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Svendborg vs Horsens Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-67
19-13 15-24 24-11 20-19
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game74.1
vs
Position#3
Record6-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game79.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Rise Sparekasse Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Svendborg v Horsens
17 Sep 2026
SVEN70
HORS92
14 May 2026
SVEN103
HORS78
06 Apr 2026
SVEN68
HORS67
18 Dec 2025
SVEN69
HORS62
07 Apr 2025
SVEN91
HORS61
07 Nov 2024
SVEN78
HORS67
11 Mar 2024
SVEN76
HORS83
14 Sep 2023
SVEN80
HORS77
06 Mar 2023
SVEN91
HORS93
30 Nov 2022
SVEN84
HORS88
05 May 2022
SVEN85
HORS78
28 Apr 2022
SVEN73
HORS72
22 Apr 2022
SVEN79
HORS88
07 Mar 2022
SVEN92
HORS81
15 Dec 2021
SVEN105
HORS96
03 Feb 2021
SVEN72
HORS76
26 Oct 2020
SVEN101
HORS97
25 Jan 2020
SVEN76
HORS82
14 Dec 2019
SVEN83
HORS88
11 Mar 2019
SVEN75
HORS86
12 Dec 2018
SVEN64
HORS106
09 Nov 2017
SVEN64
HORS77
05 Jan 2017
SVEN69
HORS68
21 Nov 2016
SVEN67
HORS75
14 Nov 2016
SVEN77
HORS83
27 Jan 2016
SVEN72
HORS85
14 Dec 2015
SVEN65
HORS79
03 Nov 2015
SVEN73
HORS100
20 Apr 2015
SVEN76
HORS69
13 Apr 2015
SVEN65
HORS86
17 Nov 2014
SVEN69
HORS91
25 Apr 2014
SVEN66
HORS82
10 Mar 2014
SVEN96
HORS79
21 Nov 2013
SVEN79
HORS78
22 Sep 2012
SVEN97
HORS87
18 Feb 2012
SVEN87
HORS97
10 Nov 2011
SVEN75
HORS74
28 Mar 2011
SVEN91
HORS65
21 Mar 2011
SVEN94
HORS84
09 Oct 2010
SVEN82
HORS70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Horsens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
70avg 78
H25/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
87-124
87
124
-37
73avg 78
A29/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
87-94
87
94
-7
72avg 78
A10/05
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
93-64
93
64
+29
89avg 78
A21/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
76-74
76
74
+2
66avg 78
H25/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
80-70
80
70
+10
69avg 78
H28/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
88avg 78
A05/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
76-62
76
62
+14
71avg 78
H10/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
105-108 OT
105
108
-3
92avg 78
A17/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
88-63
88
63
+25
84avg 78
H30/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
21-23
16-21
16-24
25-28
17-35
17-33
28-28
23-20
28-29
19-17
17-28
22-22
21-7
29-18
21-17
12-14
23-27
21-21
20-12
12-14
18-17
29-13
21-26
25-17
17-23
20-15
25-23
23-11
16-20
18-16
19-15
16-18
19-22
26-29
35-27
25-14
26-14
25-19
12-16
168.9Avg total
85.9Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.474.1160.6+12.386%
Season at home (4)80.067.2147.2+12.8100%
Season away (3)95.083.3178.3+11.767%
Last 10 (10)85.983.0168.9+2.960%
Last 5 (5)87.276.2163.4+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.393.2168.5-17.97%
vs Similar (4)85.083.2168.2+1.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)95.780.0175.7+15.791%
This opponent (Horsens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
80-89
80
89
-9
74avg 80
H29/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
84-92
84
92
-8
73avg 80
A02/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
94-87
94
87
+7
88avg 80
H10/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
90-72
90
72
+18
84avg 80
A19/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
84-79
84
79
+5
71avg 80
H26/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
94-80
94
80
+14
87avg 80
A28/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 80
A11/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
82-90
82
90
-8
77avg 80
H17/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
88-79
88
79
+9
79avg 80
A24/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
80-75
80
75
+5
76avg 80
H03/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
25-17
21-23
21-27
27-22
18-21
17-27
22-22
20-23
29-28
17-19
28-17
31-17
22-18
17-18
20-19
28-24
20-21
15-23
21-11
31-23
24-18
20-21
19-18
12-19
28-15
15-20
33-24
15-17
23-23
20-23
24-27
17-15
28-18
18-22
25-24
20-24
9-14
27-21
24-16
168.5Avg total
86.4Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.679.0165.6+7.686%
Season at home (3)82.081.3163.3+0.767%
Season away (4)90.077.2167.2+12.8100%
Last 10 (10)86.482.1168.5+4.370%
Last 5 (5)86.480.4166.8+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)81.081.2162.2-0.240%
vs Similar (7)89.392.6181.9-3.343%
vs Weaker (18)86.974.8161.7+12.189%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.2+3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.2+3.2
SvendborgHorsens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H25/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A29/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A10/05
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A21/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H25/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H28/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A05/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H10/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A17/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H30/10
Basketligaen
81.6Avg total
41.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.542.584.0-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.439.981.4+1.536%-
Last 30 away (16)41.644.886.3-3.244%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.081.6+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.434.073.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.547.285.7-8.713%-
vs Similar (4)42.544.286.8-1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.235.580.6+9.773%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H29/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A02/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H10/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A19/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H26/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A28/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A11/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A24/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H03/11
Basketligaen
83.9Avg total
44.0Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.139.483.6+4.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.138.781.8+4.450%-
Last 30 away (16)45.140.185.1+5.062%-
Last 10 (10)44.039.983.9+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.437.278.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)41.441.683.0-0.240%-
vs Similar (7)43.945.088.9-1.129%-
vs Weaker (18)45.036.781.7+8.372%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.122.9
50.8%
51.9%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.7
31.7%
32.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws24.716.2
65.6%
70.2%16.2
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.7
54.1%
51.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.2
30.6%
32.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws26.417.4
65.9%
70.2%17.4
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Svendborg
WLWWWWWLLL
Horsens
WWLWWWWWLL
#2
League position
#3
+3.9
Net rating
+5.3
105.9
Offensive rating
110.3
102.1
Defensive rating
105.0
49.6%
Effective FG%
50.8%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
18.0%
Turnover %
18.6%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
37.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.39
31.7%
3-point %
30.6%
56.2%
Assist %
59.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 110.3Defence102.1 · 105.0Shooting49.6% · 50.8%3-point %31.7% · 30.6%Ball care18.0% · 18.6%Off. rebounds34.4% · 37.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Svendborg   ■ Horsens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Svendborg wins
6
Horsens wins
DateGameScore
10/05/24Horsens v Svendborg94-87
05/04/24Horsens v Svendborg80-70
11/03/24Svendborg v Horsens76-83
11/12/23Horsens v Svendborg75-81
14/09/23Svendborg v Horsens80-77
03/04/23Horsens v Svendborg101-98
06/03/23Svendborg v Horsens91-93
10/02/23Horsens v Svendborg98-102
30/11/22Svendborg v Horsens84-88
05/05/22Svendborg v Horsens85-78
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/24HCopenhagen88-63
17/10/24ATeam FOG Naestved105-108 OT
10/10/24HVaerlose76-62
05/10/24ABears Academy87-78
28/09/24HHolbaek-Stenhus80-70
25/09/24HRanders76-74
21/09/24AHerlev Wolfpack93-64
10/05/24AHorsens87-94
29/04/24ABakken Bears87-124
25/04/24HBakken Bears80-93
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24HBears Academy80-75
24/10/24AHolbaek-Stenhus88-79
17/10/24HRanders82-90
11/10/24ACopenhagen88-78
28/09/24AHerlev Wolfpack94-80
26/09/24HAmager84-79
19/09/24ABakken Bears90-72
10/05/24HSvendborg94-87
02/05/24ATeam FOG Naestved84-92
29/04/24HTeam FOG Naestved80-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game86.480.095.0
Allowed / game74.167.283.3
Point differential+12.3+12.8+11.7
Avg total160.6147.2178.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
Horsens
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%67%100%
Points / game86.682.090.0
Allowed / game79.081.377.2
Point differential+7.6+0.7+12.8
Avg total165.6163.3167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved880100%99.488.5+10.9
2 Svendborg76186%86.474.1+12.3
3 Bakken Bears76186%91.480.4+11.0
4 Horsens76186%86.679.0+7.6
5 Randers95456%93.181.4+11.7
6 Herlev Wolfpack73443%81.082.6-1.6
7 Amager72529%89.693.3-3.7
8 Holbaek-Stenhus82625%79.292.8-13.5
9 Copenhagen71614%80.089.4-9.4
10 Vaerlose71614%75.691.4-15.9
11 Bears Academy81712%75.486.1-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Svendborg1915242078
Horsens1324111967
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