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Horsens vs Holbaek-Stenhus Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 87-72
15-21 26-11 29-18 17-22
Position#5
Record9-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game72.5
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#11
Record1-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game92.7
DenmarkBasketligaen· Forum Horsens
Other2025-26
Meetings · Horsens v Holbaek-Stenhus
15 Oct 2026
HORS97
HOLB83
03 Dec 2025
HORS87
HOLB72
19 Jan 2025
HORS87
HOLB77
08 Oct 2023
HORS97
HOLB74
12 Jan 2023
HORS84
HOLB79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
95-67
95
67
+28
85avg 76
A28/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 76
H30/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
90-68
90
68
+22
no box
A10/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
76-72
76
72
+4
69avg 76
H17/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
74-60
74
60
+14
70avg 76
A26/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
95-67
95
67
+28
86avg 76
H30/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
98-72
98
72
+26
91avg 76
H02/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
76-89
76
89
-13
66avg 76
A06/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
89-73
89
73
+16
no box
H16/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
83-90
83
90
-7
68avg 76
A21/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
30-11
24-19
18-22
22-25
24-15
21-26
17-17
27-25
14-15
25-16
24-12
26-19
20-14
12-14
18-25
19-17
20-9
18-17
17-17
25-18
30-20
16-25
24-4
35-16
14-15
29-24
20-17
17-21
22-27
23-18
14-23
20-15
30-21
18-16
21-21
18-25
19-22
17-23
29-20
160.1Avg total
86.0Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.872.5159.4+14.382%
Season at home (5)88.473.4161.8+15.0100%
Season away (6)85.571.8157.3+13.767%
Last 10 (10)86.074.1160.1+11.980%
Last 5 (5)88.278.2166.4+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.184.7161.8-7.638%
vs Similar (4)84.284.5168.8-0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.070.1159.1+18.9100%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Horsens
#5
L
67-95
67
95
-28
54avg 68
H28/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
76-102
76
102
-26
58avg 68
A02/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
89-92
89
92
-3
no box
A06/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
90-81
90
81
+9
79avg 68
H23/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
83-87
83
87
-4
69avg 68
A29/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
57-119
57
119
-62
34avg 68
A02/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
73-74
73
74
-1
58avg 68
H04/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
75-105
75
105
-30
53avg 68
H14/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
88-91
88
91
-3
80avg 68
A19/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
76-86
76
86
-10
63avg 68
H23/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
11-30
19-24
22-18
21-34
23-23
21-21
11-24
25-28
16-28
25-25
23-11
26-19
20-22
18-24
26-16
23-24
20-22
25-27
15-14
17-32
9-27
16-24
15-36
25-19
15-18
13-21
20-16
17-31
22-28
18-29
18-17
26-19
25-25
17-22
20-25
9-24
25-23
20-15
22-24
170.6Avg total
77.4Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.792.7170.5-15.09%
Season at home (6)77.088.2165.2-11.217%
Season away (5)78.698.2176.8-19.60%
Last 10 (10)77.493.2170.6-15.810%
Last 5 (5)73.895.0168.8-21.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.997.1174.0-20.212%
vs Similar (11)89.784.2173.9+5.545%
vs Weaker (3)84.379.0163.3+5.3100%
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
HorsensHolbaek-Stenhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
53-26
53
26
+27
A28/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H30/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A10/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H17/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A26/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H30/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H02/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A06/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H16/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A21/11
Basketligaen
82.0Avg total
45.5Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.438.180.5+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.438.882.2+4.662%-
Last 30 away (14)41.437.278.6+4.157%-
Last 10 (10)45.536.582.0+9.080%-
Last 5 (5)46.040.086.0+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.140.278.3-2.238%-
vs Similar (4)46.042.888.8+3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.734.580.2+11.285%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#5
L
26-53
26
53
-27
H28/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A02/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A06/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H23/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A29/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
26-59
26
59
-33
A02/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H04/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H14/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A19/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H23/11
Basketligaen
88.9Avg total
39.0Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.547.788.2-7.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.946.185.1-7.240%-
Last 30 away (15)42.049.391.3-7.320%-
Last 10 (10)39.049.988.9-10.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.049.287.2-11.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.550.487.9-12.919%-
vs Similar (11)45.345.690.9-0.445%-
vs Weaker (3)38.741.079.7-2.333%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.122.1
51.3%
54.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.1
29.6%
32.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.014.9
64.8%
70.1%14.9
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.619.7
45.2%
54.6%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.47.3
26.6%
32.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.314.6
71.9%
70.1%14.6
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Horsens
LWLWWWWWWW
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLLLLLWLLL
#5
League position
#11
+12.3
Net rating
-18.9
104.6
Offensive rating
91.6
92.3
Defensive rating
110.5
48.6%
Effective FG%
43.2%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
18.0%
Turnover %
18.0%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.6%
3-point %
26.6%
52.3%
Assist %
49.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 91.6Defence92.3 · 110.5Shooting48.6% · 43.2%3-point %29.6% · 26.6%Ball care18.0% · 18.0%Off. rebounds35.4% · 26.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Horsens   ■ Holbaek-Stenhus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Horsens wins
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/25ABakken Bears83-90
16/11/25HBMS Herlev89-73
06/11/25ARanders76-89
02/11/25HVaerlose98-72
30/10/25HBears Academy95-67
26/10/25AVaerlose74-60
17/10/25HSvendborg76-72
10/10/25ABMS Herlev90-68
30/09/25HCopenhagen84-83
28/09/25AHolbaek-Stenhus95-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25HRanders76-86
19/11/25ACopenhagen88-91
14/11/25HBakken Bears75-105
04/11/25HCopenhagen73-74
02/11/25ABakken Bears57-119
29/10/25AVaerlose83-87
23/10/25HVejen90-81
06/10/25ABMS Herlev89-92
02/10/25ARanders76-102
28/09/25HHorsens67-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game86.888.485.5
Allowed / game72.573.471.8
Point differential+14.3+15.0+13.7
Avg total159.4161.8157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%60%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %9%17%0%
Points / game77.777.078.6
Allowed / game92.788.298.2
Point differential-15.0-11.2-19.6
Avg total170.5165.2176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears10100100%107.770.9+36.8
2 Team FOG Naestved1110191%108.883.5+25.4
3 Horsens119282%86.872.5+14.3
4 Randers129375%94.382.4+11.9
5 Svendborg118373%93.877.8+16.0
6 Copenhagen128467%88.385.1+3.2
7 Vaerlose128467%78.485.3-6.9
8 BMS Herlev103730%82.090.0-8.0
9 Holbaek-Stenhus111109%77.792.7-15.0
10 Vejen121118%71.892.5-20.7
11 Bears Academy121118%76.7101.3-24.7
12 Amager120120%78.6102.8-24.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsens1526291787
Holbaek-Stenhus2111182272
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