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Horsens vs Holbaek-Stenhus Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 97-74
17-17 27-20 24-17 29-20
Position#2
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game78.5
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
vs
Holbaek-Stenhus
Denmark
Position#10
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.5
Allowed / game95.5
DenmarkBasketligaen· Forum Horsens (Horsens)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Horsens v Holbaek-Stenhus
15 Oct 2026
HORS97
HOLB83
03 Dec 2025
HORS87
HOLB72
19 Jan 2025
HORS87
HOLB77
08 Oct 2023
HORS97
HOLB74
12 Jan 2023
HORS84
HOLB79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
no box
H13/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
no box
A20/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
61-90
61
90
-29
no box
A24/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
69-77
69
77
-8
no box
H27/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
94-100
94
100
-6
no box
A01/05
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
85-100
85
100
-15
no box
A11/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
68avg 81
A14/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
87-94
87
94
-7
79avg 81
A19/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
84-48
84
48
+36
86avg 81
H23/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
W
98-92
98
92
+6
90avg 81
H26/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
22-26
18-20
5-19
22-16
21-18
12-14
17-36
19-24
19-24
12-28
11-14
11-16
25-19
19-30
14-12
25-17
26-23
23-27
20-33
28-24
24-26
15-21
18-29
11-25
24-18
20-17
22-20
18-25
17-30
24-19
28-20
19-8
28-15
10-16
27-9
21-28
27-20
28-22
22-22
164.6Avg total
79.8Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.578.5165.0+8.050%
Season at home (2)91.070.0161.0+21.0100%
Season away (2)82.087.0169.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)79.884.8164.6-5.020%
Last 5 (5)86.282.8169.0+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.391.7169.0-14.40%
vs Similar (5)94.087.6181.6+6.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)87.176.0163.1+11.190%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#5
L
59-92
59
92
-33
no box
A04/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
62-84
62
84
-22
no box
H11/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
L
63-96
63
96
-33
no box
A15/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
78-82
78
82
-4
no box
A18/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
H24/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
65-73
65
73
-8
no box
H01/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
60-104
60
104
-44
no box
A12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
79-89
79
89
-10
no box
H17/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
53-104
53
104
-51
36avg 46
A17/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
66-87
66
87
-21
55avg 46
H01/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
11-22
13-18
13-24
19-23
11-16
15-27
17-18
7-20
22-23
17-25
17-28
19-20
25-29
18-15
16-18
16-15
10-19
22-19
25-17
19-27
18-9
17-15
11-22
7-20
16-30
24-23
13-31
27-28
18-17
15-18
19-26
4-13
21-28
15-27
13-36
23-17
13-20
15-29
15-21
153.9Avg total
65.8Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)59.595.5155.0-36.00%
Season at home (1)66.087.0153.0-21.00%
Season away (1)53.0104.0157.0-51.00%
Last 10 (10)65.888.1153.9-22.310%
Last 5 (5)64.691.4156.0-26.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)69.089.5158.4-20.57%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -8.2-8.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -8.2-8.2
HorsensHolbaek-Stenhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H13/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A20/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A24/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H27/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A01/05
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A11/05
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A14/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A19/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H23/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H26/09
Basketligaen
85.3Avg total
43.3Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.986.5-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.841.286.0+3.762%-
Last 30 away (17)40.945.986.9-5.041%-
Last 10 (10)43.342.085.3+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.443.887.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)41.446.087.4-4.643%-
vs Similar (5)44.844.289.0+0.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.240.784.9+3.570%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#5
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A04/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H11/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A15/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A18/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H24/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H01/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
23-50
23
50
-27
A12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H17/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#6
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A17/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H01/10
Basketligaen
75.2Avg total
32.8Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.245.278.4-12.010%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.942.375.2-9.414%-
Last 30 away (16)33.447.781.1-14.26%-
Last 10 (10)32.842.475.2-9.610%-
Last 5 (5)33.241.875.0-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)33.244.877.9-11.610%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.5 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.223.3
52.5%
51.8%46.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.0
35.6%
31.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.512.0
68.6%
67.0%12.0
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 59.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers10.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.018.0
42.9%
51.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.53.5
13.7%
31.7%10.5
🏀 Free throws23.013.0
56.5%
67.0%13.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/2 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Horsens
WWLLLLLLLL
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLLLLWLLLL
#2
League position
#10
+9.8
Net rating
-42.5
112.1
Offensive rating
72.3
102.3
Defensive rating
114.8
52.9%
Effective FG%
34.4%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
21.1%
Turnover %
25.1%
43.7%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.6%
3-point %
13.7%
52.7%
Assist %
51.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 72.3Defence102.3 · 114.8Shooting52.9% · 34.4%3-point %35.6% · 13.7%Ball care21.1% · 25.1%Off. rebounds43.7% · 33.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Horsens   ■ Holbaek-Stenhus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Horsens wins
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
DateGameScore
12/01/23Horsens v Holbaek-Stenhus84-79
24/09/22Holbaek-Stenhus v Horsens64-90
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/23HRanders98-92
23/09/23HHerlev Wolfpack84-48
19/09/23ABakken Bears87-94
14/09/23ASvendborg77-80
11/05/23ARanders85-100
01/05/23ABakken Bears94-100
27/04/23HBakken Bears69-77
24/04/23ABakken Bears61-90
20/04/23ARanders72-84
13/04/23HTeam FOG Naestved71-83
Holbaek-Stenhuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/23HSvendborg66-87
17/09/23ARanders53-104
17/04/23HAmager79-89
12/04/23AVaerlose60-104
01/04/23HCopenhagen65-73
24/03/23HBears Academy73-70
18/03/23AAmager78-82
15/03/23ABears Academy63-96
11/03/23HVaerlose62-84
04/03/23ACopenhagen59-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game86.591.082.0
Allowed / game78.570.087.0
Point differential+8.0+21.0-5.0
Avg total165.0161.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game59.566.053.0
Allowed / game95.587.0104.0
Point differential-36.0-21.0-51.0
Avg total155.0153.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved440100%97.873.8+24.0
2 Svendborg440100%83.268.8+14.5
3 Bakken Bears440100%88.880.0+8.8
4 Vaerlose43175%86.282.8+3.5
5 Horsens42250%86.578.5+8.0
6 Randers52340%95.679.2+16.4
7 Bears Academy41325%78.886.5-7.8
8 Herlev Wolfpack41325%61.086.0-25.0
9 Copenhagen51420%80.284.8-4.6
10 Amager4040%70.092.8-22.8
11 Holbaek-Stenhus2020%59.595.5-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsens1727242997
Holbaek-Stenhus1720172074
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