Vaerlose vs Horsens Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	76.8	93.6	170.4	-16.8	60%
Season at home (2)	74.0	100.0	174.0	-26.0	50%
Season away (3)	78.7	89.3	168.0	-10.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	81.1	91.4	172.5	-10.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	93.6	170.4	-16.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	72.3	95.0	167.3	-22.7	12%
vs Similar (13)	87.5	83.6	171.1	+3.8	62%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Horsens

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormHorsens

Date

Competition

Copenhagen

88-78

+10

84avg 75

H21/04

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

85-90

-5

82avg 75

H28/04

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

72-107

107

-35

59avg 75

A01/05

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

83-88

-5

72avg 75

H05/05

Basketligaen

Randers

62-83

-21

47avg 75

H12/05

Basketligaen

Vejen

95-57

+38

81avg 75

A24/09

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

95-67

+28

85avg 75

A28/09

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

84-83

75avg 75

H30/09

Basketligaen

BMS Herlev

#10

90-68

+22

no box

A10/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

76-72

69avg 75

H17/10

Basketligaen

15-21

25-24

23-13

25-20

15-24

28-24

20-17

22-25

19-27

17-23

15-24

21-33

19-23

13-30

26-16

25-19

18-22

13-21

23-12

8-28

24-14

22-15

27-16

22-12

23-15

30-11

24-19

18-22

22-25

24-15

21-26

17-17

27-25

14-15

25-16

24-12

26-19

20-14

12-14

18-25

162.3Avg total

83.0Scored

79.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	88.0	69.4	157.4	+18.6	100%
Season at home (2)	80.0	77.5	157.5	+2.5	100%
Season away (3)	93.3	64.0	157.3	+29.3	100%
Last 10 (10)	83.0	79.3	162.3	+3.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	88.0	69.4	157.4	+18.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	78.4	85.1	163.5	-6.6	43%
vs Similar (3)	87.0	83.0	170.0	+4.0	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	92.9	75.2	168.1	+17.8	92%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VaerloseHorsens

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	23.1	42.7	-3.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	24.0	44.3	-3.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	25.1	45.8	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	25.8	45.4	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.9	25.1	42.0	-8.2	6%	-
vs Similar (13)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	54%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	18.5	37.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	18.6	41.0	+3.7	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.5	42.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.6	44.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.5	18.4	36.9	+0.1	43%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.3	20.7	44.0	+2.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.7	18.2	40.9	+4.5	77%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	23.1	44.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	22.5	44.1	-0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	23.7	43.9	-3.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.4	41.0	-3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.5	24.1	42.6	-5.6	19%	-
vs Similar (13)	23.2	22.2	45.4	+0.9	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.7	43.1	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.1	20.8	44.9	+3.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	20.6	41.1	-0.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	14.0	36.0	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.9	22.6	43.5	-1.6	43%	-
vs Similar (3)	25.0	20.3	45.3	+4.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	23.3	18.8	42.2	+4.5	69%	-

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Amager

34-46

-12

H22/03

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

56-46

+10

H31/03

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

29-42

-13

A05/04

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

#11

59-51

H12/04

Basketligaen

Amager

38-47

-9

A24/04

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

52-40

+12

A23/09

Basketligaen

Vejen

45-40

H04/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

31-67

-36

H09/10

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

38-37

A12/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

25-57

-32

A15/10

Basketligaen

88.0Avg total

40.7Scored

47.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	46.2	86.7	-5.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.0	46.5	88.5	-4.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	45.9	84.9	-7.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	47.3	88.0	-6.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	48.2	86.4	-10.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	35.4	49.2	84.6	-13.8	6%	-
vs Similar (13)	45.7	43.2	88.9	+2.5	69%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Copenhagen

40-45

-5

H21/04

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

43-48

-5

H28/04

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

36-50

-14

A01/05

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

32-53

-21

H05/05

Basketligaen

Randers

31-43

-12

H12/05

Basketligaen

Vejen

46-29

+17

A24/09

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

53-26

+27

A28/09

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

46-40

H30/09

Basketligaen

BMS Herlev

#10

41-40

A10/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

46-33

+13

H17/10

Basketligaen

82.1Avg total

41.4Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	39.3	82.5	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.5	39.3	82.8	+4.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.8	39.3	82.1	+3.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	40.7	82.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	33.6	80.0	+12.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	39.4	41.0	80.4	-1.6	43%	-
vs Similar (3)	48.3	41.0	89.3	+7.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	46.0	37.1	83.1	+8.9	77%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	21.7	42.9	-0.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	22.8	41.5	-4.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.3	42.0	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.4	43.2	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.9	23.7	43.6	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.3	19.9	39.2	-0.6	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	18.8	40.7	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	19.4	41.6	+2.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	18.1	39.8	+3.5	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	17.3	38.9	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.2	43%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.3	19.7	42.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	24.4	17.7	42.1	+6.7	92%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	20.3	38.4	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	21.8	41.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	21.9	40.5	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	24.0	40.8	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.0	22.1	39.1	-5.1	31%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	54%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	22.0	42.1	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	22.2	41.3	-3.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.5	24.4	43.9	-4.9	21%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.3	22.3	38.7	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.7	19.3	41.0	+2.4	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	43.3	82.2	-4.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.3	41.9	81.3	-2.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.6	44.6	83.2	-6.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	43.2	82.5	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	45.4	84.0	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	36.9	45.8	82.8	-8.9	12%	-
vs Similar (13)	40.9	39.7	80.6	+1.2	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	40.8	82.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.2	41.7	82.9	-0.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.0	39.8	82.8	+3.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	38.6	80.2	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	35.8	77.4	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	39.0	44.1	83.1	-5.1	21%	-
vs Similar (3)	38.7	42.0	80.7	-3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	46.1	37.0	83.1	+9.1	85%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 80.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	21.6	53.7%	54.6%	43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	7.5	29.8%	32.9%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	21.9	14.4	65.8%	70.1%	14.4

They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 82.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.3	22.3	51.5%	54.6%	44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	7.7	30.8%	32.9%	23.1
🏀 Free throws	21.5	14.7	68.4%	70.1%	14.7

They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.6	23.8	54.6%	54.6%	47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	7.8	30.6%	32.9%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	28.2	19.4	68.8%	70.1%	19.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.1	18.9	49.6%	54.6%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	8.4	31.5%	32.9%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	21.3	15.4	72.3%	70.1%	15.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.8	19.9	51.4%	54.6%	39.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	7.9	29.4%	32.9%	23.8
🏀 Free throws	22.1	14.6	66.0%	70.1%	14.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	20.8	52.0%	54.6%	41.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	9.4	32.1%	32.9%	28.3
🏀 Free throws	21.2	14.6	68.9%	70.1%	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.3	22.6	54.6%	54.6%	45.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	8.8	31.8%	32.9%	26.3
🏀 Free throws	25.0	17.2	69.0%	70.1%	17.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.8	20.1	51.9%	54.6%	40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.3	33.4%	32.9%	25.0
🏀 Free throws	20.9	15.3	73.5%	70.1%	15.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Vaerlose

LWLWWLWLWL

Horsens

WWWWWLLLLW

League position

-12.4

Net rating

+5.1

96.2

Offensive rating

105.1

108.6

Defensive rating

100.0

50.2%

Effective FG%

49.6%

51.4%

Opp. effective FG%

48.6%

22.5%

Turnover %

18.8%

26.6%

Off. rebound %

34.5%

0.33

Free-throw rate

0.31

29.8%

3-point %

30.8%

65.3%

Assist %

52.3%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Vaerlose ■ Horsens

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vaerlose wins

Horsens wins

Date	Game	Score
08/02/25	Vaerlose v Horsens	69-89
01/12/24	Horsens v Vaerlose	95-64
14/11/24	Horsens v Vaerlose	95-59
28/03/24	Horsens v Vaerlose	70-78
18/03/24	Vaerlose v Horsens	64-86
25/01/24	Vaerlose v Horsens	78-99
12/11/23	Vaerlose v Horsens	71-90
29/10/23	Horsens v Vaerlose	88-56
22/01/23	Horsens v Vaerlose	90-63
04/11/22	Vaerlose v Horsens	82-87

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/10/25	A	Team FOG Naestved	57-115
12/10/25	A	Bears Academy	91-72
09/10/25	H	Svendborg	68-124
04/10/25	H	Vejen	80-76
23/09/25	A	Holbaek-Stenhus	88-81
24/04/25	A	Amager	74-90
12/04/25	H	Bears Academy	104-93
05/04/25	A	Herlev Wolfpack	70-72
31/03/25	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	100-98 OT
22/03/25	H	Amager	79-93

Horsenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/10/25	H	Svendborg	76-72
10/10/25	A	BMS Herlev	90-68
30/09/25	H	Copenhagen	84-83
28/09/25	A	Holbaek-Stenhus	95-67
24/09/25	A	Vejen	95-57
12/05/25	H	Randers	62-83
05/05/25	H	Bakken Bears	83-88
01/05/25	A	Bakken Bears	72-107
28/04/25	H	Bakken Bears	85-90
21/04/25	H	Copenhagen	88-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	60%
Home	WL	50%
Away	WWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	60%	50%	67%
Points / game	76.8	74.0	78.7
Allowed / game	93.6	100.0	89.3
Point differential	-16.8	-26.0	-10.7
Avg total	170.4	174.0	168.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	0%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Horsens

Basketligaen 2025-26

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	88.0	80.0	93.3
Allowed / game	69.4	77.5	64.0
Point differential	+18.6	+2.5	+29.3
Avg total	157.4	157.5	157.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	0%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	6	6	0	100%	110.5	75.0	+35.5
2	Horsens	5	5	0	100%	88.0	69.4	+18.6
3	Team FOG Naestved	6	5	1	83%	111.0	81.8	+29.2
4	Randers	6	5	1	83%	100.8	82.8	+18.0
5	Svendborg	5	3	2	60%	95.4	82.8	+12.6
6	Vaerlose	5	3	2	60%	76.8	93.6	-16.8
7	Copenhagen	6	3	3	50%	90.5	87.5	+3.0
8	BMS Herlev	5	2	3	40%	82.4	90.6	-8.2
9	Holbaek-Stenhus	5	1	4	20%	80.6	91.6	-11.0
10	Vejen	6	1	5	17%	78.2	94.2	-16.0
11	Amager	6	0	6	0%	77.7	106.8	-29.2
12	Bears Academy	7	0	7	0%	74.4	105.7	-31.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Vaerlose	17	9	17	17	60
Horsens	19	20	18	17	74

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Vaerlose vs Horsens Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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