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Horsens vs Svendborg Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 76-72
26-19 20-14 12-14 18-25
Position#5
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game68.8
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#3
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game103.7
Allowed / game84.3
DenmarkBasketligaen· Forum Horsens
Other2025-26
Meetings · Horsens v Svendborg
16 Dec 2026
HORS v SVEN
upcoming
16 Mar 2026
HORS92
SVEN74
17 Oct 2025
HORS76
SVEN72
03 Mar 2025
HORS84
SVEN74
03 Feb 2025
HORS75
SVEN72
10 May 2024
HORS94
SVEN87
05 Apr 2024
HORS80
SVEN70
11 Dec 2023
HORS75
SVEN81
03 Apr 2023
HORS101
SVEN98
10 Feb 2023
HORS98
SVEN102
02 May 2022
HORS90
SVEN87
25 Apr 2022
HORS96
SVEN100
06 Apr 2022
HORS84
SVEN88
30 Sep 2021
HORS77
SVEN93
21 Jan 2021
HORS86
SVEN81
15 Dec 2020
HORS88
SVEN69
05 Mar 2020
HORS93
SVEN86
17 Oct 2019
HORS78
SVEN59
02 Feb 2019
HORS105
SVEN70
10 Jan 2019
HORS102
SVEN80
06 Dec 2018
HORS105
SVEN78
01 Feb 2018
HORS90
SVEN81
15 Nov 2017
HORS71
SVEN67
12 Oct 2017
HORS91
SVEN78
21 Feb 2017
HORS77
SVEN91
11 Oct 2016
HORS100
SVEN86
03 Mar 2016
HORS84
SVEN79
01 Dec 2015
HORS84
SVEN50
24 Apr 2015
HORS87
SVEN71
17 Apr 2015
HORS89
SVEN102
08 Apr 2015
HORS89
SVEN71
08 Mar 2015
HORS79
SVEN100
15 Jan 2015
HORS80
SVEN78
09 Jan 2014
HORS89
SVEN77
17 Feb 2013
HORS95
SVEN84
18 Nov 2012
HORS76
SVEN85
02 Oct 2011
HORS78
SVEN105
31 Mar 2011
HORS66
SVEN88
24 Mar 2011
HORS97
SVEN84
27 Feb 2011
HORS87
SVEN89
07 Nov 2010
HORS96
SVEN107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Svendborg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#8
W
86-65
86
65
+21
86avg 76
A16/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
84avg 76
H21/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
85-90
85
90
-5
82avg 76
H28/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
72-107
72
107
-35
59avg 76
A01/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
72avg 76
H05/05
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
62-83
62
83
-21
47avg 76
H12/05
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
95-57
95
57
+38
81avg 76
A24/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
95-67
95
67
+28
85avg 76
A28/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 76
H30/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
90-68
90
68
+22
no box
A10/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
16-18
24-4
22-21
15-21
25-24
23-13
25-20
15-24
28-24
20-17
22-25
19-27
17-23
15-24
21-33
19-23
13-30
26-16
25-19
18-22
13-21
23-12
8-28
24-14
22-15
27-16
22-12
23-15
30-11
24-19
18-22
22-25
24-15
21-26
17-17
27-25
14-15
25-16
24-12
162.6Avg total
84.0Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.068.8159.8+22.2100%
Season at home (1)84.083.0167.0+1.0100%
Season away (3)93.364.0157.3+29.3100%
Last 10 (10)84.078.6162.6+5.460%
Last 5 (5)85.271.6156.8+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.686.1164.7-7.538%
vs Similar (3)87.083.0170.0+4.067%
vs Weaker (14)93.174.4167.4+18.793%
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSvendborg
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
W
90-70
90
70
+20
82avg 83
H28/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
78-75
78
75
+3
75avg 83
A01/05
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
76-75
76
75
+1
64avg 83
H05/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
68-79
68
79
-11
54avg 83
H15/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
86-110
86
110
-24
74avg 83
A19/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
86-79
86
79
+7
76avg 83
H22/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
63-82
63
82
-19
51avg 83
A26/05
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
106-89
106
89
+17
99avg 83
A27/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
81-96
81
96
-15
72avg 83
H01/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
124-68
124
68
+56
134avg 83
A09/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
19-10
28-15
22-23
22-27
22-20
19-11
15-17
15-20
20-13
22-25
19-17
21-23
20-18
15-11
12-27
23-30
25-29
10-29
28-22
29-13
17-19
18-26
22-21
16-25
17-14
7-25
23-18
28-22
26-26
26-18
26-23
22-28
18-21
21-17
20-30
36-18
31-13
25-24
32-13
168.1Avg total
85.8Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)103.784.3188.0+19.367%
Season at home (1)81.096.0177.0-15.00%
Season away (2)115.078.5193.5+36.5100%
Last 10 (10)85.882.3168.1+3.560%
Last 5 (5)92.082.8174.8+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.096.0177.0-15.00%
vs Similar (13)83.483.0166.4+0.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)93.174.9168.0+18.181%
This opponent (Horsens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
HorsensSvendborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A16/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H21/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H28/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A01/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H05/05
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H12/05
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A24/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
53-26
53
26
+27
A28/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H30/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A10/10
Basketligaen
82.2Avg total
40.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.082.2+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.438.882.2+4.662%-
Last 30 away (14)42.839.382.1+3.557%-
Last 10 (10)40.841.482.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)43.435.679.0+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.941.680.5-2.738%-
vs Similar (3)48.341.089.3+7.367%-
vs Weaker (14)45.936.282.1+9.779%-
This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H28/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A01/05
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H15/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A19/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H22/05
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A26/05
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A27/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H01/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
67-31
67
31
+36
A09/10
Basketligaen
85.9Avg total
44.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.639.584.0+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.634.277.8+9.486%-
Last 30 away (16)45.444.189.5+1.444%-
Last 10 (10)44.841.185.9+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)48.039.887.8+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.049.089.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (13)43.841.685.4+2.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.537.182.6+8.475%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.521.7
49.9%
54.6%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.7
30.9%
32.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.814.2
68.3%
70.1%14.2
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Svendborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Svendborg: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.9
49.9%
54.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.0
33.6%
32.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.818.0
72.6%
70.1%18.0
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Horsens
WWWWLLLLWW
Svendborg
WLWLWLLWWW
#5
League position
#3
+0.3
Net rating
+4.5
103.5
Offensive rating
108.2
103.3
Defensive rating
103.7
48.6%
Effective FG%
50.1%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
18.3%
Turnover %
19.5%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
37.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.9%
3-point %
33.6%
53.1%
Assist %
58.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 108.2Defence103.3 · 103.7Shooting48.6% · 50.1%3-point %30.9% · 33.6%Ball care18.3% · 19.5%Off. rebounds33.5% · 37.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Horsens   ■ Svendborg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Horsens wins
4
Svendborg wins
DateGameScore
07/04/25Svendborg v Horsens91-61
03/03/25Horsens v Svendborg84-74
03/02/25Horsens v Svendborg75-72
07/11/24Svendborg v Horsens78-67
10/05/24Horsens v Svendborg94-87
05/04/24Horsens v Svendborg80-70
11/03/24Svendborg v Horsens76-83
11/12/23Horsens v Svendborg75-81
14/09/23Svendborg v Horsens80-77
03/04/23Horsens v Svendborg101-98
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25ABMS Herlev90-68
30/09/25HCopenhagen84-83
28/09/25AHolbaek-Stenhus95-67
24/09/25AVejen95-57
12/05/25HRanders62-83
05/05/25HBakken Bears83-88
01/05/25ABakken Bears72-107
28/04/25HBakken Bears85-90
21/04/25HCopenhagen88-78
16/04/25ACopenhagen86-65
Svendborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/25AVaerlose124-68
01/10/25HBakken Bears81-96
27/09/25AAmager106-89
26/05/25ABakken Bears63-82
22/05/25HBakken Bears86-79
19/05/25ABakken Bears86-110
15/05/25HBakken Bears68-79
05/05/25HRanders76-75
01/05/25ARanders78-75
28/04/25HRanders90-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.084.093.3
Allowed / game68.883.064.0
Point differential+22.2+1.0+29.3
Avg total159.8167.0157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Svendborg
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%0%100%
Points / game103.781.0115.0
Allowed / game84.396.078.5
Point differential+19.3-15.0+36.5
Avg total188.0177.0193.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears440100%108.571.8+36.8
2 Team FOG Naestved550100%112.276.2+36.0
3 Horsens440100%91.068.8+22.2
4 Randers54180%101.086.2+14.8
5 Svendborg32167%103.784.3+19.3
6 Vaerlose53260%76.893.6-16.8
7 Copenhagen42250%86.588.2-1.8
8 BMS Herlev41325%78.593.2-14.8
9 Vejen51420%77.695.0-17.4
10 Holbaek-Stenhus4040%78.294.2-16.0
11 Amager4040%80.5107.2-26.8
12 Bears Academy5050%76.6104.6-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsens2620121876
Svendborg1914142572
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