PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Vaerlose vs Holbaek-Stenhus Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 104-60
20-7 30-16 23-24 31-13
Position#7
Record11-15
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#11
Record2-24
FormLLLWL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game88.5
DenmarkBasketligaen
Other2022-23
Meetings · Vaerlose v Holbaek-Stenhus
24 Oct 2026
VAER64
HOLB68
28 Mar 2026
VAER87
HOLB80
29 Oct 2025
VAER87
HOLB83
31 Mar 2025
VAER100
HOLB98
07 Dec 2024
VAER88
HOLB90
17 Nov 2024
VAER100
HOLB86
15 Feb 2024
VAER99
HOLB80
12 Apr 2023
VAER104
HOLB60
16 Feb 2023
VAER90
HOLB68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#4
L
63-90
63
90
-27
A22/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
84-62
84
62
+22
A03/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H07/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
90-68
90
68
+22
H16/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
69-58
69
58
+11
A05/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H07/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
84-62
84
62
+22
A11/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
87-92
87
92
-5
H30/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H02/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
W
79-75
79
75
+4
A04/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
20-20
16-26
14-22
22-20
14-9
25-17
23-16
21-21
16-17
26-26
21-17
29-22
26-17
17-17
18-12
19-15
19-9
25-17
6-17
18-17
19-27
19-22
23-25
23-19
16-11
27-15
18-17
19-27
20-27
21-21
27-17
21-17
17-19
28-26
11-12
27-20
28-20
6-14
18-21
154.9Avg total
79.6Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.581.7161.2-2.242%
Season at home (13)82.883.5166.2-0.746%
Season away (13)76.279.8156.1-3.638%
Last 10 (10)79.675.3154.9+4.370%
Last 5 (5)81.278.8160.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.391.7169.0-14.317%
vs Similar (14)78.680.9159.5-2.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.878.0162.8+6.856%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#2
L
62-82
62
82
-20
H19/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A28/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
66-108
66
108
-42
H12/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
68-90
68
90
-22
A16/02
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
59-92
59
92
-33
A04/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
62-84
62
84
-22
H11/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
L
63-96
63
96
-33
A15/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A18/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H24/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H01/04
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
18-24
11-27
22-13
15-16
19-24
21-22
25-26
13-26
18-35
18-24
17-23
22-29
17-26
17-17
12-18
22-28
11-22
13-18
13-24
19-23
11-16
15-27
17-18
7-20
22-23
17-25
17-28
19-20
25-29
18-15
16-18
16-15
10-19
22-19
25-17
19-27
18-9
17-15
11-22
154.1Avg total
67.6Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)69.588.5158.0-19.08%
Season at home (13)67.884.8152.5-17.015%
Season away (13)71.292.2163.4-21.10%
Last 10 (10)67.686.5154.1-18.910%
Last 5 (5)68.281.0149.2-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)69.588.5158.0-19.08%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.2-3.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.2-3.2
VaerloseHolbaek-Stenhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#4
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A22/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A03/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H07/02
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H16/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A05/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H07/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A11/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H30/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H02/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A04/04
Basketligaen
78.3Avg total
40.7Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.441.279.6-2.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.842.383.1-1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)36.140.176.1-4.047%-
Last 10 (10)40.737.678.3+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.882.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.549.587.0-12.017%-
vs Similar (14)38.640.479.0-1.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.435.977.3+5.678%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#2
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H19/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A28/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
31-61
31
61
-30
H12/02
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A16/02
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A04/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H11/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A15/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A18/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H24/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H01/04
Basketligaen
78.1Avg total
33.2Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)33.145.878.9-12.611%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.443.474.8-12.015%-
Last 30 away (14)34.848.082.8-13.27%-
Last 10 (10)33.244.978.1-11.710%-
Last 5 (5)33.240.273.4-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)33.145.378.5-12.212%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vaerlose wins
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
DateGameScore
11/03/23Holbaek-Stenhus v Vaerlose62-84
16/02/23Vaerlose v Holbaek-Stenhus90-68
27/11/22Holbaek-Stenhus v Vaerlose75-85
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/23ACopenhagen79-75
02/04/23HBears Academy77-74
30/03/23HAmager87-92
11/03/23AHolbaek-Stenhus84-62
07/03/23HCopenhagen79-91
05/03/23ABears Academy69-58
16/02/23HHolbaek-Stenhus90-68
07/02/23HBears Academy84-81
03/02/23AHerlev Wolfpack84-62
22/01/23AHorsens63-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/23HCopenhagen65-73
24/03/23HBears Academy73-70
18/03/23AAmager78-82
15/03/23ABears Academy63-96
11/03/23HVaerlose62-84
04/03/23ACopenhagen59-92
16/02/23AVaerlose68-90
12/02/23HTeam FOG Naestved66-108
28/01/23ASvendborg80-88
19/01/23HRanders62-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW42%
HomeWWLLW46%
AwayLWWWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%46%38%
Points / game79.582.876.2
Allowed / game81.783.579.8
Point differential-2.2-0.7-3.6
Avg total161.2166.2156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%15%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL8%
HomeLLLWL15%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %8%15%0%
Points / game69.567.871.2
Allowed / game88.584.892.2
Point differential-19.0-17.0-21.1
Avg total158.0152.5163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2722581%94.075.6+18.4
2 Team FOG Naestved2822679%98.484.8+13.6
3 Randers2822679%88.777.6+11.1
4 Horsens28181064%85.882.6+3.1
5 Svendborg27131448%89.586.6+3.0
6 Copenhagen27121544%82.687.9-5.3
7 Vaerlose26111542%79.581.7-2.2
8 Herlev Wolfpack28111739%76.084.5-8.5
9 Bears Academy2791833%74.679.3-4.7
10 Amager2671927%81.793.2-11.5
11 Holbaek-Stenhus262248%69.588.5-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose20302331104
Holbaek-Stenhus716241360
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.