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Horsens vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 95-64
18-9 27-16 30-18 20-21
Position#3
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#7
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game86.0
DenmarkDenmark CupDenmark Cup - Quarter-finals· Forum Horsens
Other2024-25
Meetings · Horsens v Vaerlose
02 Oct 2026
HORS99
VAER79
02 Nov 2025
HORS98
VAER72
01 Dec 2024
HORS95
VAER64
14 Nov 2024
HORS95
VAER59
28 Mar 2024
HORS70
VAER78
29 Oct 2023
HORS88
VAER56
22 Jan 2023
HORS90
VAER63
16 Jan 2022
HORS95
VAER92
11 Oct 2020
HORS96
VAER88
24 Nov 2019
HORS95
VAER85
22 Dec 2018
HORS85
VAER65
05 Feb 2015
HORS107
VAER78
06 Feb 2014
HORS92
VAER83
26 Jan 2014
HORS103
VAER89
13 Dec 2012
HORS89
VAER77
15 Jan 2012
HORS78
VAER79
27 Nov 2011
HORS80
VAER73
26 Sep 2010
HORS70
VAER64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
W
90-72
90
72
+18
84avg 78
A19/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
84-79
84
79
+5
71avg 78
H26/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
94-80
94
80
+14
87avg 78
A28/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 78
A11/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
82-90
82
90
-8
77avg 78
H17/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
88-79
88
79
+9
79avg 78
A24/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
80-75
80
75
+5
76avg 78
H03/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
67-78
67
78
-11
48avg 78
A07/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
95-59
95
59
+36
88avg 78
H14/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
71avg 78
A28/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
22-18
17-18
20-19
28-24
20-21
15-23
21-11
31-23
24-18
20-21
19-18
12-19
28-15
15-20
33-24
15-17
23-23
20-23
24-27
17-15
28-18
18-22
25-24
20-24
9-14
27-21
24-16
13-19
24-15
11-24
19-20
28-14
22-19
25-8
20-18
20-22
20-20
20-18
22-32
163.2Avg total
85.0Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.078.2163.2+6.870%
Last 5 (5)82.476.6159.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.680.0158.6-1.440%
vs Similar (8)88.492.5180.9-4.138%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.976.6165.5+12.488%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
86-103
86
103
-17
80avg 72
A15/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
65-106
65
106
-41
51avg 72
A21/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
91-82
91
82
+9
91avg 72
H24/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
71-86
71
86
-15
56avg 72
H03/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
62-76
62
76
-14
49avg 72
A10/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
81-96
81
96
-15
78avg 72
A19/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
69-92
69
92
-23
no box
H27/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
L
90-102
90
102
-12
82avg 72
A01/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
59-95
59
95
-36
51avg 72
A14/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
100-86
100
86
+14
no box
H17/11
Denmark Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
19-19
29-26
18-33
18-25
20-25
18-27
9-29
25-23
22-14
22-26
22-19
15-16
21-20
15-28
20-22
11-23
20-16
16-18
15-19
16-19
17-18
32-32
16-27
8-19
22-25
25-21
14-27
22-20
22-24
27-29
19-29
14-28
19-22
8-25
18-20
24-18
30-19
29-29
17-20
169.8Avg total
77.4Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)100.086.0186.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)100.086.0186.0+14.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.492.4169.8-15.020%
Last 5 (5)79.894.2174.0-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.893.5172.3-14.814%
vs Similar (3)78.076.3154.3+1.767%
vs Weaker (4)87.278.8166.0+8.5100%
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -7.7-7.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -7.7-7.7
HorsensVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A19/09
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H26/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A28/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A11/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A24/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H03/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A07/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H14/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A28/11
Basketligaen
81.0Avg total
43.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.239.984.2+4.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.739.483.1+4.350%-
Last 30 away (16)44.740.485.1+4.362%-
Last 10 (10)43.537.581.0+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.076.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.839.680.4+1.260%-
vs Similar (8)43.444.688.0-1.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.637.883.5+7.871%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A15/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A21/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H24/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H03/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A10/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A19/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H27/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A01/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A14/11
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H17/11
Denmark Cup
80.3Avg total
38.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.883.7-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.044.587.5-1.527%-
Last 30 away (15)38.841.280.0-2.447%-
Last 10 (10)38.541.880.3-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.481.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)39.244.683.9-5.423%-
vs Similar (3)39.735.074.7+4.767%-
vs Weaker (4)47.840.288.0+7.575%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.9
54.2%
-43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.2
28.9%
-24.6
🏀 Free throws22.715.4
67.8%
-15.4
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.2
49.7%
-38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.97.6
28.3%
-22.8
🏀 Free throws18.112.0
66.3%
-12.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Horsens
LWLWWLWWWW
Vaerlose
WLLLLLLWLL
#3
League position
#7
+7.9
Net rating
-25.6
107.4
Offensive rating
92.3
99.5
Defensive rating
117.9
49.7%
Effective FG%
46.7%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
18.4%
Turnover %
22.0%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.9%
3-point %
28.3%
55.5%
Assist %
63.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Horsens   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Horsens wins
1
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
14/11/24Horsens v Vaerlose95-59
28/03/24Horsens v Vaerlose70-78
18/03/24Vaerlose v Horsens64-86
25/01/24Vaerlose v Horsens78-99
12/11/23Vaerlose v Horsens71-90
29/10/23Horsens v Vaerlose88-56
22/01/23Horsens v Vaerlose90-63
04/11/22Vaerlose v Horsens82-87
16/01/22Horsens v Vaerlose95-92
22/10/21Vaerlose v Horsens84-89
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/24ATeam FOG Naestved82-92
14/11/24HVaerlose95-59
07/11/24ASvendborg67-78
03/11/24HBears Academy80-75
24/10/24AHolbaek-Stenhus88-79
17/10/24HRanders82-90
11/10/24ACopenhagen88-78
28/09/24AHerlev Wolfpack94-80
26/09/24HAmager84-79
19/09/24ABakken Bears90-72
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24HHolbaek-Stenhus100-86
14/11/24AHorsens59-95
01/11/24AAmager90-102
27/10/24HTeam FOG Naestved69-92
19/10/24ABakken Bears81-96
10/10/24ASvendborg62-76
03/10/24HHerlev Wolfpack71-86
24/09/24HBears Academy91-82
21/09/24ARanders65-106
15/04/24ABakken Bears86-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens
Denmark Cup 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Vaerlose
Denmark Cup 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game100.0100.0-
Allowed / game86.086.0-
Point differential+14.0+14.0-
Avg total186.0186.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved110100%102.073.0+29.0
2 Randers220100%92.065.5+26.5
3 Bakken Bears110100%85.070.0+15.0
4 Vaerlose110100%100.086.0+14.0
5 Svendborg21150%86.073.5+12.5
6 Vejen21150%72.579.0-6.5
7 Herlev Wolfpack21150%88.097.5-9.5
8 Copenhagen1010%73.075.0-2.0
9 Amager1010%93.0103.0-10.0
10 Holbaek-Stenhus1010%86.0100.0-14.0
11 Bears Academy1010%63.0100.0-37.0
12 Falcon1010%59.0100.0-41.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsens1827302095
Vaerlose916182164
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