Horsens vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	87.0	67.7	154.7	+19.3	100%
Season at home (3)	85.0	74.0	159.0	+11.0	100%
Season away (4)	88.5	63.0	151.5	+25.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	82.6	75.2	157.8	+7.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	70.0	153.8	+13.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	78.4	85.1	163.5	-6.6	43%
vs Similar (3)	87.0	83.0	170.0	+4.0	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	89.8	70.4	160.2	+19.5	100%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormVaerlose

Date

Competition

Herlev Wolfpack

70-72

-2

58avg 70

A05/04

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

#11

104-93

104

+11

102avg 70

H12/04

Basketligaen

Amager

74-90

-16

62avg 70

A24/04

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

88-81

82avg 70

A23/09

Basketligaen

Vejen

80-76

76avg 70

H04/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

68-124

124

-56

59avg 70

H09/10

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

91-72

+19

91avg 70

A12/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

57-115

115

-58

44avg 70

A15/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

60-74

-14

48avg 70

H26/10

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

87-83

76avg 70

H29/10

Basketligaen

15-23

14-19

28-13

13-17

29-24

30-27

15-18

30-24

16-20

22-27

17-29

19-14

29-19

23-21

17-18

19-23

21-23

24-17

21-23

14-13

18-36

13-31

24-25

13-32

20-23

18-14

35-17

18-18

10-28

15-29

12-24

20-34

17-19

9-20

17-18

17-17

24-23

22-20

27-25

14-15

165.9Avg total

77.9Scored

88.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	75.9	89.3	165.1	-13.4	57%
Season at home (4)	73.8	89.2	163.0	-15.5	50%
Season away (3)	78.7	89.3	168.0	-10.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	77.9	88.0	165.9	-10.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	72.6	93.6	166.2	-21.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	70.5	93.3	163.9	-22.8	13%
vs Similar (14)	87.4	83.6	171.0	+3.9	64%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

HorsensVaerlose

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.4	38.9	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.8	18.5	38.2	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.6	18.2	39.8	+3.4	85%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.5	42.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	20.8	44.6	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.5	18.4	36.9	+0.1	43%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.3	20.7	44.0	+2.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.2	17.8	39.9	+4.4	85%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	23.2	43.1	-3.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	23.9	45.1	-2.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	22.4	40.9	-3.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	23.8	43.7	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	25.8	43.6	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.1	25.5	42.6	-8.3	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	22.6	21.1	43.8	+1.5	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	19.9	42.5	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.4	20.8	45.2	+3.6	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.3	37.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	14.6	36.2	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.9	22.6	43.5	-1.6	43%	-
vs Similar (3)	25.0	20.3	45.3	+4.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	23.7	17.0	40.7	+6.7	85%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	22.8	43.3	-2.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	22.0	42.9	-1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	23.7	43.7	-3.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.5	41.5	-3.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	22.8	38.2	-7.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.4	23.7	41.1	-6.3	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	23.1	22.1	45.1	+1.0	64%	-
vs Weaker	no games

HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bakken Bears

36-50

-14

A01/05

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

32-53

-21

H05/05

Basketligaen

Randers

31-43

-12

H12/05

Basketligaen

Vejen

46-29

+17

A24/09

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

53-26

+27

A28/09

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

46-40

H30/09

Basketligaen

BMS Herlev

#10

41-40

A10/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

46-33

+13

H17/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

39-26

+13

A26/10

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

55-38

+17

H30/10

Basketligaen

80.3Avg total

42.5Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	38.3	81.4	+4.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.2	39.2	83.4	+4.9	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.7	37.1	78.8	+4.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	37.8	80.3	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	35.4	80.8	+10.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	39.4	41.0	80.4	-1.6	43%	-
vs Similar (3)	48.3	41.0	89.3	+7.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	45.8	34.8	80.6	+11.1	85%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Herlev Wolfpack

29-42

-13

A05/04

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

#11

59-51

H12/04

Basketligaen

Amager

38-47

-9

A24/04

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

52-40

+12

A23/09

Basketligaen

Vejen

45-40

H04/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

31-67

-36

H09/10

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

38-37

A12/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

25-57

-32

A15/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

26-39

-13

H26/10

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

46-43

H29/10

Basketligaen

85.2Avg total

38.9Scored

46.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	46.0	86.4	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.0	45.9	87.9	-3.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	46.1	84.6	-7.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	46.3	85.2	-7.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	48.6	81.8	-15.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	34.5	49.2	83.7	-14.7	7%	-
vs Similar (14)	45.7	43.2	88.9	+2.5	71%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.9	40.2	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.8	19.8	41.5	+2.0	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.6	17.8	38.4	+2.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.5	39.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.2	43%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.3	19.7	42.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.9	17.8	40.8	+5.1	85%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	22.0	41.7	-2.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	21.7	42.8	-0.6	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	22.4	40.5	-4.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.8	44.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.9	23.1	42.1	-4.2	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.9	20.3	40.1	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.3	41.2	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.4	21.2	40.5	-1.8	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-0.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	15.0	35.0	+5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.5	24.4	43.9	-4.9	21%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.3	22.3	38.7	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.1	17.8	38.8	+3.3	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.2	39.2	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	21.3	41.2	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	20.7	38.4	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	23.2	39.6	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.1	21.0	38.1	-3.9	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.1	19.4	40.5	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	40.2	81.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.1	40.9	82.1	+0.2	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.2	39.2	80.4	+1.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	37.4	77.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	34.6	73.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	39.0	44.1	83.1	-5.1	21%	-
vs Similar (3)	38.7	42.0	80.7	-3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	44.0	35.6	79.6	+8.4	85%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	42.2	80.9	-3.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.1	41.0	80.1	-1.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	43.6	81.7	-5.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	41.7	80.7	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	45.0	84.4	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	36.0	44.1	80.1	-8.1	13%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.9	39.7	80.6	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 81.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.0	22.2	50.5%	54.6%	44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	7.6	28.9%	32.9%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	22.0	14.7	66.8%	70.1%	14.7

They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 76.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀27%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.2	20.2	51.5%	54.6%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.6	6.9	28.0%	32.9%	20.7
🏀 Free throws	23.2	15.8	68.1%	70.1%	15.8

They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	18.7	49.0%	54.6%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	8.3	31.1%	32.9%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	20.8	14.5	69.7%	70.1%	14.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.2	23.4	52.9%	54.6%	46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	7.1	27.0%	32.9%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	26.9	18.9	70.3%	70.1%	18.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	20.6	51.3%	54.6%	41.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	9.1	31.8%	32.9%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	22.0	15.1	68.5%	70.1%	15.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	20.1	51.3%	54.6%	40.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	7.8	28.9%	32.9%	23.5
🏀 Free throws	22.5	14.9	66.1%	70.1%	14.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	19.8	51.0%	54.6%	39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.1	32.2%	32.9%	24.2
🏀 Free throws	20.4	14.8	72.6%	70.1%	14.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.9	22.0	53.8%	54.6%	44.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	8.8	31.6%	32.9%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	25.5	17.6	68.9%	70.1%	17.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Horsens

WWWWWWWLLL

Vaerlose

WLLWLWWLWL

League position

+6.4

Net rating

-12.2

103.5

Offensive rating

93.2

97.0

Defensive rating

105.4

47.8%

Effective FG%

47.9%

48.0%

Opp. effective FG%

48.3%

18.3%

Turnover %

22.0%

35.3%

Off. rebound %

24.0%

0.31

Free-throw rate

0.36

28.9%

3-point %

28.0%

52.3%

Assist %

63.8%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Horsens ■ Vaerlose

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Horsens wins

Vaerlose wins

Date	Game	Score
26/10/25	Vaerlose v Horsens	60-74
08/02/25	Vaerlose v Horsens	69-89
01/12/24	Horsens v Vaerlose	95-64
14/11/24	Horsens v Vaerlose	95-59
28/03/24	Horsens v Vaerlose	70-78
18/03/24	Vaerlose v Horsens	64-86
25/01/24	Vaerlose v Horsens	78-99
12/11/23	Vaerlose v Horsens	71-90
29/10/23	Horsens v Vaerlose	88-56
22/01/23	Horsens v Vaerlose	90-63

Horsenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/10/25	H	Bears Academy	95-67
26/10/25	A	Vaerlose	74-60
17/10/25	H	Svendborg	76-72
10/10/25	A	BMS Herlev	90-68
30/09/25	H	Copenhagen	84-83
28/09/25	A	Holbaek-Stenhus	95-67
24/09/25	A	Vejen	95-57
12/05/25	H	Randers	62-83
05/05/25	H	Bakken Bears	83-88
01/05/25	A	Bakken Bears	72-107

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/10/25	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	87-83
26/10/25	H	Horsens	60-74
15/10/25	A	Team FOG Naestved	57-115
12/10/25	A	Bears Academy	91-72
09/10/25	H	Svendborg	68-124
04/10/25	H	Vejen	80-76
23/09/25	A	Holbaek-Stenhus	88-81
24/04/25	A	Amager	74-90
12/04/25	H	Bears Academy	104-93
05/04/25	A	Herlev Wolfpack	70-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens

Basketligaen 2025-26

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	87.0	85.0	88.5
Allowed / game	67.7	74.0	63.0
Point differential	+19.3	+11.0	+25.5
Avg total	154.7	159.0	151.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	71%	33%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	57%
Home	WLLW	50%
Away	WWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	57%	50%	67%
Points / game	75.9	73.8	78.7
Allowed / game	89.3	89.2	89.3
Point differential	-13.4	-15.5	-10.7
Avg total	165.1	163.0	168.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	0%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	7	7	0	100%	111.7	72.4	+39.3
2	Horsens	7	7	0	100%	87.0	67.7	+19.3
3	Team FOG Naestved	7	6	1	86%	110.3	83.1	+27.1
4	Randers	8	6	2	75%	98.4	84.6	+13.8
5	Svendborg	7	5	2	71%	94.3	81.4	+12.9
6	Vaerlose	7	4	3	57%	75.9	89.3	-13.4
7	Copenhagen	8	4	4	50%	91.8	88.1	+3.6
8	BMS Herlev	7	3	4	43%	83.9	88.1	-4.3
9	Holbaek-Stenhus	7	1	6	14%	77.6	94.9	-17.3
10	Vejen	7	1	6	14%	77.6	95.0	-17.4
11	Amager	8	0	8	0%	78.4	105.2	-26.9
12	Bears Academy	8	0	8	0%	73.5	104.4	-30.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Horsens	35	14	29	20	98
Vaerlose	16	15	24	17	72

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Horsens vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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