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Holbaek-Stenhus vs Horsens Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-88
15-17 18-28 22-18 24-25
Position#7
Record2-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game88.8
vs
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game79.8
DenmarkBasketligaen· Holbaek Sportsby
Other2024-25
Meetings · Holbaek-Stenhus v Horsens
03 Jan 2027
HOLB v HORS
upcoming
28 Sep 2025
HOLB67
HORS95
24 Oct 2024
HOLB79
HORS88
03 Jan 2024
HOLB61
HORS76
24 Sep 2022
HOLB64
HORS90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#8
L
71-109
71
109
-38
54avg 60
H22/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
78-74
78
74
+4
68avg 60
H26/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
75-88
75
88
-13
64avg 60
H11/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
91-99 OT
91
99
-8
72avg 60
A26/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
65-84
65
84
-19
54avg 60
A28/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
77-103
77
103
-26
62avg 60
H25/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
70-80
70
80
-10
54avg 60
A28/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
106-98
106
98
+8
95avg 60
H04/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
58-77
58
77
-19
32avg 60
A12/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
89-86
89
86
+3
70avg 60
H18/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
16-23
17-39
21-19
21-14
15-28
26-8
16-24
15-25
21-18
16-26
23-19
25-19
21-21
24-23
15-22
16-17
19-17
13-31
17-19
20-25
25-28
14-25
18-25
14-12
17-18
13-29
26-21
32-22
28-33
21-21
25-22
20-17
11-12
11-22
16-26
27-23
26-24
18-23
18-16
167.8Avg total
78.0Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.088.8168.8-8.840%
Season at home (3)90.795.7186.3-5.067%
Season away (2)64.078.5142.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)78.089.8167.8-11.830%
Last 5 (5)80.088.8168.8-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)72.694.3166.9-21.810%
vs Similar (8)81.580.4161.9+1.150%
vs Weaker (1)58.077.0135.0-19.00%
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
90-98
90
98
-8
75avg 81
H22/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
90-87
90
87
+3
87avg 81
A25/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
80-89
80
89
-9
74avg 81
H29/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
84-92
84
92
-8
73avg 81
A02/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
94-87
94
87
+7
88avg 81
H10/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
90-72
90
72
+18
84avg 81
A19/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
84-79
84
79
+5
71avg 81
H26/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
94-80
94
80
+14
87avg 81
A28/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 81
A11/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
82-90
82
90
-8
77avg 81
H17/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
20-31
27-20
16-28
20-21
20-28
23-18
27-20
13-22
25-17
21-23
21-27
27-22
18-21
17-27
22-22
20-23
29-28
17-19
28-17
31-17
22-18
17-18
20-19
28-24
20-21
15-23
21-11
31-23
24-18
20-21
19-18
12-19
28-15
15-20
33-24
15-17
23-23
20-23
24-27
172.8Avg total
87.6Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.679.8167.4+7.880%
Season at home (2)83.084.5167.5-1.550%
Season away (3)90.776.7167.3+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.685.2172.8+2.460%
Last 5 (5)87.679.8167.4+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.881.0162.8+0.850%
vs Similar (7)89.392.6181.9-3.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.175.0163.1+13.188%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.8+1.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.8+1.8
Holbaek-StenhusHorsens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#8
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H22/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H26/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H11/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A26/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A28/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H25/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A28/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H04/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A12/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H18/10
Basketligaen
83.0Avg total
40.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.343.880.1-7.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.945.884.7-6.831%-
Last 30 away (14)33.441.574.9-8.136%-
Last 10 (10)40.642.483.0-1.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.886.8+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)35.547.282.7-11.720%-
vs Similar (8)40.938.979.8+2.062%-
vs Weaker (1)31.029.060.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H22/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A25/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H29/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A02/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H10/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A19/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H26/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A28/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A11/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/10
Basketligaen
88.0Avg total
45.3Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.639.784.3+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.938.682.5+5.457%-
Last 30 away (16)45.240.685.9+4.662%-
Last 10 (10)45.342.788.0+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)46.839.085.8+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.340.782.0+0.750%-
vs Similar (7)43.945.088.9-1.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.137.183.2+9.076%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.917.4
43.6%
51.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.28.4
26.9%
32.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws24.017.4
72.5%
70.2%17.4
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.9
55.0%
51.9%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.7
32.2%
32.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws25.216.7
66.3%
70.2%16.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Holbaek-Stenhus
WLWLLLLLWL
Horsens
LWWWWWLLWL
#7
League position
#3
-13.7
Net rating
+2.6
94.5
Offensive rating
113.5
108.1
Defensive rating
110.8
42.2%
Effective FG%
52.3%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
19.9%
Turnover %
16.8%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.38
26.9%
3-point %
32.2%
37.6%
Assist %
61.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 113.5Defence108.1 · 110.8Shooting42.2% · 52.3%3-point %26.9% · 32.2%Ball care19.9% · 16.8%Off. rebounds33.1% · 35.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Holbaek-Stenhus   ■ Horsens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
4
Horsens wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/24HCopenhagen89-86
12/10/24ABears Academy58-77
04/10/24HAmager106-98
28/09/24ASvendborg70-80
25/09/24HBakken Bears77-103
28/04/24ABears Academy65-84
26/04/24AAmager91-99 OT
11/04/24HCopenhagen75-88
26/03/24HHerlev Wolfpack78-74
22/03/24HBears Academy71-109
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/24HRanders82-90
11/10/24ACopenhagen88-78
28/09/24AHerlev Wolfpack94-80
26/09/24HAmager84-79
19/09/24ABakken Bears90-72
10/05/24HSvendborg94-87
02/05/24ATeam FOG Naestved84-92
29/04/24HTeam FOG Naestved80-89
25/04/24ATeam FOG Naestved90-87
22/04/24HTeam FOG Naestved90-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game80.090.764.0
Allowed / game88.895.778.5
Point differential-8.8-5.0-14.5
Avg total168.8186.3142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Horsens
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%50%100%
Points / game87.683.090.7
Allowed / game79.884.576.7
Point differential+7.8-1.5+14.0
Avg total167.4167.5167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved660100%99.392.3+7.0
2 Svendborg65183%86.276.0+10.2
3 Bakken Bears65183%90.082.3+7.7
4 Horsens54180%87.679.8+7.8
5 Randers84450%91.982.9+9.0
6 Herlev Wolfpack63350%81.782.7-1.0
7 Holbaek-Stenhus52340%80.088.8-8.8
8 Vaerlose51420%74.089.2-15.2
9 Amager61517%87.593.8-6.3
10 Bears Academy61517%76.584.8-8.3
11 Copenhagen5050%83.092.2-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Holbaek-Stenhus1518222479
Horsens1728182588
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