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Hornsby S. vs Newcastle Falcons Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 May 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 80-77
17-20 23-16 22-20 18-21
Position#14
Record1-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game88.1
vs
Position#9
Record3-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game79.4
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2025
Meetings · Hornsby S. v Newcastle Falcons
17 May 2025
HORN80
NEWC77
06 Jul 2024
HORN97
NEWC104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hornsby S. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Newcastle Falcons winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hornsby S.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
97-104
97
104
-7
H06/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H12/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
74-91
74
91
-17
H14/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H29/03
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H05/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
60-87
60
87
-27
H13/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
L
95-106
95
106
-11
A25/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
77-118
77
118
-41
A03/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A04/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
100-69
100
69
+31
H10/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-30
31-25
23-15
31-34
22-22
19-22
22-15
30-20
16-30
21-25
24-17
13-19
23-26
16-23
19-19
13-16
20-19
19-21
14-14
11-20
13-22
16-23
16-14
15-28
33-25
17-18
17-37
28-26
27-24
22-37
12-33
16-24
19-20
13-17
23-22
21-20
26-20
20-11
22-16
32-22
169.8Avg total
80.7Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.688.1165.7-10.614%
Season at home (4)73.878.5152.2-4.825%
Season away (3)82.7101.0183.7-18.30%
Last 10 (10)80.789.1169.8-8.420%
Last 5 (5)81.691.8173.4-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)77.791.5169.2-13.812%
vs Similar (3)80.080.3160.3-0.367%
vs Weaker (1)91.0101.0192.0-10.00%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H07/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
64-85
64
85
-21
H13/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H29/03
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
71-98
71
98
-27
A05/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H06/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H12/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
L
77-88 OT
77
88
-11
A26/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H03/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
74-103
74
103
-29
A10/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H11/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
23-11
23-23
18-26
15-17
20-28
18-24
11-16
24-19
11-23
15-15
17-14
20-24
11-25
26-21
14-28
18-27
21-22
23-13
10-15
26-18
26-22
21-18
11-10
25-24
17-13
12-14
15-18
21-8
27-13
12-22
24-18
25-30
17-18
13-21
19-34
16-23
24-16
16-15
19-15
154.4Avg total
74.4Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.579.4154.9-3.938%
Season at home (5)76.469.2145.6+7.260%
Season away (3)74.096.3170.3-22.30%
Last 10 (10)74.480.0154.4-5.630%
Last 5 (5)78.877.8156.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)71.883.4155.2-11.622%
vs Similar (5)73.875.4149.2-1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)84.478.0162.4+6.471%
This opponent (Hornsby S.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -3.6-3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -3.6-3.6
Hornsby S.Newcastle Falcons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hornsby S.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H06/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H12/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H14/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H29/03
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H05/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H13/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A25/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A03/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A04/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H10/05
NBL1 East
86.5Avg total
40.5Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.745.485.1-5.727%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.543.483.9-2.925%-
Last 30 away (14)38.847.686.4-8.929%-
Last 10 (10)40.546.086.5-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.484.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)39.345.284.5-5.927%-
vs Similar (3)44.342.787.0+1.733%-
vs Weaker (1)36.058.094.0-22.00%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H07/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H13/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H29/03
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A05/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H06/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H12/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A26/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#12
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H03/05
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A10/05
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H11/05
NBL1 East
80.0Avg total
39.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.441.879.2-4.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.239.276.4-2.150%-
Last 30 away (14)37.744.682.4-6.921%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.180.0-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.837.081.8+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)35.343.979.2-8.728%-
vs Similar (5)38.436.474.8+2.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.340.082.3+2.357%-
This opponent (Hornsby S.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hornsby S. wins
3
Newcastle Falcons wins
Hornsby S.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/25HIllawarra Hawks 2100-69
04/05/25ABA CoE76-79
03/05/25ACanberra77-118
25/04/25AMaitland M.95-106
13/04/25HSydney Comets60-87
05/04/25HBankstown Bruins64-74
29/03/25HCentral Coast Crusaders71-84
14/07/24HCanberra74-91
12/07/24HCentral Coast Crusaders93-79
06/07/24HNewcastle Falcons97-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25HCanberra75-69
10/05/25ASutherland Sharks74-103
03/05/25HMaitland M.84-61
26/04/25AIllawarra Hawks 277-88 OT
12/04/25HIllawarra Hawks 284-68
06/04/25HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits72-77
05/04/25ACentral Coast Crusaders71-98
29/03/25HSydney Comets67-71
13/07/24HMaitland M.64-85
07/07/24HInner West Bulls76-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hornsby S.
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game77.673.882.7
Allowed / game88.178.5101.0
Point differential-10.6-4.8-18.3
Avg total165.7152.2183.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW38%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%60%0%
Points / game75.576.474.0
Allowed / game79.469.296.3
Point differential-3.9+7.2-22.3
Avg total154.9145.6170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %12%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE87188%88.267.5+20.8
2 Sutherland Sharks76186%87.676.0+11.6
3 Canberra86275%90.577.2+13.2
4 Sydney Comets85362%74.269.5+4.8
5 Illawarra Hawks 285362%82.083.4-1.4
6 Maitland M.95456%87.183.3+3.8
7 Hills Hornets84450%77.676.1+1.5
8 Central Coast Crusaders84450%82.181.6+0.5
9 Manly W.84450%80.480.1+0.2
10 Norths Bears84450%74.176.2-2.1
11 Bankstown Bruins84450%81.085.2-4.2
12 Newcastle Falcons83538%75.579.4-3.9
13 Inner West Bulls93633%84.188.1-4.0
14 Penrith P.103730%78.286.8-8.6
15 Hornsby S.71614%77.688.1-10.6
16 Albury-Wodonga Bandits81712%74.193.4-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hornsby S.1723221880
Newcastle Falcons2016202177
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