-90
12/04/25HBears Academy104-93
05/04/25AHerlev Wolfpack70-72
31/03/25HHolbaek-Stenhus100-98 OT
22/03/25HAmager79-93
12/03/25ABears Academy72-73
08/03/25HHerlev Wolfpack100-80
03/03/25AHolbaek-Stenhus77-98
13/02/25AHolbaek-Stenhus82-104
08/02/25HHorsens69-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears110100%115.064.0+51.0
2 Copenhagen1010%64.0115.0-51.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Holbaek-Stenhus1921182381
Vaerlose2923171988
← all games of the day
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