Horsens vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	84.1	78.9	163.0	+5.2	75%
Season at home (3)	82.0	81.3	163.3	+0.7	67%
Season away (5)	85.4	77.4	162.8	+8.0	80%
Last 10 (10)	85.1	81.0	166.1	+4.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	80.0	161.0	+1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	78.7	80.7	159.3	-2.0	33%
vs Similar (7)	89.3	92.6	181.9	-3.3	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	87.5	75.6	163.1	+11.9	88%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormVaerlose

Date

Competition

Svendborg

83-88

-5

68avg 72

A08/04

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

70-105

105

-35

54avg 72

H11/04

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

86-103

103

-17

80avg 72

A15/04

Basketligaen

Randers

65-106

106

-41

51avg 72

A21/09

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

#11

91-82

91avg 72

H24/09

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

71-86

-15

56avg 72

H03/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

62-76

-14

49avg 72

A10/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

81-96

-15

78avg 72

A19/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

69-92

-23

no box

H27/10

Basketligaen

Amager

90-102

102

-12

82avg 72

A01/11

Basketligaen

16-25

23-11

21-20

23-32

21-26

19-18

9-28

21-33

20-25

19-19

29-26

18-33

18-25

20-25

18-27

9-29

25-23

22-14

22-26

22-19

15-16

21-20

15-28

20-22

11-23

20-16

16-18

15-19

16-19

17-18

32-32

16-27

8-19

22-25

25-21

14-27

22-20

22-24

27-29

19-29

170.4Avg total

76.8Scored

93.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	75.6	91.4	167.0	-15.9	14%
Season at home (3)	77.0	86.7	163.7	-9.7	33%
Season away (4)	74.5	95.0	169.5	-20.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	93.6	170.4	-16.8	10%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	90.4	165.0	-15.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	80.0	93.5	173.5	-13.5	14%
vs Similar (3)	78.0	76.3	154.3	+1.7	67%
vs Weaker (4)	87.2	78.8	166.0	+8.5	100%

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

HorsensVaerlose

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	19.3	39.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.3	41.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	18.8	34.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.5	18.8	37.3	-0.3	17%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.8	18.9	40.8	+2.9	59%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	22.2	43.1	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	22.7	43.6	-1.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	21.6	42.4	-0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	22.1	39.3	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	19.4	33.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	20.3	23.5	43.8	-3.3	27%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	27.2	18.0	45.2	+9.2	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	20.1	43.1	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	19.4	42.3	+3.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.1	20.8	43.8	+2.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	19.1	41.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.0	39.4	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.2	21.5	43.7	+0.7	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.9	23.4	46.3	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.3	18.3	41.6	+5.0	76%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	22.3	43.4	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	19.5	20.7	40.2	-1.2	32%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.7	15.7	36.3	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	22.2	42.8	-1.8	25%	-

HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Team FOG Naestved

45-43

A02/05

Basketligaen

Svendborg

49-51

-2

H10/05

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

53-35

+18

A19/09

Basketligaen

Amager

48-45

H26/09

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

55-41

+14

A28/09

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

40-34

A11/10

Basketligaen

Randers

38-40

-2

H17/10

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

45-33

+12

A24/10

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

#11

29-38

-9

H03/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

37-34

A07/11

Basketligaen

83.3Avg total

43.9Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	39.7	83.6	+4.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.1	38.7	81.8	+4.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.7	40.5	85.2	+4.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	39.4	83.3	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	35.8	73.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.7	40.3	81.0	+0.3	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	43.9	45.0	88.9	-1.1	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	45.1	37.2	82.4	+7.9	71%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Svendborg

39-36

A08/04

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

40-44

-4

H11/04

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

39-44

-5

A15/04

Basketligaen

Randers

38-50

-12

A21/09

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

#11

47-37

+10

H24/09

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

36-36

H03/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

31-39

-8

A10/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

33-37

-4

A19/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

30-44

-14

H27/10

Basketligaen

Amager

44-44

A01/11

Basketligaen

78.8Avg total

37.7Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	42.9	83.6	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.0	45.0	87.0	-3.0	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.2	40.6	79.8	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	41.1	78.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	40.0	74.8	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	39.8	44.3	84.0	-4.5	27%	-
vs Similar (3)	39.7	35.0	74.7	+4.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	47.8	40.2	88.0	+7.5	75%	-

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	19.5	39.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	21.8	39.5	-4.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.0	40.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.2	20.8	38.0	-3.7	17%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.6	21.1	44.7	+2.4	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.8	19.1	39.9	+1.6	47%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	23.2	43.8	-2.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	23.8	44.2	-3.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	22.5	43.4	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	25.5	46.9	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	25.6	48.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	20.5	24.0	44.5	-3.4	41%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.3	23.3	41.7	-5.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.5	19.5	43.0	+4.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.0	42.5	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.4	21.6	43.9	+0.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	19.8	43.3	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	22.2	47.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.8	19.5	40.3	+1.3	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.9	26.4	48.3	-4.6	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.6	19.2	40.9	+2.4	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	23.6	42.7	-4.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	23.8	42.7	-4.8	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	23.4	42.6	-4.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	27.0	44.7	-9.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	24.8	41.6	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	19.6	25.3	44.9	-5.6	23%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.0	19.0	35.0	-3.0	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	40.9	83.1	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	40.7	82.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.8	41.1	83.9	+1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	41.6	82.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	44.2	87.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.0	40.3	78.3	-2.3	17%	-
vs Similar (7)	45.4	47.6	93.0	-2.1	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	42.4	38.4	80.8	+4.1	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	46.8	86.5	-7.0	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.4	47.5	86.9	-8.1	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.1	45.9	86.1	-5.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	52.5	91.6	-13.4	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	50.4	90.2	-10.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	40.2	49.2	89.4	-9.0	18%	-
vs Similar (3)	38.3	41.3	79.7	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.5	38.5	78.0	+1.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 83.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.0	21.1	51.5%	51.9%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	7.9	29.7%	32.6%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	26.8	18.0	67.2%	70.2%	18.0

They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 75.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	20.2	50.5%	51.9%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	7.7	27.8%	32.6%	23.1
🏀 Free throws	18.7	12.1	64.7%	70.2%	12.1

They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.0	26.0	59.1%	51.9%	52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	8.8	34.4%	32.6%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	22.0	14.6	66.4%	70.2%	14.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.8	23.5	53.6%	51.9%	46.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.0	31.9%	32.6%	23.9
🏀 Free throws	22.0	14.3	64.8%	70.2%	14.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	20.0	48.6%	51.9%	39.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	8.1	30.1%	32.6%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	21.5	15.4	71.4%	70.2%	15.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.9	21.5	52.5%	51.9%	42.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.1	7.6	33.1%	32.6%	22.9
🏀 Free throws	20.0	14.1	70.5%	70.2%	14.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.1	24.8	54.9%	51.9%	49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	8.2	33.5%	32.6%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	23.2	15.5	66.7%	70.2%	15.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Horsens

LWWLWWWWWL

Vaerlose

LLLLLWLLLL

League position

#10

+4.5

Net rating

-21.8

107.5

Offensive rating

94.6

103.1

Defensive rating

116.3

48.7%

Effective FG%

46.9%

50.9%

Opp. effective FG%

56.3%

18.2%

Turnover %

19.6%

36.4%

Off. rebound %

27.9%

0.40

Free-throw rate

0.28

29.7%

3-point %

27.8%

56.6%

Assist %

62.4%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

10%

Profile

■ Horsens ■ Vaerlose

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Horsens wins

Vaerlose wins

Date	Game	Score
28/03/24	Horsens v Vaerlose	70-78
18/03/24	Vaerlose v Horsens	64-86
25/01/24	Vaerlose v Horsens	78-99
12/11/23	Vaerlose v Horsens	71-90
29/10/23	Horsens v Vaerlose	88-56
22/01/23	Horsens v Vaerlose	90-63
04/11/22	Vaerlose v Horsens	82-87
16/01/22	Horsens v Vaerlose	95-92
22/10/21	Vaerlose v Horsens	84-89
03/01/21	Vaerlose v Horsens	84-100

Horsenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/24	A	Svendborg	67-78
03/11/24	H	Bears Academy	80-75
24/10/24	A	Holbaek-Stenhus	88-79
17/10/24	H	Randers	82-90
11/10/24	A	Copenhagen	88-78
28/09/24	A	Herlev Wolfpack	94-80
26/09/24	H	Amager	84-79
19/09/24	A	Bakken Bears	90-72
10/05/24	H	Svendborg	94-87
02/05/24	A	Team FOG Naestved	84-92

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/24	A	Amager	90-102
27/10/24	H	Team FOG Naestved	69-92
19/10/24	A	Bakken Bears	81-96
10/10/24	A	Svendborg	62-76
03/10/24	H	Herlev Wolfpack	71-86
24/09/24	H	Bears Academy	91-82
21/09/24	A	Randers	65-106
15/04/24	A	Bakken Bears	86-103
11/04/24	H	Team FOG Naestved	70-105
08/04/24	A	Svendborg	83-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens

Basketligaen 2024-25

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	75%
Home	WLW	67%
Away	WWWWL	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	3	5
Win %	75%	67%	80%
Points / game	84.1	82.0	85.4
Allowed / game	78.9	81.3	77.4
Point differential	+5.2	+0.7	+8.0
Avg total	163.0	163.3	162.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	0%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2024-25

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	14%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	14%	33%	0%
Points / game	75.6	77.0	74.5
Allowed / game	91.4	86.7	95.0
Point differential	-15.9	-9.7	-20.5
Avg total	167.0	163.7	169.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Team FOG Naestved	9	9	0	100%	99.4	89.3	+10.1
2	Svendborg	8	7	1	88%	85.4	73.2	+12.1
3	Bakken Bears	9	7	2	78%	92.7	80.9	+11.8
4	Horsens	8	6	2	75%	84.1	78.9	+5.2
5	Randers	9	5	4	56%	93.1	81.4	+11.7
6	Herlev Wolfpack	8	3	5	38%	79.0	84.5	-5.5
7	Amager	8	2	6	25%	89.1	92.5	-3.4
8	Holbaek-Stenhus	8	2	6	25%	79.2	92.8	-13.5
9	Bears Academy	9	2	7	22%	76.7	86.1	-9.4
10	Copenhagen	7	1	6	14%	80.0	89.4	-9.4
11	Vaerlose	7	1	6	14%	75.6	91.4	-15.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Horsens	28	22	25	20	95
Vaerlose	14	19	8	18	59

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Horsens vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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